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1617 S Rogers Ave
A Composite 85.77
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,900

1617 S Rogers Ave · Bartlesville, OK 74003
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 136 Days on market
Built 1946 6,241 sqft lot Est $116k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity-filled bungalow with flexible floor plan. This 4 bedroom, 1-bath home offers a generous layout, some original hardwood floors. Ideal for buyers looking to add value through updates and personalization. Property is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 6,241 sq ft lot
  • Built 1946
  • Listed 135 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Built with wood siding and wood frame; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Year built per public records
  • Exterior features: Patio; Chain link and privacy fencing; No other exterior features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (first level)
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (first level); Three additional bedrooms (first level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (hall bath, first level)
  • Interior features: Aluminum window frames; Hardwood floors; Electric oven/range connection; No other interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room (first level); Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 4.7% in Bartlesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#175 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
  • Bartlesville (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #59 of 270 in OK (top 22%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
15.82%
Cash-on-cash
34.02%
DSCR
2.51
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,920
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1643 S Oak Ave 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,296 (+3%) 3mo $137,500 $106 78
1600 S Elm Ave 0.16mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,184 (-6%) 6mo $84,000 $71 73
1522 Colorado Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (+7%) 0mo $140,000 $104 72
1562 S Hickory Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,145 (-9%) 3mo $47,000 $41 66
1801 S Santa Fe Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,362 (+8%) 2mo $160,000 $117 58
1404 SW Jennings Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,272 (+1%) 7mo $113,500 $89 56
1326 S Armstrong Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,232 (-2%) 6mo $104,166 $85 55
1621 S Maple 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,352 (+7%) 12mo $125,000 $92 54
1446 S Hickory Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,095 (-13%) 12mo $104,000 $95 44
1701 S Dewey 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,319 (+5%) 8mo $80,000 $61 44
1945 S Santa Fe Ave 0.50mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,131 (-10%) 12mo $117,000 $103 43
1436 S Keeler Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,434 (+14%) 1mo $132,000 $92 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.3%
Equity multiple
4.75×
Total profit
$73,429
Equity at exit
$62,971
10-year hold
IRR
44.0%
Equity multiple
10.63×
Total profit
$188,477
Equity at exit
$135,800

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74003

Home prices YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,308 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $990/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$555

Break-even live

Break-even rent $605
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $594 -5% $575 +0% $555 +5% $535 +10% $515
Rent -10% $452 -5% $503 +0% $555 +5% $607 +10% $658
Rate -1.0pp $590 -0.5pp $573 base $555 +0.5pp $537 +1.0pp $518

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,900 Active 136 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 135 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 134 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 133 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 132 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 130 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,900 Active 129 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 126 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 125 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 124 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,900 Active 121 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 120 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 119 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 118 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 117 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,900 Active 116 DOM
  17. 2026-02-28
    price $69,900
  18. 2026-02-03
    listed $74,500 Active
  19. 2026-01-30
    historical
  20. 2025-12-18
    listed $75,000 Active
  21. 2020-11-15
    historical
  22. 2020-10-17
    price $79,000
  23. 2020-08-21
    listed $85,000 Active
  24. 2019-10-28
    soldstatus $234,000
  25. 2017-07-11
    soldstatus $22,500 Closed
  26. 2017-05-22
    status Pending
  27. 2017-05-12
    listed $25,000 Active
  28. 2009-09-21
    soldstatus $20,000
  29. 2009-07-30
    historical
  30. 2009-05-22
    listed $24,000
  31. 2006-06-27
    soldstatus $44,500
  32. 2006-06-23
    soldstatus $44,500
  33. 2006-05-17
    historical
  34. 2006-04-06
    listed $46,500
  35. 2001-05-30
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$990 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$990 · $82/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,693
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$990
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,255
− Management
−$1,255
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$5,893
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,414
After-tax cash flow
$5,245/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bartlesville
NCES district ID
4003630
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$48,889
Composite
25.69/100
National rank
#7389
State rank
#59 of 270 in OK

Livability — Bartlesville

Score
64/100
State rank
#175
US rank
#13940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bartlesville, OK
County
Washington County · 41,935 people
City population
41,935
Metro
Bartlesville, OK
Population (ZIP)
14,024
Household income
$47,168
Rent vs Own
41.3% rent · 58.7% own
Severe rent burden
395.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,946 people
By 2030
56,249 · +2.4%
By 2040
58,867 · +7.1%
By 2050
61,600 · +12.1%
By 2075
69,355 · +26.2%
By 2100
73,067 · +33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 7% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.0% · R 72.7% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -47.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.6 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+47.8 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.78%
Current HPI
309.9534
Rent YoY
Metro
Bartlesville, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+249.5% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-28 Price Changed $69,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $74,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-01-30 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-12-18 Listed $75,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2020-11-15 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2020-10-17 Price Changed $79,000 MLSOK
  • 2020-08-21 Listed $85,000 MLSOK
  • 2019-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $234,000 Public Records
  • 2017-07-11 Sold (MLS) $22,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2017-05-22 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2017-05-12 Listed $25,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2009-09-21 Sold (MLS) $20,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2009-07-30 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2009-05-22 Listed $24,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2006-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records
  • 2006-06-23 Sold (MLS) $44,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2006-05-17 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2006-04-06 Listed $46,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2001-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $990 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…