14190 Pierson St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully fully updated home near schools and major free ways ! Located in the Brightmoor neighborhood on the northwest side of Detroit, This home features a stunning kitchen with granite countertops and white cabinets , beautifully finished ceramic bathroom, an electric fireplace in the living room, and a spacious kitchen and dining area perfect for entertaining. Everything has been updated for worry-free living : including the roof, insulation, electrical system, windows, water heater & furnace. A truly move-in ready home with modern finishes and major improvements already completed.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 22 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Water heater: Electric and Gas
- Home design: Residential property; 1 1/2-story structure; Built in 1925
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Paved street frontage; Frontage approximately 51 feet
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (Entry level) — 16 x 10; Dining room (Entry level) — 8 x 18; Living room (Entry level) — 21 x 9
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 (Entry level) — 12 x 14; Bedroom 2 (Entry level) — 12 x 10; Bedroom 3 (Entry level) — 8 (width listed as 8)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (Entry level) — approximately 5 x 9
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heat/fuel
- Interior features: 10 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room (Entry level) — 9 x 5
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask is 200% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.12%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $310
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $22,510
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48223
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,177 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $754/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $332 | -5% $302 | +0% $272 | +5% $243 | +10% $213 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $179 | -5% $226 | +0% $272 | +5% $319 | +10% $365 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $325 | -0.5pp $299 | base $272 | +0.5pp $245 | +1.0pp $217 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $104,999 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,999 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,999 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,999 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,999 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,999 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,999 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $104,999 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $104,999 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,999 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,999 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-27historical $104,999
-
2003-07-09historical
-
2003-05-09$35,000
-
2003-05-08historical
-
2003-04-11$40,000
-
2003-03-05historical
-
2002-09-05$45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $754 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,185 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$432/yr (+$36/mo · 57.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$754
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,130
- − Management
- −$1,130
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $1,646
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$395
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,874/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,622
- Household income
- $44,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1151.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -303.41%
- Current HPI
- 138.2779
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+133.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Coming Soon $104,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-07-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-05-09 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-05-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2003-04-11 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-03-05 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2002-09-05 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $754 · +14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…