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14190 Pierson St
C Composite 58.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,999

14190 Pierson St · Detroit, MI 48223
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1925 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully fully updated home near schools and major free ways ! Located in the Brightmoor neighborhood on the northwest side of Detroit, This home features a stunning kitchen with granite countertops and white cabinets , beautifully finished ceramic bathroom, an electric fireplace in the living room, and a spacious kitchen and dining area perfect for entertaining. Everything has been updated for worry-free living : including the roof, insulation, electrical system, windows, water heater & furnace. A truly move-in ready home with modern finishes and major improvements already completed.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1925
  • Listed 22 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Water heater: Electric and Gas
  • Home design: Residential property; 1 1/2-story structure; Built in 1925
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved street frontage; Frontage approximately 51 feet

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (Entry level) — 16 x 10; Dining room (Entry level) — 8 x 18; Living room (Entry level) — 21 x 9
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 (Entry level) — 12 x 14; Bedroom 2 (Entry level) — 12 x 10; Bedroom 3 (Entry level) — 8 (width listed as 8)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (Entry level) — approximately 5 x 9
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heat/fuel
  • Interior features: 10 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room (Entry level) — 9 x 5

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask is 200% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $103,424 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.41%
Cash-on-cash
11.12%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.3%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$310
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$22,510
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48223

Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,177 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $754/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $832
Max offer price $104,999
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $332 -5% $302 +0% $272 +5% $243 +10% $213
Rent -10% $179 -5% $226 +0% $272 +5% $319 +10% $365
Rate -1.0pp $325 -0.5pp $299 base $272 +0.5pp $245 +1.0pp $217

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $104,999 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $104,999 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $104,999 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $104,999 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $104,999 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $104,999 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $104,999 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $104,999 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $104,999 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $104,999 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $104,999 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $104,999 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $104,999 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $104,999 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-05-27
    historical $104,999
  16. 2003-07-09
    historical
  17. 2003-05-09
    listed $35,000
  18. 2003-05-08
    historical
  19. 2003-04-11
    listed $40,000
  20. 2003-03-05
    historical
  21. 2002-09-05
    listed $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$754 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,185 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$432/yr (+$36/mo · 57.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,120
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$754
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,130
− Management
−$1,130
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$1,646
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$395
After-tax cash flow
$2,874/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,622
Household income
$44,512
Rent vs Own
43.8% rent · 56.2% own
Severe rent burden
1151.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -303.41%
Current HPI
138.2779
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Coming Soon $104,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-07-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-05-09 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-05-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2003-04-11 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-03-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2002-09-05 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $754 · +14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…