🏗️ New Construction
4719 Mallow St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$467,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
This stunning 2-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom (per side) duplex offers modern luxury in a prime location just minutes from HWY 288, Medical Center. Nestled within a gated community, each unit is thoughtfully designed with sleek black exterior windows, a single-car garage with an opener, and a keypad front door entry for added convenience. The open-concept layout features luxury vinyl flooring, quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances, while the bathrooms showcase vessel sinks and beautiful custom tile work. With plenty of closet space and high-end finishes throughout, this duplex combines style and functionality. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or an income-generating inves
Key facts
- Gated community
- Quartz countertops
- Open-concept layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two total units (multi-unit property)
Exterior
- Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling
- Home design: Residential income property; New construction (builder: SLIC PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT); 2,748 total living area; Year built 2025
- Construction: Composition roof; Built in 2025
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot size about 3,889 square feet
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $468k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($278/yr) — positive. Per door: $12/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $402k (14.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $402k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Woodson School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 572 students, 99% FRL); Thomas Middle (math 3% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,654 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 526 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,020/mo this rent would consume 127% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($461k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.21%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $471,924
- List price
- $467,999
- Delta
- 0.65%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9032 Jutland Rd | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 2,616 (+4%) | 5mo | $355,000 | $136 | 65 |
| 4606 Mallow St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,442 (-3%) | 2mo | $429,000 | $176 | 64 |
| 4834 Higgins St Unit A and B | 0.46mi | 3/4.0 (-1) | 2,559 (+1%) | 10mo | $514,900 | $201 | 59 |
| 4533 Larkspur St Unit A/B | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,450 (-3%) | 6mo | $500,000 | $204 | 59 |
| 4902 Higgins St Unit A and B | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,559 (+1%) | 10mo | $514,900 | $201 | 50 |
| 4358 Clover St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,663 (+6%) | 10mo | $479,900 | $180 | 43 |
| 8605 Amadwe St Unit A-B | 0.56mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,708 (+7%) | 7mo | $485,000 | $179 | 43 |
| 4337 Clover St Unit A-B | 0.53mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,700 (+7%) | 9mo | $479,900 | $178 | 43 |
| 4429 Aledo St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,700 (+7%) | 6mo | $479,900 | $178 | 36 |
| 5117 Briscoe St Unit A/B | 0.73mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,672 (+6%) | 9mo | $505,000 | $189 | 36 |
| 8201 Calhoun St Unit A/B | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,250 (-11%) | 5mo | $425,000 | $189 | 30 |
| 8151 Glenhollow Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,877 (+14%) | 3mo | $525,000 | $182 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-64,851
- Equity at exit
- $70,365
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-10,793
- Equity at exit
- $40,803
Cash invested: $132,139 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77033
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 19.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,020 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,475
- Tax from tax record
- −$481 /mo · $5,774/yr
- Insurance
- −$197
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$844
- Net cashflow
- $23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $290 | -5% $157 | +0% $23 | +5% $-110 | +10% $-244 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-294 | -5% $-136 | +0% $23 | +5% $182 | +10% $341 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $261 | -0.5pp $143 | base $23 | +0.5pp $-99 | +1.0pp $-224 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2.5 | $4,020 |
| #1 | 2 | 2.5 | $2,010 |
| #2 | 2 | 2.5 | $2,010 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,020 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $117,981
- Closing costs
- $14,158
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4538 Clover St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1768 | $1,595 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4921a Pederson St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1765 | $2,150 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 8606 Lee Otis St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1869 | $1,975 | $1.06 | 0d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4835 Sunflower St Unit 1546466P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1883 | $4,516 | $2.40 | 16d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4406 Sterling St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $1,999 | $1.09 | 18d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3710 Rockingham St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1890 | $1,700 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 10217 Teneha Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3292 | $2,100 | $0.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 5201 Kenilwood Dr Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2442 | $1,725 | $0.71 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3620 Du Bois St Unit 1302349P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $2,945 | $1.64 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 7358 Guadalcanal Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1768 | $2,195 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7339 Krueger Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2440 | $1,900 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5726 Waterford Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,850 | $0.93 | 12d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $467,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $467,999 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $467,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $467,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $467,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $467,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $467,999 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $467,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $475,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $475,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $475,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $475,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $475,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $475,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $475,000 1004-char remark
-
2026-04-28$485,000 Active 1004-char remark
-
2026-01-24historical
-
2025-11-13$475,000 Active
-
2025-11-11historical
-
2025-08-01price $475,000
-
2025-07-12price $485,000
-
2025-07-07$495,000 Active
-
2025-07-01historical
-
2025-06-09$495,000 Active
-
2025-06-09historical
-
2025-05-12$495,000 Active
-
2025-05-12historical
-
2025-03-25$495,000 Active
-
2023-05-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,774 · $481/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,564 · $714/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,790/yr (+$233/mo · 48.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,240
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,435
- − Property taxes
- −$5,774
- − Insurance
- −$2,360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,859
- − Management
- −$3,859
- − Depreciation
- −$13,729
- Taxable loss
- −$7,776
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,866
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,144/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This modern, well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom duplex is move-in ready and offers a prime location with sleek finishes and high-end finishes throughout.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior windows black to match the kitchen cabinets. — Enhances the modern aesthetic and creates a cohesive look.
- Both Adding a smart thermostat to the HVAC system. — Improves energy efficiency and comfort for tenants.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances to include a built-in wine cooler. — Attracts more renters and buyers who value modern amenities.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior windows black to match the kitchen cabinets. — Enhances the modern aesthetic and creates a cohesive look. ↑
- Both Adding a smart thermostat to the HVAC system. — Improves energy efficiency and comfort for tenants. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances to include a built-in wine cooler. — Attracts more renters and buyers who value modern amenities. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,154
- Household income
- $38,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1728.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.49%
- Current HPI
- 212.6472
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-5.5% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $467,999 HARMLS
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-05-26 Listed $475,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $475,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $485,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-24 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-11-13 Listed $475,000 HARMLS
- 2025-11-11 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $475,000 HARMLS
- 2025-07-12 Price Changed $485,000 HARMLS
- 2025-07-07 Listed $495,000 HARMLS
- 2025-07-01 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-06-09 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-06-09 Listed $495,000 HARMLS
- 2025-05-12 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2025-05-12 Listed $495,000 HARMLS
- 2025-03-25 Listed $495,000 HARMLS
- 2023-05-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+72.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,774 · +366.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…