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4719 Mallow St 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 42.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$467,999

4719 Mallow St · Houston, TX 77033
4 bd · 5.0 ba · 2,524 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 3,889 sqft lot ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

This stunning 2-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom (per side) duplex offers modern luxury in a prime location just minutes from HWY 288, Medical Center. Nestled within a gated community, each unit is thoughtfully designed with sleek black exterior windows, a single-car garage with an opener, and a keypad front door entry for added convenience. The open-concept layout features luxury vinyl flooring, quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances, while the bathrooms showcase vessel sinks and beautiful custom tile work. With plenty of closet space and high-end finishes throughout, this duplex combines style and functionality. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or an income-generating inves

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Quartz countertops
  • Open-concept layout

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYBLACK EXTERIOR WINDOWSKEYPAD FRONT DOOR ENTRYOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTLUXURY VINYL FLOORINGQUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two total units (multi-unit property)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling
  • Home design: Residential income property; New construction (builder: SLIC PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT); 2,748 total living area; Year built 2025
  • Construction: Composition roof; Built in 2025
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot size about 3,889 square feet

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $467,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $471,924.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $468k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($278/yr) — positive. Per door: $12/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $402k (14.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $402k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Woodson School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 572 students, 99% FRL); Thomas Middle (math 3% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,654 of 1,662 statewide, top 100%, 526 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,020/mo this rent would consume 127% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($461k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $402,000 (14.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.21%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$471,924
List price
$467,999
Delta
0.65%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9032 Jutland Rd 0.27mi 4/2.0 2,616 (+4%) 5mo $355,000 $136 65
4606 Mallow St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,442 (-3%) 2mo $429,000 $176 64
4834 Higgins St Unit A and B 0.46mi 3/4.0 (-1) 2,559 (+1%) 10mo $514,900 $201 59
4533 Larkspur St Unit A/B 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,450 (-3%) 6mo $500,000 $204 59
4902 Higgins St Unit A and B 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,559 (+1%) 10mo $514,900 $201 50
4358 Clover St 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,663 (+6%) 10mo $479,900 $180 43
8605 Amadwe St Unit A-B 0.56mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,708 (+7%) 7mo $485,000 $179 43
4337 Clover St Unit A-B 0.53mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,700 (+7%) 9mo $479,900 $178 43
4429 Aledo St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,700 (+7%) 6mo $479,900 $178 36
5117 Briscoe St Unit A/B 0.73mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,672 (+6%) 9mo $505,000 $189 36
8201 Calhoun St Unit A/B 0.74mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,250 (-11%) 5mo $425,000 $189 30
8151 Glenhollow Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,877 (+14%) 3mo $525,000 $182 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-64,851
Equity at exit
$70,365
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-10,793
Equity at exit
$40,803

Cash invested: $132,139 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77033

Home prices YoY
-16.3%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
345
Price-to-rent
19.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,020 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,475
Tax from tax record
$481 /mo · $5,774/yr
Insurance
$197
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$844
Net cashflow
$23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,991
Max offer price $471,924
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $290 -5% $157 +0% $23 +5% $-110 +10% $-244
Rent -10% $-294 -5% $-136 +0% $23 +5% $182 +10% $341
Rate -1.0pp $261 -0.5pp $143 base $23 +0.5pp $-99 +1.0pp $-224

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,020

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$117,981
Closing costs
$14,158
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4538 Clover St Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1768 $1,595 $0.90 45d 1 0.29mi
4921a Pederson St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1765 $2,150 $1.22 14d 1 0.52mi
8606 Lee Otis St Houston, TX 4.0 2.5 1869 $1,975 $1.06 0d 1 0.60mi
4835 Sunflower St Unit 1546466P Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1883 $4,516 $2.40 16d 1 0.69mi
4406 Sterling St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1840 $1,999 $1.09 18d 1 0.75mi
3710 Rockingham St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1890 $1,700 $0.90 45d 1 0.99mi
10217 Teneha Dr Houston, TX 4.0 3.0 3292 $2,100 $0.64 45d 1 1.03mi
5201 Kenilwood Dr Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 2442 $1,725 $0.71 15d 1 1.07mi
3620 Du Bois St Unit 1302349P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1797 $2,945 $1.64 4d 1 1.31mi
7358 Guadalcanal Rd Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1768 $2,195 $1.24 45d 1 1.32mi
7339 Krueger Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 2440 $1,900 $0.78 45d 1 1.38mi
5726 Waterford Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 2000 $1,850 $0.93 12d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $467,999 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $467,999 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $467,999 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $467,999 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $467,999 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $467,999 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $467,999 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $467,999 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $475,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $475,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $475,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $475,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $475,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $475,000 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    price $475,000 1004-char remark
  16. 2026-04-28
    listed $485,000 Active 1004-char remark
  17. 2026-01-24
    historical
  18. 2025-11-13
    listed $475,000 Active
  19. 2025-11-11
    historical
  20. 2025-08-01
    price $475,000
  21. 2025-07-12
    price $485,000
  22. 2025-07-07
    listed $495,000 Active
  23. 2025-07-01
    historical
  24. 2025-06-09
    listed $495,000 Active
  25. 2025-06-09
    historical
  26. 2025-05-12
    listed $495,000 Active
  27. 2025-05-12
    historical
  28. 2025-03-25
    listed $495,000 Active
  29. 2023-05-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,774 · $481/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,564 · $714/mo
Expected delta
+$2,790/yr (+$233/mo · 48.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,240
− Mortgage interest
−$26,435
− Property taxes
−$5,774
− Insurance
−$2,360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,859
− Management
−$3,859
− Depreciation
−$13,729
Taxable loss
−$7,776
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,866
After-tax cash flow
$2,144/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This modern, well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom duplex is move-in ready and offers a prime location with sleek finishes and high-end finishes throughout.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior windows black to match the kitchen cabinets. — Enhances the modern aesthetic and creates a cohesive look.
  • Both Adding a smart thermostat to the HVAC system. — Improves energy efficiency and comfort for tenants.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances to include a built-in wine cooler. — Attracts more renters and buyers who value modern amenities.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior windows black to match the kitchen cabinets. — Enhances the modern aesthetic and creates a cohesive look.
  • Both Adding a smart thermostat to the HVAC system. — Improves energy efficiency and comfort for tenants.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances to include a built-in wine cooler. — Attracts more renters and buyers who value modern amenities.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,154
Household income
$38,071
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
1728.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (55%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 39%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.49%
Current HPI
212.6472
Rent YoY
▲ 5.45%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.5% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $467,999 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $475,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $475,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $485,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-24 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $475,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-11 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-08-01 Price Changed $475,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-12 Price Changed $485,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-07 Listed $495,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-01 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-06-09 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-06-09 Listed $495,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-05-12 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-05-12 Listed $495,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-03-25 Listed $495,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-05-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+72.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,774 · +366.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…