🌊 Lakefront
516 Orange Dr #20 · Altamonte Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$123,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic 1st floor unit in Royal Arms. This is the larger of the 1 bedroom floor plans. Updates galore including hardwood floors, updated bathroom, and stainless kitchen appliances. Cozy, clean and ready to move in. Stackable washer and dryer also included. Royal Arms offers 2 clubhouses, 3 tennis courts, 3 swimming pools and boat parking, plus a private boat ramp for access to Lake Orienta. This is not a short sale or foreclosure!
Key facts
- Pool
- Screened in patio
- $349 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished unit
- Financial info: Total monthly fees shown as $349.89; Total annual fees shown as $4,198.68; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Royal Arms Condo association; Monthly association fee of $349.89; Association fees include insurance, building and grounds maintenance, management, sewer, trash and water; Association approval required; Pool and street lights in community; Buyer approval required; Pets allowed (max ~35 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking listed
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Public utilities
- Home design: Residential condominium; One level; Faces north
- Construction: Stucco and frame construction; Other roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of a multi-story building (3 stories total)
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Porch; Screened porch; Sliding doors; Storage; Mature landscaping; Oak trees; City limits lot; Sidewalks; Paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Blinds; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Interior laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $124k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-61 ($-732/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $113k (8.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $124k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.4% in Altamonte Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#62 in FL, #1,095 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities D-.
- Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $854 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $124k implies a 253% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.12%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-27,938
- Equity at exit
- $18,414
- IRR
- -42.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.30×
- Total profit
- $-44,894
- Equity at exit
- $10,678
Cash invested: $34,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32701
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.5%
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,462 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$648
- Tax from tax record
- −$168 /mo · $2,013/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$349
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $-61
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,875
- Closing costs
- $3,705
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524 Orange Dr #21 Altamonte Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $1,695 | $1.69 | 15d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 530 Orange Dr #11 Altamonte Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 512 Orange Dr #30 Altamonte Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $1,645 | $1.64 | 18d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 270 Altamonte Bay Club Cir Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $1,360 | $1.36 | 2d | 11 | 0.14mi |
| 568 Orange Dr #48 Altamonte Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,545 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 592 Orange Dr #142 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $1,530 | $2.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 614 Orange Dr #200 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $1,550 | $2.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 596 Orange Dr #150 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 581 | $1,395 | $2.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 390 Lake Placid Ct #303 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $1,350 | $2.10 | 18d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 602 Orange Dr #173 Altamonte Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,675 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 618 Orange Dr #212 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 607 | $1,350 | $2.22 | 2d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 305 Lakepointe Dr #104 Altamonte Springs, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 924 | $1,749 | $1.89 | 5d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 300 Lakepointe Dr #204 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,225 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 385 Woodside Dr #201 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,500 | $2.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 370 Lake Tahoe Ct Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,295 | $1.82 | 18d | 2 | 0.26mi |
| 351 Lone Hill Dr #306 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $1,350 | $2.10 | 5d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 365 Forestway Cir #306 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $1,350 | $2.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 365 Forestway Cir Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $1,325 | $2.06 | 24d | 2 | 0.29mi |
| 375 Lake Ontario Ct Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 678 | $1,322 | $1.95 | 4d | 2 | 0.31mi |
| 380 Lakepointe Dr #204 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,345 | $1.89 | 5d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 320 Black Oak Ct #207 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $1,350 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 465 Forestway Cir #302 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 664 | $1,249 | $1.88 | 2d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 200 Maitland Ave Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1115 | $1,500 | $1.35 | 24d | 3 | 0.52mi |
| 375 Palm Springs Dr Altamonte Springs, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 828 | $1,363 | $1.65 | 2d | 19 | 0.62mi |
| 285 Uptown Blvd Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1166 | $1,732 | $1.48 | 2d | 27 | 0.64mi |
| 351 Northlake Blvd Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 837 | $1,388 | $1.66 | 2d | 26 | 0.74mi |
| 230 Country Walk Pl Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1068 | $1,297 | $1.21 | 2d | 52 | 0.74mi |
| 828 Orienta Ave Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,182 | $1.40 | 22d | 30 | 0.76mi |
| 505 One Center Blvd Altamonte Springs, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 963 | $2,285 | $2.37 | 2d | 39 | 0.78mi |
| 510 Cranes Way #106 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $1,400 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 525 One Center Blvd Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1082 | $1,288 | $1.19 | 2d | 17 | 0.83mi |
| 325 Wymore Rd Unit 325-106 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 651 | $1,000 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 355 Wymore Rd #202 Altamonte Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,380 | $1.67 | 16d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 285 Wymore Rd Unit 285-104 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 651 | $1,100 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 285 Wymore Rd Unit 285-202 Altamonte Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,375 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 315 Wymore Rd Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,150 | $1.77 | 18d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 315 Wymore Rd Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,172 | $1.80 | 24d | 2 | 0.91mi |
| 435 Wymore Rd #207 Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,300 | $2.00 | 18d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 700 Altamira Cir Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $1,226 | $1.49 | 2d | 33 | 0.96mi |
| 356 Wymore Rd Altamonte Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $1,080 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 0.97mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $349 · $4,188/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $123,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $123,500 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $123,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $123,500 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $123,500 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $123,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $123,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $123,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $123,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $123,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $123,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $123,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $123,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $123,500
-
2026-04-02price $124,000
-
2026-03-13$125,000 Active
-
2011-02-25soldstatus $35,000 436-char remark
Show marketing remark (436 chars)
Fantastic 1st floor unit in Royal Arms. This is the larger of the 1 bedroom floor plans. Updates galore including hardwood floors, updated bathroom, and stainless kitchen appliances. Cozy, clean and ready to move in. Stackable washer and dryer also included. Royal Arms offers 2 clubhouses, 3 tennis courts, 3 swimming pools and boat parking, plus a private boat ramp for access to Lake Orienta. This is not a short sale or foreclosure!
-
2010-12-03$35,000 436-char remark
Show marketing remark (436 chars)
Fantastic 1st floor unit in Royal Arms. This is the larger of the 1 bedroom floor plans. Updates galore including hardwood floors, updated bathroom, and stainless kitchen appliances. Cozy, clean and ready to move in. Stackable washer and dryer also included. Royal Arms offers 2 clubhouses, 3 tennis courts, 3 swimming pools and boat parking, plus a private boat ramp for access to Lake Orienta. This is not a short sale or foreclosure!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,013 · $168/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,013 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,542
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,918
- − Property taxes
- −$2,013
- − Insurance
- −$618
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,403
- − Management
- −$1,403
- − HOA
- −$4,188
- − Depreciation
- −$3,593
- Taxable loss
- −$2,594
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$623
- After-tax cash flow
- $-110/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seminole
- NCES district ID
- 1201710
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,478
- Composite
- 51.05/100
- National rank
- #1769
- State rank
- #13 of 73 in FL
Livability — Altamonte Springs
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #1095
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Altamonte Springs, FL
- County
- Seminole County · 436,154 people
- City population
- 62,497
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,592
- Household income
- $62,198
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1447.0
Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 515,494 people
- By 2030
- 545,713 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 598,068 · +16.0%
- By 2050
- 640,663 · +24.3%
- By 2075
- 724,461 · +40.5%
- By 2100
- 755,530 · +46.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 19% Two or more races 18% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 16% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Seminole
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.8pp no change · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.8 2016: R+1.6 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -169.27%
- Current HPI
- 323.2703
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.52%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+252.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $123,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $124,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-02-25 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-12-03 Listed $35,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+10.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,013 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…