1004 Caldwell St NW · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment Opportunity! Situated on a peaceful third-of-an-acre lot, this home is filled with potential . .. and nostalgic cottage charm. Offering 4 bedrooms (with a possible 5th), 1 bath with step-in shower, and a wide, sunny kitchen, this one offers a remarkable amount of space for the price. There's a covered front porch for relaxing, an upstairs den for work or play, and the big, sunny windows and substantial trimwork of beautiful bygone era. .. plus the convenience of a downstairs bedroom and a detached garage. Dream it, do it, DIY it . .. this sweet nest is waiting for you to give it a new lifetime of memories.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Substantial trimwork
- Third-of-an-acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.36 acres
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered parking space; 3 open parking spaces
- Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1922
- Construction: Year built 1922
- Exterior features: Off-street parking
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 1 bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: 11 total rooms; Carpet, vinyl, and wood flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary (math 46% / reading 58%, grade C-, #696 of 1,108 statewide, top 66%, 505 students, 100% FRL); Woodrow Wilson Middle (math 38% / reading 63%, grade C, #226 of 342 statewide, top 67%, 642 students, 99% FRL); William Fleming High (math 66% / reading 68%, grade B, #185 of 319 statewide, top 61%, 1,911 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 67% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,896/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 913% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $150k implies a 392% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.66%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $228,480
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5112 Oak Grove Blvd NW | 0.26mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,800 (+7%) | 0mo | $245,000 | $136 | 69 |
| 931 Hedgewood Dr NW | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-9%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $153 | 62 |
| 1120 Summit Ln NW | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,906 (+14%) | 14mo | $245,000 | $129 | 48 |
| 4326 Camille Ave NW | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (+7%) | 21mo | $232,000 | $129 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $11,477
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $72,314
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24017
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,896 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,042/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $478
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $563 | -5% $521 | +0% $478 | +5% $436 | +10% $393 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $328 | -5% $403 | +0% $478 | +5% $553 | +10% $628 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $554 | -0.5pp $516 | base $478 | +0.5pp $439 | +1.0pp $400 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 625-char remark
-
2026-05-31$150,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,042 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,042 · $170/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,746
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,042
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,820
- − Management
- −$1,820
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $3,549
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$852
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,887/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,678
- Household income
- $47,360
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 913.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.29%
- Current HPI
- 198.5991
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.71%
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+391.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $150,000 MLSRV
- 1985-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $30,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,042 · +15.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…