🏗️ New Construction
Mays Plan · Summerdale, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$259,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This new single-story home offers a low-maintenance layout designed for modern lifestyles. Two secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, surrounding a full bathroom. An open-concept floorplan blends the kitchen, dining room and family room for seamless everyday transitions and multitasking. A luxurious owner's suite is nestled into a private corner, complete with an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- En-suite bathroom
- Single-story home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (7.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $240k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.7% in Summerdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#384 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (8.0% local appreciation)).
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (8.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $72k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.89%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $257,990
- List price
- $259,990
- Delta
- 4.65%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20113 Clover Field Ln | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,569 (0%) | 1mo | $259,490 | $165 | 96 |
| 16068 Clover Field Ln | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,569 (0%) | 4mo | $255,990 | $163 | 95 |
| 16132 Eden St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,569 (0%) | 4mo | $254,273 | $162 | 95 |
| 16194 Eden St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,569 (0%) | 1mo | $259,490 | $165 | 94 |
| 16212 Eden St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,569 (0%) | 1mo | $263,490 | $168 | 94 |
| 20037 Clover Field Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,569 (0%) | 4mo | $246,846 | $157 | 93 |
| 20045 Eden St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,569 (0%) | 3mo | $257,189 | $164 | 91 |
| 16180 Eden St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,413 (-10%) | 1mo | $250,990 | $178 | 79 |
| 16118 Eden St | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,413 (-10%) | 4mo | $230,990 | $163 | 74 |
| 20079 Clover Field Ln | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,732 (+10%) | 1mo | $266,490 | $154 | 74 |
| 16100 Eden St | 0.02mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,732 (+10%) | 4mo | $245,990 | $142 | 74 |
| 16162 Eden St | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,732 (+10%) | 2mo | $265,990 | $154 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.97% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $113,129
- Equity at exit
- $195,533
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.47×
- Total profit
- $322,892
- Equity at exit
- $387,684
Cash invested: $72,237 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36580
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,401 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,353
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$322 /mo · $3,870/yr
- Insurance
- −$107
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$504
- Net cashflow
- $114
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,498
- Closing costs
- $7,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14843 Dayton Cir Foley, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1791 | $2,400 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 14654 Dayton Cir Foley, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1791 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 20d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 14836 Dayton Cir Foley, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1791 | $2,400 | $1.34 | 20d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 14746 Dayton Cir Foley, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 15293 Troon Dr Foley, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $2,600 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-19days on market $259,990 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $259,990 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $259,990 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $259,990 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $259,990 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $259,990 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $259,990 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $259,990 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $259,990 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $259,990 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $259,990 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,990 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $259,990 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $259,990 Active 12 DOM
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2026-05-31pricedays on market $259,990 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $269,990 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-20$269,990 Active 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
This new single-story home offers a low-maintenance layout designed for modern lifestyles. Two secondary bedrooms are located off the foyer, surrounding a full bathroom. An open-concept floorplan blends the kitchen, dining room and family room for seamless everyday transitions and multitasking. A luxurious owner's suite is nestled into a private corner, complete with an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,813
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,451
- − Property taxes
- −$3,870
- − Insurance
- −$1,290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,305
- − Management
- −$2,305
- − Depreciation
- −$7,505
- Taxable loss
- −$2,914
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$699
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-story home offers a modern and low-maintenance layout with a good condition and a good rehab level. It has a good kitchen, bathrooms, and exterior, with minimal repairs needed. The property has a good resale and rental value with potential for further improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Both Replace shower curtain with a more modern design — A new shower curtain can improve the bathroom's appearance and add value.
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and add value for both buyers and renters.
- Both Add a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and add value for both buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Replace shower curtain with a more modern design — A new shower curtain can improve the bathroom's appearance and add value. ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and add value for both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Add a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and add value for both buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 0100270
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,677
- Composite
- 38.61/100
- National rank
- #4157
- State rank
- #18 of 129 in AL
Livability — Summerdale
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #384
- US rank
- #21872
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Summerdale, AL
- City population
- 7,025
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,025
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.97%
- Current HPI
- 288.8697
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $269,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…