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3627 Lafayette Ave Duplex
B Composite 74.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

3627 Lafayette Ave · St. Louis, MO 63110
8 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,616 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 154 Days on market
Built 1915 3,898 sqft lot $96/sqft · 31% below area Est $363k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this turn-key duplex in South City! Each spacious unit offers a great open floor plan and approximately 1,308 sq. ft. of living space. The first-floor flat includes 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, while the second-floor unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Both units come equipped with refrigerator, stove, microwave and garbage disposal in kitchen. Original stained glass, detailed woodwork, and hardwood floors throughout add timeless character to the property. Additional highlights include washer/dryer hookups in the basement, a 2-car brick garage with covered parking, accessed from the alley, and long-term tenants currently under lease. Conveniently located near SLU, Wash U, BJC, Tower Grove Park, Lafayette Park, Shaw’s Garden, and countless restaurants and activities. With steady rental income and historic charm in a prime city location, this fully occupied building is a smart investment opportunity you won’t want to miss. See uploaded RPV for more financial details. Property to be sold AS-IS.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Detailed woodwork
  • Washer dryer hookups

Tags

TURN-KEY DUPLEXOPEN FLOOR PLANORIGINAL STAINED GLASSDETAILED WOODWORKHARDWOOD FLOORSWASHER DRYER HOOKUPS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×4bd/1.5ba + 1×3bd/1.5ba units multifamily listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $668/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,660/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 921% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $220,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
12.71%
Cash-on-cash
22.92%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$362,995
List price
$250,000
Delta
-31.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$56,907
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
29.6%
Equity multiple
4.04×
Total profit
$213,022
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63110

Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,660 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,671/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$769
Net cashflow
$1,337

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,968
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 58%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 4 1.5 $1,931
1× unit 3 1.5 $1,729
Total (2 units) $3,660

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 154 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 153 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 152 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 151 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 149 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 145 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 144 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 143 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $250,000 Active 140 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 139 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 138 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 137 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 136 DOM
  14. 2026-04-21
    price $250,000 1024-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1024 chars)

    Welcome to this turn-key duplex in South City! Each spacious unit offers a great open floor plan and approximately 1,308 sq. ft. of living space. The first-floor flat includes 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, while the second-floor unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Both units come equipped with refrigerator, stove, microwave and garbage disposal in kitchen. Original stained glass, detailed woodwork, and hardwood floors throughout add timeless character to the property. Additional highlights include washer/dryer hookups in the basement, a 2-car brick garage with covered parking, accessed from the alley, and long-term tenants currently under lease. Conveniently located near SLU, Wash U, BJC, Tower Grove Park, Lafayette Park, Shaw’s Garden, and countless restaurants and activities. With steady rental income and historic charm in a prime city location, this fully occupied building is a smart investment opportunity you won’t want to miss. See uploaded RPV for more financial details. Property to be sold AS-IS.

  15. 2026-01-15
    listed $275,000 Active 1024-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1024 chars)

    Welcome to this turn-key duplex in South City! Each spacious unit offers a great open floor plan and approximately 1,308 sq. ft. of living space. The first-floor flat includes 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, while the second-floor unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Both units come equipped with refrigerator, stove, microwave and garbage disposal in kitchen. Original stained glass, detailed woodwork, and hardwood floors throughout add timeless character to the property. Additional highlights include washer/dryer hookups in the basement, a 2-car brick garage with covered parking, accessed from the alley, and long-term tenants currently under lease. Conveniently located near SLU, Wash U, BJC, Tower Grove Park, Lafayette Park, Shaw’s Garden, and countless restaurants and activities. With steady rental income and historic charm in a prime city location, this fully occupied building is a smart investment opportunity you won’t want to miss. See uploaded RPV for more financial details. Property to be sold AS-IS.

  16. 2025-04-01
    listed $284,900 Active
  17. 2025-03-20
    historical
  18. 2020-10-08
    soldstatus
  19. 2020-10-02
    soldstatus Closed
  20. 2020-08-16
    status Pending
  21. 2020-08-14
    listed $225,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,671 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,425 · $202/mo
Expected delta
+$754/yr (+$63/mo · 45.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,920
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$1,671
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,514
− Management
−$3,514
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$12,695
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,047
After-tax cash flow
$12,996/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
17,645
Household income
$81,655
Rent vs Own
56.4% rent · 43.6% own
Severe rent burden
921.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 19% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -206.93%
Current HPI
342.2466
Rent YoY
▲ 6.24%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $250,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $275,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-01 Listed $284,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-20 Coming Soon MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-10-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-10-02 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-16 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-14 Listed $225,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,671 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…