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2419 Lake Ave
C- Composite 53.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • Schools +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$499,000

2419 Lake Ave · Wilmette, IL 60091
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,967 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1968 7,840 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Exceptional opportunity in sought-after Wilmette! Situated on a generous lot in a prime location, this 4-bedroom, 2.5 -bath home offers endless potential for renovation or new construction. All four bedrooms are conveniently located on the second level, including a primary suite with a private bath and walk in closet. The main level features a spacious family room, large living and dining areas, and great natural light throughout. For buyers looking to create their dream home, this property provides a rare chance to update, expand, or start fresh. Additional features include an unfinished sub-basement offering abundant storage and future possibilities. Mature landscaping and an expansive ya

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Expansive yard
  • Primary suite

Tags

GENEROUS LOTPRIME LOCATIONPRIMARY SUITEUNFINISHED SUB-BASEMENTMATURE LANDSCAPINGEXPANSIVE YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Exterior features: Private balcony

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2.5 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Air conditioning
  • Interior features: Private balcony
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $499k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $460 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $495k (0.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $495k (0.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.0% in Wilmette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in IL, #892 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • New Trier Twp Hsd 203 (suburban): math 76% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #2 of 620 in IL (top 0%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($190k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $494,762 (0.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.40%
Cash-on-cash
3.95%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,164,464
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
912 Hunter Rd 0.20mi 4/2.0 1,807 (-8%) 0mo $1,200,000 $664 77
2403 Lake Ave 0.03mi 4/3.0 2,100 (+7%) 15mo $825,000 $393 71
2407 Iroquois Rd 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,196 (+12%) 0mo $1,605,000 $731 70
1213 Dartmouth St 0.43mi 4/2.0 1,800 (-8%) 1mo $1,220,000 $678 65
2133 Birchwood Ave 0.38mi 4/2.5 2,114 (+8%) 11mo $1,365,000 $646 58
2237 Thornwood Ave 0.40mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,187 (+11%) 3mo $1,351,000 $618 54
246 Vista Ct 0.69mi 4/2.5 1,796 (-9%) 2mo $692,500 $386 50
2038 Highland Ave 0.53mi 4/2.5 1,691 (-14%) 1mo $965,000 $571 49
2740 Orchard Ln 0.43mi 4/2.5 1,673 (-15%) 6mo $675,000 $403 48
2013 Highland Ave 0.60mi 4/3.5 2,200 (+12%) 3mo $1,300,000 $591 44
839 Chilton Ln 0.69mi 4/2.5 2,209 (+12%) 6mo $856,000 $388 40
2100 Beechwood Ave 0.70mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,152 (+9%) 12mo $1,275,000 $592 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.1%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-51,478
Equity at exit
$74,403
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-6,786
Equity at exit
$43,144

Cash invested: $139,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60091

Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,948 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,617
Tax est. 1.5%
$624 /mo · $7,485/yr
Insurance
$208
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,039
Net cashflow
$460

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,365
Max offer price $499,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$124,750
Closing costs
$14,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
460 Highcrest Dr Wilmette, IL 3.0 2.0 1750 $5,175 $2.96 1d 1 0.45mi
2036 Lake Ave Wilmette, IL 3.0 2.0 1600 $3,850 $2.41 2d 1 0.47mi
1120 Romona Rd Wilmette, IL 4.0 3.5 2300 $6,800 $2.96 22d 1 0.61mi
1110 Ridge Rd Wilmette, IL 4.0 2.0 2000 $5,500 $2.75 4d 1 0.74mi
3115 Lake Ave Unit 3119-ER Wilmette, IL 3.0 2.5 1646 $4,147 $2.52 19d 1 0.85mi
3119 Lake Ave Unit E Wilmette, IL 3.0 2.5 1458 $4,147 $2.84 25d 1 0.86mi
237 Sunset Dr Unit NA Wilmette, IL 4.0 2.0 1608 $4,500 $2.80 25d 1 0.90mi
651 Brier St Kenilworth, IL 3.0 2.5 2335 $6,200 $2.66 20d 1 1.09mi
1428 Wilmette Ave Unit 1 Wilmette, IL 3.0 2.0 1500 $3,800 $2.53 3d 1 1.27mi
614 Leamington Ave Wilmette, IL 3.0 2.0 1600 $3,200 $2.00 25d 1 1.27mi
716 Laramie Ave Wilmette, IL 3.0 2.0 2100 $4,200 $2.00 25d 1 1.31mi
704 Laramie Ave Wilmette, IL 4.0 2.0 1502 $3,950 $2.63 25d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $499,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    statusdays on marketlisting id $499,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $499,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $499,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $499,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$59,371
− Mortgage interest
−$27,952
− Property taxes
−$7,485
− Insurance
−$2,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,750
− Management
−$4,750
− Depreciation
−$14,516
Taxable loss
−$2,576
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$618
After-tax cash flow
$6,140/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Trier Twp Hsd 203
NCES district ID
1728200
Math proficiency
76% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
80% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$164,521
Composite
76.94/100
National rank
#103
State rank
#2 of 620 in IL

Livability — Wilmette

Score
83/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#892

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wilmette, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
27,333
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
27,333
Household income
$189,909
Rent vs Own
12.1% rent · 87.9% own
Severe rent burden
317.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Asian 12% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
16% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
80% English-only · Chinese 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -420.87%
Current HPI
188.5259
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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