351 North Squirrel Rd Rd #38 · Auburn Hills, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Put your tax return to good use! New AC (2024) New Furnace (2024) and New Roof (2024)! NO property taxes! This gem offers a sprawling 1,500 square feet of lovingly maintained space. Imagine mornings on your large, covered porch, coffee in hand, gazing out over a serene pond. Inside, the heart of the home - the kitchen - boasts an inviting island and flows effortlessly into a large family room, perfect for movie nights and laughter. The primary suite, complete with an ensuite bathroom, promises restful nights, while two additional ample bedrooms ensure everyone has a space of their own. Each corner of this home whispers a story; isn't it time to add yours? Don't let this dream pass you by - homes like this are a rare find! Avondale Schools. The community amenities include a clubhouse, fitness room, basketball hoop, and sidewalks Some images virtually staged This is a manufactured home on leased land HOA reflects lot rent Other dues to community are, 3 site tax, 18 trash fee, 30 community water bill in addition to residents personal use.
Key facts
- New furnace
- Large covered porch
- Inviting island
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (may include breed restrictions; contact for details)
- Financial info: No additional financial details provided
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $857; Community clubhouse, fitness center, and sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway, no garage
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; One-level design
- Exterior features: Located on a private lake with pond and waterfront; Shed(s) on the property; Paved road access; Irregular lot shape
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $74k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $564 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $74k).
- Recommended offer: $72k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 3.7% in Auburn Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#151 in MI, #3,766 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Avondale School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #162 of 540 in MI (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 110 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $512 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.67%
- DSCR
- 2.45
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $256,540
- List price
- $74,000
- Delta
- -71.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 351 N Squirrel Road Lot 178 Rd | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (0%) | 5mo | $56,500 | $38 | 92 |
| 3071 Churchill Rd | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,614 (+8%) | 10mo | $312,000 | $193 | 61 |
| 3207 Waukegan St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,505 (+0%) | 0mo | $248,073 | $165 | 56 |
| 151 Rosetta Ct | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 | 1,448 (-4%) | 12mo | $285,000 | $197 | 56 |
| 3421 Parkways Blvd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,366 (-9%) | 19mo | $260,000 | $190 | 47 |
| 2921 Auburn Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,413 (-6%) | 19mo | $220,000 | $156 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $17,329
- Equity at exit
- $11,034
- IRR
- 26.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.73×
- Total profit
- $35,935
- Equity at exit
- $6,398
Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48326
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,446 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$388
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$92 /mo · $1,110/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$857
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$514
- Net cashflow
- $564
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $615 | -5% $590 | +0% $564 | +5% $538 | +10% $513 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $371 | -5% $467 | +0% $564 | +5% $661 | +10% $757 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $601 | -0.5pp $583 | base $564 | +0.5pp $545 | +1.0pp $525 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,500
- Closing costs
- $2,220
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 N Squirrel Rd Auburn Hills, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5–3.0 | 1475 | $2,320 | $1.57 | 0d | 15 | 0.20mi |
| 192 Raleigh Ave Auburn Hills, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,400 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 124 Optimist Auburn Hills, MI | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 2123 | $3,042 | $1.43 | 0d | 5 | 0.69mi |
| 676 Sheffield Rd Auburn Hills, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1421 | $2,495 | $1.76 | 0d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3200 South Blvd Bloomfield Hills, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $4,250 | $2.38 | 0d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 920 Heritage Dr Bloomfield Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1804 | $3,600 | $2.00 | 0d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $857 · $10,284/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrash
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-21days on market $74,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $74,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $74,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $74,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $74,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $74,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $74,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $74,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-08pricedays on market $74,000 Active 26 DOM
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
Put your tax return to good use! New AC (2024) New Furnace (2024) and New Roof (2024)! NO property taxes! This gem offers a sprawling 1,500 square feet of lovingly maintained space. Imagine mornings on your large, covered porch, coffee in hand, gazing out over a serene pond. Inside, the heart of the home - the kitchen - boasts an inviting island and flows effortlessly into a large family room, perfect for movie nights and laughter. The primary suite, complete with an ensuite bathroom, promises restful nights, while two additional ample bedrooms ensure everyone has a space of their own. Each corner of this home whispers a story; isn't it time to add yours? Don't let this dream pass you by - homes like this are a rare find! Avondale Schools. The community amenities include a clubhouse, fitness room, basketball hoop, and sidewalks Some images virtually staged This is a manufactured home on leased land HOA reflects lot rent Other dues to community are, 3 site tax, 18 trash fee, 30 community water bill in addition to residents personal use.
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2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-14$75,000 Active 1075-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
Put your tax return to good use! New AC (2024) New Furnace (2024) and New Roof (2024)! NO property taxes! This gem offers a sprawling 1,500 square feet of lovingly maintained space. Imagine mornings on your large, covered porch, coffee in hand, gazing out over a serene pond. Inside, the heart of the home - the kitchen - boasts an inviting island and flows effortlessly into a large family room, perfect for movie nights and laughter. The primary suite, complete with an ensuite bathroom, promises restful nights, while two additional ample bedrooms ensure everyone has a space of their own. Each corner of this home whispers a story; isn't it time to add yours? Don't let this dream pass you by - homes like this are a rare find! Avondale Schools. The community amenities include a clubhouse, fitness room, basketball hoop, and sidewalks Some images virtually staged This is a manufactured home on leased land HOA reflects lot rent Other dues to community are, 3 site tax, 18 trash fee, 30 community water bill in addition to residents personal use.
-
2026-05-14$75,000 Active 1059-char remark
Show marketing remark (1051 chars)
Put your tax return to good use! New AC (2024) New Furnace (2024) and New Roof (2024)! NO property taxes! This gem offers a sprawling 1,500 square feet of lovingly maintained space. Imagine mornings on your large, covered porch, coffee in hand, gazing out over a serene pond. Inside, the heart of the home - the kitchen - boasts an inviting island and flows effortlessly into a large family room, perfect for movie nights and laughter. The primary suite, complete with an ensuite bathroom, promises restful nights, while two additional ample bedrooms ensure everyone has a space of their own. Each corner of this home whispers a story; isn't it time to add yours? Don't let this dream pass you by - homes like this are a rare find! Avondale Schools. The community amenities include a clubhouse, fitness room, basketball hoop, and sidewalks Some images virtually staged This is a manufactured home on leased land HOA reflects lot rent Other dues to community are, 3 site tax, 18 trash fee, 30 community water bill in addition to residents personal use.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,354
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,145
- − Property taxes
- −$1,110
- − Insurance
- −$370
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,348
- − Management
- −$2,348
- − HOA
- −$10,284
- − Depreciation
- −$2,153
- Taxable income
- $6,595
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,583
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,186/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 23 photos
This home is in good condition with recent updates, including a new AC, roof, and flooring. It's move-in ready with a serene pond view and ample space for a family.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps home in good condition
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps home in good condition ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Avondale School District
- NCES district ID
- 2603690
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,549
- Composite
- 37.33/100
- National rank
- #4442
- State rank
- #162 of 540 in MI
Livability — Auburn Hills
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #3766
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn Hills, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 24,514
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,514
- Household income
- $85,190
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 986.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Asian 15% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -298.32%
- Current HPI
- 178.7685
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.27%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-1.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $74,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $74,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-14 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-14 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…