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351 North Squirrel Rd Rd #38
B Composite 70.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,000

351 North Squirrel Rd Rd #38 · Auburn Hills, MI 48326
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily · 39 Days on market
Built 1999 Good condition 4,356 sqft lot $49/sqft · 71% below area $857/mo HOA · 35% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Put your tax return to good use! New AC (2024) New Furnace (2024) and New Roof (2024)! NO property taxes! This gem offers a sprawling 1,500 square feet of lovingly maintained space. Imagine mornings on your large, covered porch, coffee in hand, gazing out over a serene pond. Inside, the heart of the home - the kitchen - boasts an inviting island and flows effortlessly into a large family room, perfect for movie nights and laughter. The primary suite, complete with an ensuite bathroom, promises restful nights, while two additional ample bedrooms ensure everyone has a space of their own. Each corner of this home whispers a story; isn't it time to add yours? Don't let this dream pass you by - homes like this are a rare find! Avondale Schools. The community amenities include a clubhouse, fitness room, basketball hoop, and sidewalks Some images virtually staged This is a manufactured home on leased land HOA reflects lot rent Other dues to community are, 3 site tax, 18 trash fee, 30 community water bill in addition to residents personal use.

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Large covered porch
  • Inviting island

Tags

NEW ACNEW FURNACENEW ROOFLARGE COVERED PORCHSERENE PONDINVITING ISLAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed (may include breed restrictions; contact for details)
  • Financial info: No additional financial details provided
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $857; Community clubhouse, fitness center, and sidewalks

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway, no garage
  • Security: No security details provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Pillar/post/pier foundation; One-level design
  • Exterior features: Located on a private lake with pond and waterfront; Shed(s) on the property; Paved road access; Irregular lot shape

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $74k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $564 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $74k).
  • Recommended offer: $72k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 3.7% in Auburn Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#151 in MI, #3,766 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Avondale School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #162 of 540 in MI (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 110 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $512 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Recommended offer $71,780 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.31%
Cap rate
15.44%
Cash-on-cash
32.67%
DSCR
2.45
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$256,540
List price
$74,000
Delta
-71.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
351 N Squirrel Road Lot 178 Rd 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,500 (0%) 5mo $56,500 $38 92
3071 Churchill Rd 0.35mi 3/2.5 1,614 (+8%) 10mo $312,000 $193 61
3207 Waukegan St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,505 (+0%) 0mo $248,073 $165 56
151 Rosetta Ct 0.56mi 3/2.5 1,448 (-4%) 12mo $285,000 $197 56
3421 Parkways Blvd 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,366 (-9%) 19mo $260,000 $190 47
2921 Auburn Rd 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,413 (-6%) 19mo $220,000 $156 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$17,329
Equity at exit
$11,034
10-year hold
IRR
26.2%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$35,935
Equity at exit
$6,398

Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48326

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
110
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,446 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$388
Tax est. 1.5%
$92 /mo · $1,110/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$857
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$514
Net cashflow
$564

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,732
Max offer price $74,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $615 -5% $590 +0% $564 +5% $538 +10% $513
Rent -10% $371 -5% $467 +0% $564 +5% $661 +10% $757
Rate -1.0pp $601 -0.5pp $583 base $564 +0.5pp $545 +1.0pp $525

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,500
Closing costs
$2,220
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 N Squirrel Rd Auburn Hills, MI 2.0–3.0 2.5–3.0 1475 $2,320 $1.57 0d 15 0.20mi
192 Raleigh Ave Auburn Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1700 $2,400 $1.41 44d 1 0.52mi
124 Optimist Auburn Hills, MI 3.0 2.0–2.5 2123 $3,042 $1.43 0d 5 0.69mi
676 Sheffield Rd Auburn Hills, MI 3.0 1.5 1421 $2,495 $1.76 0d 1 1.36mi
3200 South Blvd Bloomfield Hills, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1782 $4,250 $2.38 0d 1 1.48mi
920 Heritage Dr Bloomfield Township, MI 2.0 2.0 1804 $3,600 $2.00 0d 1 1.50mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$857 · $10,284/yr
Likely covers
watertrash

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $74,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $74,000 Active 26 DOM
    Show marketing remark (1051 chars)

    Put your tax return to good use! New AC (2024) New Furnace (2024) and New Roof (2024)! NO property taxes! This gem offers a sprawling 1,500 square feet of lovingly maintained space. Imagine mornings on your large, covered porch, coffee in hand, gazing out over a serene pond. Inside, the heart of the home - the kitchen - boasts an inviting island and flows effortlessly into a large family room, perfect for movie nights and laughter. The primary suite, complete with an ensuite bathroom, promises restful nights, while two additional ample bedrooms ensure everyone has a space of their own. Each corner of this home whispers a story; isn't it time to add yours? Don't let this dream pass you by - homes like this are a rare find! Avondale Schools. The community amenities include a clubhouse, fitness room, basketball hoop, and sidewalks Some images virtually staged This is a manufactured home on leased land HOA reflects lot rent Other dues to community are, 3 site tax, 18 trash fee, 30 community water bill in addition to residents personal use.

  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    listed $75,000 Active 1075-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1051 chars)

    Put your tax return to good use! New AC (2024) New Furnace (2024) and New Roof (2024)! NO property taxes! This gem offers a sprawling 1,500 square feet of lovingly maintained space. Imagine mornings on your large, covered porch, coffee in hand, gazing out over a serene pond. Inside, the heart of the home - the kitchen - boasts an inviting island and flows effortlessly into a large family room, perfect for movie nights and laughter. The primary suite, complete with an ensuite bathroom, promises restful nights, while two additional ample bedrooms ensure everyone has a space of their own. Each corner of this home whispers a story; isn't it time to add yours? Don't let this dream pass you by - homes like this are a rare find! Avondale Schools. The community amenities include a clubhouse, fitness room, basketball hoop, and sidewalks Some images virtually staged This is a manufactured home on leased land HOA reflects lot rent Other dues to community are, 3 site tax, 18 trash fee, 30 community water bill in addition to residents personal use.

  17. 2026-05-14
    listed $75,000 Active 1059-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1051 chars)

    Put your tax return to good use! New AC (2024) New Furnace (2024) and New Roof (2024)! NO property taxes! This gem offers a sprawling 1,500 square feet of lovingly maintained space. Imagine mornings on your large, covered porch, coffee in hand, gazing out over a serene pond. Inside, the heart of the home - the kitchen - boasts an inviting island and flows effortlessly into a large family room, perfect for movie nights and laughter. The primary suite, complete with an ensuite bathroom, promises restful nights, while two additional ample bedrooms ensure everyone has a space of their own. Each corner of this home whispers a story; isn't it time to add yours? Don't let this dream pass you by - homes like this are a rare find! Avondale Schools. The community amenities include a clubhouse, fitness room, basketball hoop, and sidewalks Some images virtually staged This is a manufactured home on leased land HOA reflects lot rent Other dues to community are, 3 site tax, 18 trash fee, 30 community water bill in addition to residents personal use.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,354
− Mortgage interest
−$4,145
− Property taxes
−$1,110
− Insurance
−$370
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,348
− Management
−$2,348
− HOA
−$10,284
− Depreciation
−$2,153
Taxable income
$6,595
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,583
After-tax cash flow
$5,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 23 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with recent updates, including a new AC, roof, and flooring. It's move-in ready with a serene pond view and ample space for a family.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps home in good condition

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps home in good condition

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Avondale School District
NCES district ID
2603690
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$71,549
Composite
37.33/100
National rank
#4442
State rank
#162 of 540 in MI

Livability — Auburn Hills

Score
76/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#3766

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn Hills, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
24,514
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,514
Household income
$85,190
Rent vs Own
48.3% rent · 51.7% own
Severe rent burden
986.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Asian 15% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -298.32%
Current HPI
178.7685
Rent YoY
▼ -2.27%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $74,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $74,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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