5952 E Newton Pl · Tulsa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention investors or handyman buyer. A little personal touch can make this 900 sq. ft, two-bedroom, one bath home a jewel. Convenient location. Kitchen has refrigerator and gas range. Some hardwood & vinyl flooring. Mini-blinds throughout. Utility/mudroom has knotty pine walls and adjacent one-car garage. Vinyl siding exterior. Large chain-link fenced backyard with patio and dog pen. Don't miss out on this one!
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Vinyl flooring
- Utility mudroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation; Year built per public records
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Chain link fencing; Mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range connection; Gas oven connection; Oven; Range; Stove; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (First floor); Additional bedroom (First floor)
- Flooring: Concrete; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (hall/full) (First floor)
- Heating & cooling: Floor furnace (gas)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Wood frame windows with storm windows; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (inside); Electric dryer hookup; Utility room (First floor)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
- Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $105k implies a 468% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.13%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5952 E Newton Pl | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (0%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $89 | 99 |
| 5923 E King Pl | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 849 (-6%) | 6mo | $138,800 | $163 | 70 |
| 5910 E Marshall St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 975 (+8%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $123 | 67 |
| 1508 N Irvington Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 974 (+8%) | 1mo | $192,500 | $198 | 62 |
| 6917 E Marshall St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (+1%) | 5mo | $133,000 | $146 | 61 |
| 1032 N Canton Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (-1%) | 1mo | $112,000 | $126 | 60 |
| 6826 King Pl | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 928 (+3%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $119 | 57 |
| 1327 N Norwood Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,032 (+15%) | 6mo | $146,820 | $142 | 55 |
| 848 N 67th EastAvenue | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-9%) | 2mo | $123,000 | $151 | 55 |
| 807 N Kingston Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-15%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $150 | 49 |
| 1215 N Yale Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 984 (+9%) | 3mo | $117,000 | $119 | 49 |
| 524 N Norwood Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,006 (+12%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $184 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,240
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $32,294
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74115
- Home prices YoY
- -9.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,185 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $826/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $273
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $332 | -5% $303 | +0% $273 | +5% $243 | +10% $213 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $179 | -5% $226 | +0% $273 | +5% $320 | +10% $366 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $326 | -0.5pp $299 | base $273 | +0.5pp $246 | +1.0pp $218 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 917 N Yale Ave Tulsa, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $725 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4703 E Latimer Pl Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1103 | $1,290 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4008 E Virgin St Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,400 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 43 S Toledo Ave Tulsa, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 884 | $1,650 | $1.87 | 16d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1830 N New Haven Ave Tulsa, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-03status Pending
-
2026-04-06$105,000 Active
-
1990-12-26soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $826 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $945 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$119/yr (+$10/mo · 14.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,218
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$826
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,137
- − Management
- −$1,137
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $1,656
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$397
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,876/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulsa
- NCES district ID
- 4030240
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,895
- Composite
- 8.04/100
- National rank
- #9919
- State rank
- #250 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tulsa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #4058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulsa, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 389,418
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,297
- Household income
- $44,608
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 805.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 33% Two or more races 19% Black 13% Native American 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 39%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 42%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.82%
- Current HPI
- 251.0869
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.57%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+467.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-06 Listed $105,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1990-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $826 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…