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3763 Adelia Dr
C- Composite 53.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$225,000

3763 Adelia Dr · Appling, GA 30802
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,674 sqft · Other public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1993 6.90 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Peaceful country living awaits on 6.9 acres in Appling! Nestled on a quiet cul-de-sac with no HOA, this versatile property offers the perfect opportunity for a private weekend retreat, investment property, or future dream home site. Being sold as-is, the property includes an existing mobile home that could be renovated, or you can start fresh and build new. With plenty of space to spread out, enjoy the privacy and freedom of rural living while still being conveniently located near Wildwood Park and Clarks Hill/Lake Thurmond for boating, fishing, camping, and outdoor recreation. If you've been looking for acreage, privacy, and potential, this property is a must-see!

Key facts

  • Acreage
  • Privacy
  • Mobile home

Tags

CUL-DE-SACNO HOAMOBILE HOMEINVESTMENT PROPERTYACREAGEPRIVACY

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Water and sewer available; Private, unimproved road frontage
  • Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One story; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Composition roof; Brick/mortar permanent foundation; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Property on a cul-de-sac; Has a view

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified separately)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Space heater; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Accessible full bath

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (17.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $186k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 1.1% in Appling — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#457 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A; Watch: housing D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Columbia County (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: North Columbia Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #79 of 1,228 statewide, top 7%, 459 students, 22% FRL); Harlem Middle School (math 36% / reading 42%, grade F, #155 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 981 students, 39% FRL); Harlem High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 1,223 students, 33% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 1,213 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Columbia County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $225k implies a 705% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 47% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $186,116 (17.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.69%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$128,110
Equity at exit
$202,698
10-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
6.92×
Total profit
$372,666
Equity at exit
$437,126

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30802

Home prices YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,861 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,296/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$89

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,749
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $216 -5% $152 +0% $89 +5% $25 +10% $-39
Rent -10% $-58 -5% $15 +0% $89 +5% $162 +10% $236
Rate -1.0pp $202 -0.5pp $146 base $89 +0.5pp $30 +1.0pp $-29

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $225,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 673-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    listed $225,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,296 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,070 · $172/mo
Expected delta
+$774/yr (+$65/mo · 59.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 47% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,334
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$1,296
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,787
− Management
−$1,787
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$2,809
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$674
After-tax cash flow
$1,738/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia County
NCES district ID
1301410
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$69,358
Composite
45.04/100
National rank
#2695
State rank
#13 of 174 in GA

Livability — Appling

Score
57/100
State rank
#457
US rank
#21719

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime C+ Employment F Housing D+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,375

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,073 people
By 2030
212,277 · +12.3%
By 2040
259,480 · +37.2%
By 2050
306,991 · +62.4%
By 2075
421,213 · +122.8%
By 2100
496,722 · +162.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 17% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.6) · D 36.8% · R 62.5%
2008→2024 swing
+17.0pp toward D · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -25.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.6 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+42.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.67%
Current HPI
339.0061
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+800.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $225,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-17 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-17 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-21 Listed $229,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-21 Listed $229,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-08-14 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-08-14 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-04-06 Listed $229,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-04-06 Listed $229,900 Hive MLS
  • 1992-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $27,934 Public Records
  • 1990-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+41.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,296 · +52.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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