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1714 Witt Rd
B Composite 73.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

1714 Witt Rd · Franklin, KY 42134
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1950 1.04 ac lot $134/sqft · 39% below area Est $236k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Country feel close to town, shopping & medical facilities. 2 bedroom house one bath with a nice one acre lot. would make a great starter home or rental property. It won't last long at this price.

Key facts

  • One acre lot
  • 1.04 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

ONE ACRE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.9% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#266 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Simpson County (town): math 29% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #72 of 165 in KY (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Simpson Elementary School (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #469 of 676 statewide, top 70%, 726 students, 69% FRL); Franklin-Simpson Middle School (math 29% / reading 39%, grade F, #103 of 217 statewide, top 48%, 687 students, 69% FRL); Franklin-Simpson High School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #76 of 254 statewide, top 34%, 817 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 52% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 282 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Simpson County in 2024 (31 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Simpson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $145k implies a 356% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.85%
Cash-on-cash
16.29%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$236,327
List price
$145,000
Delta
-38.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$11,551
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$55,017
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42134

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Active inventory
282
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,785 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $456/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$375
Net cashflow
$551

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,087
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $633 -5% $592 +0% $551 +5% $510 +10% $469
Rent -10% $410 -5% $481 +0% $551 +5% $622 +10% $692
Rate -1.0pp $624 -0.5pp $588 base $551 +0.5pp $514 +1.0pp $475

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
716 Calumet Cir Franklin, KY 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,900 $1.36 13d 1 0.20mi
714 Calumet Cir Franklin, KY 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,900 $1.36 46d 1 0.22mi
1030 Brookview Dr Unit 21C Franklin, KY 2.0 1.0 976 $950 $0.97 46d 1 0.73mi
1248 Derek Dr Franklin, KY 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,650 $1.38 15d 1 1.40mi
1248 Derek Dr Franklin, KY 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,650 $1.38 23d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-23
    days on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $145,000 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $145,000 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-09
    pricestatusdays on market $145,000 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-04-20
    status Active
  14. 2026-03-23
    historical Active Under Contract
  15. 2026-02-09
    listed $170,000 Active
  16. 2010-02-17
    soldstatus $31,800
  17. 2006-11-22
    soldstatus $63,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$456 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,247 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$791/yr (+$66/mo · 173.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,419
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$456
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,713
− Management
−$1,713
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$4,470
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,073
After-tax cash flow
$5,542/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Simpson County
NCES district ID
2105400
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$41,691
Composite
28.69/100
National rank
#6692
State rank
#72 of 165 in KY

Livability — Franklin

Score
65/100
State rank
#266
US rank
#13010

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Simpson County · 19,380 people
City population
19,380
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
19,380
Household income
$59,113
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
576.0

Population outlook (Simpson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,331 people
By 2030
19,921 · +3.1%
By 2040
20,975 · +8.5%
By 2050
21,736 · +12.4%
By 2075
23,536 · +21.8%
By 2100
23,054 · +19.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Simpson

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.4% · R 71.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-21.1pp toward R · 2008: -22.7pp · 2024: -43.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.9 2020: R+36.7 2016: R+39.0 2012: R+24.1 2008: R+22.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.92%
Current HPI
221.6725
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+169.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted RASKMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Contingent RASKMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $170,000 RASKMLS
  • 2010-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $31,800 Public Records
  • 2006-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $456 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…