Duplex
4111 Holly Ave · Columbus, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Renovated duplex with established tenant in place. Each unit is 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom. Ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow. This well maintained property offers a functional layout, comfortable living spaces, and a strong rental history. Conveniently located near local amenities, shopping, and public transportation. Stable income potential from day one. Please do not disturb tenants. Showing available with an accepted offer only.
Key facts
- Renovated duplex
- Functional layout
- Local amenities
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $640 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $320/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
- Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $105k implies a 708% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.11%
- DSCR
- 2.16
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,975
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -19.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $23,790
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.50×
- Total profit
- $73,420
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31904
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 327
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,658 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $908/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$348
- Net cashflow
- $640
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $1,658 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $829 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $829 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,658 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4022 Young Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3822 Howard Ave Unit A Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1241 | $1,150 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1121 47th St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4207 17th Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1006 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 635 42nd St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $750 | $0.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4226 Oates Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3519 Woodlawn Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,350 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 521 46th St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $975 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3909 Crestview Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 403 46th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,550 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4705 20th Ave Apt 2 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1127 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4001 3rd Ave Unit A or B Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 615 32nd St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $900 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4025 Acacia Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 108 Comer St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,050 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3414 3rd Ave Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $850 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2922 Howard Ave Unit 3 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $795 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1410 Talbotton Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $675 | $0.84 | 44d | 3 | 1.02mi |
| 2005 Cherokee Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $925 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2807 Beacon Ave Unit A Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2807 Beacon Ave Unit B Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1015 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4308 Saint Francis Ave Unit 4310 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,125 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3011 18th Ave Apt F Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $700 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1510 28th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $800 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 707 28th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1384 | $1,000 | $0.72 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1061 54th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1005 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1344 24th St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2601 Cherokee Ave Unit 2 Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3711 Armour Ave Apt 21 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,057 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3821 Armour Ave Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5000 Armour Rd Columbus, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $800 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $105,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $105,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $105,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-04-27status Active 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
Renovated duplex with established tenant in place. Each unit is 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom. Ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow. This well maintained property offers a functional layout, comfortable living spaces, and a strong rental history. Conveniently located near local amenities, shopping, and public transportation. Stable income potential from day one. Please do not disturb tenants. Showing available with an accepted offer only.
-
2026-04-18status Pending 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
Renovated duplex with established tenant in place. Each unit is 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom. Ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow. This well maintained property offers a functional layout, comfortable living spaces, and a strong rental history. Conveniently located near local amenities, shopping, and public transportation. Stable income potential from day one. Please do not disturb tenants. Showing available with an accepted offer only.
-
2026-03-25$105,000 Active 445-char remark
Show marketing remark (445 chars)
Renovated duplex with established tenant in place. Each unit is 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom. Ideal for investors seeking immediate cash flow. This well maintained property offers a functional layout, comfortable living spaces, and a strong rental history. Conveniently located near local amenities, shopping, and public transportation. Stable income potential from day one. Please do not disturb tenants. Showing available with an accepted offer only.
-
2025-03-06historical $525
-
2024-12-20$525
-
2005-06-17soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $908 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $966 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$58/yr (+$5/mo · 6.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,896
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$908
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,592
- − Management
- −$1,592
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $6,343
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,522
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,155/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscogee County
- NCES district ID
- 1303870
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,176
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8297
- State rank
- #120 of 174 in GA
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #14102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, GA
- County
- Muscogee County · 180,764 people
- City population
- 180,764
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,405
- Household income
- $66,291
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2030.0
Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 216,729 people
- By 2030
- 224,504 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 238,318 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 249,027 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 264,862 · +22.2%
- By 2100
- 254,786 · +17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 28% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Korean 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.06%
- Current HPI
- 155.1405
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.04%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+707.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — CBOR
- 2026-04-18 Pending — CBOR
- 2026-03-25 Listed $105,000 CBOR
- 2025-03-06 Rental Removed $525 APPFOLIO
- 2024-12-20 Listed for Rent $525 APPFOLIO
- 2005-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $908 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…