585 Dune Rd Unit 27B · Westhampton, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$499,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
EFFORTLESS OCEANFRONT SUMMER ESCAPE Experience unbelievable ocean views and effortless coastal living in this oceanfront 1-bedroom, 1-bath co-op in desirable Westhampton Beach at The Westhampton House. Experience all there is to offer on the ocean and in Westhampton Beach Village, just moments away. Open from mid-April through mid-November to enjoy peaceful shoulder seasons, and of course, the lively summer season, highlighted by community deck parties on Memorial Day and July 4th holidays.
Key facts
- Oceanfront
- Water views
- On-site pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $499k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($75k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $499k).
- Recommended offer: $454k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 9.2% in Westhampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#969 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Remsenburg-Speonk Union Free School District (suburban): math 60% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #389 of 755 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Remsenburg-Speonk Elementary School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #842 of 2,108 statewide, top 43%, 122 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 36% FRL vs 10% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $12,353/mo this rent would consume 118% of the median local household income ($125k/yr) (locally 19% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $53k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $50k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $140k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$86k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($454k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.20%
- DSCR
- 3.41
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $713,629
- List price
- $499,000
- Delta
- -30.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 459 Dune Rd Unit 7B | 0.90mi | 1/1.0 | 650 (0%) | 16mo | $478,000 | $735 | 52 |
| 459 Dune Rd Unit 3B | 0.90mi | 1/1.0 | 650 (0%) | 25mo | $505,000 | $777 | 45 |
| 473 Dune Rd Unit 17B | 0.81mi | 1/1.5 | 550 (-15%) | 12mo | $725,000 | $1,318 | 28 |
| 473 Dune Rd Unit 6B | 0.81mi | 1/1.5 | 550 (-15%) | 13mo | $735,000 | $1,336 | 27 |
| 473 Dune Rd Unit 5B | 0.81mi | 1/1.0 | 535 (-18%) | 22mo | $750,000 | $1,402 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.79×
- Total profit
- $669,676
- Equity at exit
- $449,539
- IRR
- 60.3%
- Equity multiple
- 12.88×
- Total profit
- $1,659,804
- Equity at exit
- $969,447
Cash invested: $139,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active
- Median asking
- $573,995 ($882/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 26 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +24.4% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 11978
- Home prices YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,353 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,617
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$624 /mo · $7,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,594
- Net cashflow
- $6,244
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $6,589 | -5% $6,416 | +0% $6,244 | +5% $6,072 | +10% $5,899 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $5,268 | -5% $5,756 | +0% $6,244 | +5% $6,732 | +10% $7,220 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $6,495 | -0.5pp $6,371 | base $6,244 | +0.5pp $6,115 | +1.0pp $5,983 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,750
- Closing costs
- $14,970
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $499,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $499,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $499,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $499,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $499,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $499,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $499,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $499,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $499,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $499,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $499,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $499,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $499,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $499,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $499,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $499,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $499,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $499,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $499,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $499,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $499,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $499,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $499,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-07-09pricedays on market $499,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $559,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $559,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $559,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $559,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $559,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $559,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $559,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $559,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $559,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $559,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $559,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $559,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $559,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $559,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $559,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $559,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $559,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $559,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $559,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $559,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $559,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $559,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $559,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $559,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $559,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $559,000 Active 54 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $148,236
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,952
- − Property taxes
- −$7,485
- − Insurance
- −$3,292
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$11,859
- − Management
- −$11,859
- − Depreciation
- −$14,516
- Taxable income
- $71,273
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$17,105
- After-tax cash flow
- $57,822/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This oceanfront 1-bedroom, 1-bath co-op in Westhampton Beach is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The property's location, amenities, and stunning water views make it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior walls and siding — Painting the exterior will enhance the curb appeal and increase the property's resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring — Updating the flooring will improve the overall aesthetic and functionality of the property, increasing its resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — Upgrading the HVAC system will improve the comfort and energy efficiency of the property, increasing its resale and rental value. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Remsenburg-Speonk Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624420
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▲ 10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,972
- Composite
- 47.7/100
- National rank
- #4915
- State rank
- #389 of 755 in NY
Livability — Westhampton
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #969
- US rank
- #18972
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Westhampton, NY
- County
- Suffolk County · 1,505,262 people
- City population
- 2,843
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,705
- Household income
- $125,179
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19% of renters
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.02%
- Current HPI
- 460.3964
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $559,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…