17620 Front Beach 06 Rd Unit O6 · Panama City Beach, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.3/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- DSCR +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$272,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 2 bed 2 bath condo located in Panama Beach, FL. This property will not last long!
Key facts
- Community pool
- Built 1984
- Listed 273 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $272k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-545 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (8.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $239k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.6% in Panama City Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#172 in FL, #2,624 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1249 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($239k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.53%
- DSCR
- 0.66
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $317,609
- List price
- $272,000
- Delta
- -14.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -35.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-84,420
- Equity at exit
- $40,556
- IRR
- -74.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.84×
- Total profit
- $-140,207
- Equity at exit
- $23,518
Cash invested: $76,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32413
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 1249
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,502 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,426
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$340 /mo · $4,080/yr
- Insurance
- −$113
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA est. from 7 same-building comps
- −$575
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $-545
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-357 | -5% $-451 | +0% $-545 | +5% $-639 | +10% $-733 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-742 | -5% $-643 | +0% $-545 | +5% $-446 | +10% $-347 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-408 | -0.5pp $-475 | base $-545 | +0.5pp $-615 | +1.0pp $-687 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,000
- Closing costs
- $8,160
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17614 Front Beach Rd Unit 16D Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,600 | $2.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 17735 Front Beach Rd Unit 1447171P Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $4,925 | $4.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 17729 Front Beach Rd Unit 1355005P Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $2,038 | $2.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 17545 Front Beach Rd Unit 1523333P Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $6,472 | $5.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 17751 Panama City Beach Pkwy Unit 1523371P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $3,862 | $3.52 | 21d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 17751 Panama City Beach Pkwy Unit 2E Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,600 | $2.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 17462 Front Beach Rd Unit 1 Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,950 | $2.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 127 Heather Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $2,350 | $1.81 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 17225 Panama City Beach Pkwy Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $1,719 | $1.75 | 14d | 10 | 0.92mi |
| 102 Cabana Cay Cir Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $2,143 | $2.26 | 14d | 26 | 0.97mi |
| 17155 Front Beach Rd Unit 1354915P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $2,498 | $2.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 19610 Alta Vista Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $272,000 Active 274 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $272,000 Active 273 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $272,000 Active 272 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $272,000 Active 271 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $272,000 Active 270 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $272,000 Active 268 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $272,000 Active 267 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $272,000 Active 265 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $272,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $272,000 Active 263 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $272,000 Active 262 DOM
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2026-06-05pricedays on market $272,000 Active 259 DOM
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2026-04-17price $266,900 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
Beautiful 2 bed 2 bath condo located in Panama Beach, FL. This property will not last long!
-
2026-03-09status Active 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
Beautiful 2 bed 2 bath condo located in Panama Beach, FL. This property will not last long!
-
2026-03-07historical 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
Beautiful 2 bed 2 bath condo located in Panama Beach, FL. This property will not last long!
-
2026-02-20price $269,500 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
Beautiful 2 bed 2 bath condo located in Panama Beach, FL. This property will not last long!
-
2026-01-12price $272,000 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
Beautiful 2 bed 2 bath condo located in Panama Beach, FL. This property will not last long!
-
2025-12-02price $274,000 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
Beautiful 2 bed 2 bath condo located in Panama Beach, FL. This property will not last long!
-
2025-10-13price $286,000 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
Beautiful 2 bed 2 bath condo located in Panama Beach, FL. This property will not last long!
-
2025-09-06$293,000 Active 91-char remark
Show marketing remark (91 chars)
Beautiful 2 bed 2 bath condo located in Panama Beach, FL. This property will not last long!
-
2021-11-22soldstatus $255,000 603-char remark
Show marketing remark (603 chars)
Great clean condo. Portside is right across the street to the beach access 71. Golf cart community. Private and quiet back yard common area. Move in ready. 2nd owner and has not been a rental. Fully furnished. HOA paid till the end of year. Selling as-is buyer to verify dimensions. right by back tennis courts, 3 pools and a hot tub, clubhouse with kitchen, tv free wifi, pol table, darts, corn hole, table tennis and reading book exchange. Gym Electric $100 ish a month, water $79 every other mo. , $65 internet thru Xfinity, $800 ish insurance HO6 hurricane/wind, $40,000 projected rental income.
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2021-09-22$268,000 603-char remark
Show marketing remark (603 chars)
Great clean condo. Portside is right across the street to the beach access 71. Golf cart community. Private and quiet back yard common area. Move in ready. 2nd owner and has not been a rental. Fully furnished. HOA paid till the end of year. Selling as-is buyer to verify dimensions. right by back tennis courts, 3 pools and a hot tub, clubhouse with kitchen, tv free wifi, pol table, darts, corn hole, table tennis and reading book exchange. Gym Electric $100 ish a month, water $79 every other mo. , $65 internet thru Xfinity, $800 ish insurance HO6 hurricane/wind, $40,000 projected rental income.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,025
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,236
- − Property taxes
- −$4,080
- − Insurance
- −$2,158
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,402
- − Management
- −$2,402
- − HOA
- −$6,900
- − Depreciation
- −$7,913
- Taxable loss
- −$11,066
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,656
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,879/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo in Panama Beach, FL, requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Key updates include painting, deck and siding repairs, and landscaping improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Wooden deck — Some wear and tear visible
- Minor Wooden siding — Slight discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating kitchen cabinets — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Deck and siding repairs — Improves structural integrity and curb appeal
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting environment
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Wooden deck · Some wear and tear visible | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Wooden siding · Slight discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating kitchen cabinets — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Deck and siding repairs — Improves structural integrity and curb appeal ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting environment ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Panama City Beach
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #2624
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Panama City Beach, FL
- County
- Bay County · 163,593 people
- City population
- 50,689
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,453
- Household income
- $80,039
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 531.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -185.97%
- Current HPI
- 354.7469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.52%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-0.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $266,900 CPARMLS
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — CPARMLS
- 2026-03-07 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $269,500 CPARMLS
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $272,000 CPARMLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $274,000 CPARMLS
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $286,000 CPARMLS
- 2025-09-06 Listed $293,000 CPARMLS
- 2021-11-22 Sold (MLS) $255,000 CPARMLS
- 2021-09-22 Listed $268,000 CPARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…