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609 Ollar Ln
D+ Composite 49.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$141,000

609 Ollar Ln · Heavener, OK 74937
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1995 3.55 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3br/2b w 5 acreas country home inside city limits w ponds and pasture surrounding it. Awesome country living but your minutes from the grocery store! Dont miss this one of a kind investment- home is in need of some updates but priced to sell fast.

Key facts

  • 3.55 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1995

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Heavener Township Add subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1 covered parking space; Gravel and concrete driveway/parking
  • Utilities: Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level / single story
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a house (year built not provided)
  • Exterior features: Patio; Cleared lot; Level lot; Lot irregularly shaped; 3.55 acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater (serves kitchen); Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Single-family home (number of bedrooms not specified)
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Electric heating; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $141k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($410/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (18.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#354 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Heavener (town): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #200 of 270 in OK (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Heavener Es (math 14% / reading 23%, grade F, #530 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 577 students, 0% FRL); Heavener Hs (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #314 of 447 statewide, top 72%, 310 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 74% district-wide (74 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Le Flore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($975 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (9.9% local appreciation)).
  • Le Flore County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $95k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,545 (18.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.04%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$416,416
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21 Pickle Ln 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,554 (+7%) 18mo $445,000 $286 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.94% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$78,324
Equity at exit
$126,385
10-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
6.79×
Total profit
$228,697
Equity at exit
$271,876

Cash invested: $39,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74937

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,155 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$739
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $966/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,112
Max offer price $141,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,250
Closing costs
$4,230
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $141,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $141,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $141,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $141,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $141,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $141,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $141,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $165,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-04-22
    listed $165,000 Active
  16. 2019-07-30
    soldstatus $95,000 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    3br/2b w 5 acreas country home inside city limits w ponds and pasture surrounding it. Awesome country living but your minutes from the grocery store! Dont miss this one of a kind investment- home is in need of some updates but priced to sell fast.

  17. 2019-07-18
    soldstatus $95,000
  18. 2019-04-14
    listed $90,000 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    3br/2b w 5 acreas country home inside city limits w ponds and pasture surrounding it. Awesome country living but your minutes from the grocery store! Dont miss this one of a kind investment- home is in need of some updates but priced to sell fast.

  19. 2012-08-20
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$966 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,269 · $106/mo
Expected delta
+$303/yr (+$25/mo · 31.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,865
− Mortgage interest
−$7,898
− Property taxes
−$966
− Insurance
−$705
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,109
− Management
−$1,109
− Depreciation
−$4,102
Taxable loss
−$2,024
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$486
After-tax cash flow
$895/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Heavener
NCES district ID
4014160
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$32,029
Composite
14.92/100
National rank
#9370
State rank
#200 of 270 in OK

Livability — Heavener

Score
60/100
State rank
#354
US rank
#19062

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Heavener, OK
Population (ZIP)
5,185

Population outlook (Le Flore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,504 people
By 2030
47,474 · -2.1%
By 2040
44,914 · -7.4%
By 2050
42,239 · -12.9%
By 2075
35,071 · -27.7%
By 2100
25,949 · -46.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 12% Native American 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Le Flore

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.8) · D 17.0% · R 81.8% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -38.6pp · 2024: -64.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+58.7 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+38.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.94%
Current HPI
267.2382
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+725.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $165,000 WRVBOR
  • 2019-07-30 Sold (MLS) $95,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2019-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2019-04-14 Listed $90,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2012-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $966 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…