4501 NW 14th Loop · Ocala, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- Cash flow +8.4/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful 3/2 home built by Lennar in 2024. Top of the line finishes including Stainless steel appliances , Quartz counter tops in Kithchen with 42" Cabinets. Tiled Bathrooms. Tile in all living areas. Spacious open home concept. Close proximity to I-75. The house includes a covered lanai along with a 2 car garage. Must see.
Key facts
- Open home concept
- Covered lanai
- Tiled bathrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-251 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (15.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (26.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $206k (26.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 4.1% in Ocala — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: College Park Elementary School (math 46% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,437 of 2,144 statewide, top 68%, 840 students, 78% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,365 students, 54% FRL); West Port High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,906 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 670 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.85%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $294,812
- List price
- $279,900
- Delta
- -5.06%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4493 NW 14th Loop | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,755 (+13%) | 8mo | $320,000 | $182 | 65 |
| 2218 NW 50th Ave | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 | 1,544 (-0%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $149 | 63 |
| 1481 NW 48th Ter | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,429 (-8%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $168 | 59 |
| 4762 NW 11th St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,544 (-0%) | 13mo | $240,000 | $155 | 57 |
| 1400 NW 48th Ter | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,428 (-8%) | 3mo | $298,140 | $209 | 56 |
| 4684 NW 11th St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,697 (+10%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $153 | 54 |
| 4494 NW 14th Loop | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,714 (+11%) | 24mo | $290,000 | $169 | 54 |
| 4813 NW 11th St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,484 (-4%) | 14mo | $245,050 | $165 | 52 |
| 1208 NW 48th Ter | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,429 (-8%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $182 | 50 |
| 2251 NW 50th Ave | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,341 (-13%) | 5mo | $249,900 | $186 | 43 |
| 1142 NW 47th Ct | 0.52mi | 3/4.0 (+1) | 1,428 (-8%) | 12mo | $256,990 | $180 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-50,494
- Equity at exit
- $41,734
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-15,146
- Equity at exit
- $24,201
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34482
- Rents YoY
- 11.1%
- Active inventory
- 670
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,056 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$254 /mo · $3,043/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$37
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $-251
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-93 | -5% $-172 | +0% $-251 | +5% $-330 | +10% $-410 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-414 | -5% $-332 | +0% $-251 | +5% $-170 | +10% $-89 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-110 | -0.5pp $-180 | base $-251 | +0.5pp $-324 | +1.0pp $-397 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4530 NW 14th Loop Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1966 | $2,250 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2028 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2038 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $2,250 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2048 NW 50th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $2,250 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1918 NW 50th Cir Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1061 | $2,200 | $2.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5399 NW 18th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $2,100 | $1.94 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5399 NW 18th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $2,100 | $1.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| NW 40th Avenue Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5353 N US Highway 27 Ocala, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1169 | $1,785 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1527 NW 57th Ct Unit 1 Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1017 NW 57th Ct Unit 1019 Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,649 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 985 NW 57th Ct Unit 987 Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,697 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 985 NW 57th Ct Unit 985 Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,649 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 933 NW 57th Ct Unit 935 Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,649 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5811 NW 10th St Unit 5811 Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,649 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3335 NW 52nd Avenue Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1318 | $2,500 | $1.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5048 NW 35th St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5333 NW 33rd Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,300 | $1.68 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $37 · $444/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $279,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $279,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $279,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $279,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $279,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $279,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $279,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $279,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $279,900 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $285,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $285,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $285,900 Active 78 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $285,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-03-26price $285,900 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Beautiful 3/2 home built by Lennar in 2024. Top of the line finishes including Stainless steel appliances , Quartz counter tops in Kithchen with 42" Cabinets. Tiled Bathrooms. Tile in all living areas. Spacious open home concept. Close proximity to I-75. The house includes a covered lanai along with a 2 car garage. Must see.
-
2026-03-14$295,900 Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Beautiful 3/2 home built by Lennar in 2024. Top of the line finishes including Stainless steel appliances , Quartz counter tops in Kithchen with 42" Cabinets. Tiled Bathrooms. Tile in all living areas. Spacious open home concept. Close proximity to I-75. The house includes a covered lanai along with a 2 car garage. Must see.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,043 · $254/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,043 · $254/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,667
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$3,043
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,973
- − Management
- −$1,973
- − HOA
- −$444
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable loss
- −$7,988
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,917
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,097/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocala, FL
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,807
- Household income
- $65,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 282.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 14% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.62%
- Current HPI
- 194.3857
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.12%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-3.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $285,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-14 Listed $295,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+290.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,043 · +290.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…