1520 Graymont Ave W · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$92,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WOW WHAT A RARE FIND! HOME HAS SO MUCH TO OFFER.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 39 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment assistance available; Fire, garbage, and library fees included
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Private water; Connected sewer; Internet service availability unknown
- Home design: Existing/previously built home; 4-side brick construction; Basement foundation
- Construction: 4-side brick construction; Basement foundation; Daylight basement
- Exterior features: Interior lot; Fireplace (exterior listing notes); No pool, patio, decks, or garden/patio listed; Public road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms located on main level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet floors; Ceilings: other (see remarks); Brick fireplace in the living room; Some window treatments to remain; Full daylight basement (all unfinished); Attic present
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $93k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $93k).
- Recommended offer: $90k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Parker High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 826 students, 90% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $642 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.19%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $109,615
- List price
- $92,900
- Delta
- -15.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1532 Graymont Ave W | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,913 (+14%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $39 | 64 |
| 2854 20th St W | 0.37mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,634 (-3%) | 10mo | $62,000 | $38 | 62 |
| 1330 Bush Blvd W | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,523 (-10%) | 11mo | $170,000 | $112 | 60 |
| 2720 23rd St W | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,692 (+0%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $27 | 57 |
| 3100 Pike Rd | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,461 (-13%) | 6mo | $81,000 | $55 | 56 |
| 1620 5th Ave W | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,436 (-15%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $153 | 49 |
| 2684 20th Street Ensley | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,596 (-5%) | 18mo | $98,000 | $61 | 43 |
| 2309 Eufaula Ave | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 | 1,454 (-14%) | 12mo | $79,000 | $54 | 39 |
| 2733 17th St W | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 1,900 (+13%) | 14mo | $164,500 | $87 | 38 |
| 2744 21st St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,521 (-10%) | 16mo | $75,000 | $49 | 34 |
| 2725 23rd St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,897 (+12%) | 17mo | $108,000 | $57 | 28 |
| 2837 24th St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-15%) | 15mo | $63,000 | $44 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $13,168
- Equity at exit
- $13,852
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.56×
- Total profit
- $66,506
- Equity at exit
- $8,032
Cash invested: $26,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35208
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,309 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$487
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,882/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $351
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $404 | -5% $377 | +0% $351 | +5% $325 | +10% $298 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $248 | -5% $299 | +0% $351 | +5% $403 | +10% $454 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $398 | -0.5pp $375 | base $351 | +0.5pp $327 | +1.0pp $302 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,225
- Closing costs
- $2,787
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1532 Graymont Ave W Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1913 | $1,150 | $0.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1642 Graymont Ave W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1219 | $1,090 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3113 Pike Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,275 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 612 12th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1242 | $1,150 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1230 4th Ter W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $1,000 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1701 4th Ter W Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1977 | $1,550 | $0.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1119 Graymont Ave W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,073 | $0.85 | 2d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1101 7th Ave W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1720 Cullman Ave Unit 3 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $950 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1720 Cullman Ave Unit 2 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $899 | $0.77 | 22d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1108 4th Ct W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1623 | $1,125 | $0.69 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2920 24th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,050 | $0.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2309 Eufaula Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $1,395 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2304 Eufaula Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1381 | $980 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2714 17th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1976 | $1,553 | $0.79 | 4d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1621 2nd Ct W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,095 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 827 6th Ave W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1214 | $1,075 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2720 23rd Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $1,500 | $0.89 | 20d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2720 23rd Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,500 | $1.11 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2621 20th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $1,295 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2609 20th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,550 | $1.03 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2609 20th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1229 | $1,550 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2712 24th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,099 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2523 16th street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,300 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 724 4th Ct W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $930 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 617 7th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2511 20th Place Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2709 30th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,323 | $0.94 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2335 20th Place Ensley Birmingham, AL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2335 20th Place Ensley Birmingham, AL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2356 22nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $985 | $0.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 915 6th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1332 | $1,075 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2528 25th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1563 | $1,100 | $0.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 854 5th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1501 | $1,275 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 410 8th Ter W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,200 | $0.83 | 16d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2337 23rd Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $1,295 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 644 Alabama Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,125 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1220 Alabama Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1175 | $1,350 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2213 25th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,150 | $0.96 | 11d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 719 Washington Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $950 | $0.89 | 12d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-17status $92,900 Pending 39 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $92,900 Contingent 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $92,900 Contingent 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $92,900 Contingent 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $92,900 Contingent 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $92,900 Contingent 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $92,900 Contingent 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $92,900 Contingent 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $92,900 Contingent 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $92,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $92,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $92,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $92,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$92,900 Active 49-char remark
-
2006-03-20soldstatus $94,000
-
2005-08-22soldstatus $55,500
-
2001-10-15soldstatus $68,000
-
1998-03-26soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,882 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,882 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,702
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,204
- − Property taxes
- −$1,882
- − Insurance
- −$464
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,256
- − Management
- −$1,256
- − Depreciation
- −$2,703
- Taxable income
- $2,937
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$705
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,507/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
- Household income
- $38,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 573.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.99%
- Current HPI
- 153.414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.24%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+42.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-06-05 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $92,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2006-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $55,500 Public Records
- 2001-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 1998-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,882 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…