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974 Burton Ave Duplex
B Composite 70.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

974 Burton Ave · Cincinnati, OH 45229
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 4,546 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 100 Days on market
Built 1892 0.45 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

PC3245 Brick 3-family, off street parking, large lot, located on no outlet street. Needs some work to restore property to the stately Manor it once was. In auction status.

Key facts

  • 0.45 acre lot
  • Built 1892
  • Listed 100 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking via driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Triplex; Three or more levels; Two fireplaces
  • Construction: Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Slate roof; Brick construction; Vinyl and wood windows; Nearly half-acre lot (approximately 0.448 acres); Lot dimensions about 100 x 201

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms; Unit 3: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Unit 1: 2 full bathrooms; Unit 2: 2 full bathrooms; Unit 3: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Two wood-burning fireplaces

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $541/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $199k).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 49 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,688/mo this rent would consume 137% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1730% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($181k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $199k implies a 784% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1892 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $181,090 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1892 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
12.82%
Cash-on-cash
23.30%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$404,594
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1041 Dana Ave 0.17mi 5/4.0 (-1) 4,265 (-6%) 21mo $379,900 $89 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$46,709
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
30.1%
Equity multiple
4.10×
Total profit
$172,734
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45229

Home prices YoY
-24.0%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,688 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$705 /mo · $8,460/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$774
Net cashflow
$1,082

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,318
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,195 -5% $1,138 +0% $1,082 +5% $1,026 +10% $969
Rent -10% $791 -5% $936 +0% $1,082 +5% $1,228 +10% $1,373
Rate -1.0pp $1,182 -0.5pp $1,133 base $1,082 +0.5pp $1,030 +1.0pp $978

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,688

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
907 Lexington Ave Unit A Cincinnati, OH 6.0 2.0 6500 $2,580 $0.40 3d 1 0.32mi
907 Lexington Ave Unit A Cincinnati, OH 6.0 2.0 6500 $2,900 $0.45 16d 1 0.32mi
907 Lexington Ave Cincinnati, OH 6.0 2.0 6000 $2,550 $0.42 3d 1 0.32mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,000 Active 100 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 97 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 96 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 95 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 94 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,000 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $199,000 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,000 Active 86 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,000 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,000 Active 81 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,000 Active 80 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,000 Active 79 DOM
  15. 2026-03-13
    listed $249,000 Active
  16. 2008-10-06
    historical
  17. 2008-04-07
    soldstatus $22,500 171-char remark
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    PC3245 Brick 3-family, off street parking, large lot, located on no outlet street. Needs some work to restore property to the stately Manor it once was. In auction status.

  18. 2008-04-07
    listed $52,900
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    PC3245 Brick 3-family, off street parking, large lot, located on no outlet street. Needs some work to restore property to the stately Manor it once was. In auction status.

  19. 2007-11-16
    listed $55,900 171-char remark
    Show marketing remark (171 chars)

    PC3245 Brick 3-family, off street parking, large lot, located on no outlet street. Needs some work to restore property to the stately Manor it once was. In auction status.

  20. 2006-07-24
    historical
  21. 2006-07-12
    listed $109,900
  22. 2003-02-14
    soldstatus $145,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,460 · $705/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,460 · $705/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,256
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$8,460
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,540
− Management
−$3,540
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable income
$10,784
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,588
After-tax cash flow
$10,396/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cincinnati Public Schools
NCES district ID
3904375
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$35,743
Composite
25.21/100
National rank
#7508
State rank
#581 of 656 in OH

Livability — Cincinnati

Score
80/100
State rank
#130
US rank
#1856

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cincinnati, OH
County
Hamilton County · 701,295 people
City population
505,555
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
13,529
Household income
$32,263
Rent vs Own
69.4% rent · 30.6% own
Severe rent burden
1730.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
826,054 people
By 2030
830,947 · +0.6%
By 2040
832,319 · +0.8%
By 2050
822,428 · -0.4%
By 2075
788,688 · -4.5%
By 2100
710,674 · -14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 24% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.34%
Current HPI
254.492
Rent YoY
▲ 5.55%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+71.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $249,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2008-10-06 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2008-04-07 Listed $52,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2008-04-07 Sold (MLS) $22,500 Cincy MLS
  • 2007-11-16 Listed $55,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2006-07-24 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2006-07-12 Listed $109,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2003-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+29.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,460 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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