CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
994 Catherine Dr 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 35.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$369,914

994 Catherine Dr · Opelika, AL 36801
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,699 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 130 Days on market
Built 2024 0.37 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The OVERTON PLAN features entry foyer leading to beautiful Dining Room featuring detailed trim-work accent. Open Family Room w/ woodburning fireplace featuring brick or stone surround. The over-sized Kitchen features shaker styled cabinets, granite or quartz counters, designer selected tile backsplash, and Stainless Electric Range/Oven, Dishwasher, and Microhood. Upstairs, you'll find the Large Owner's Suite w/ sitting area and a luxurious tiled bathroom with double vanity boasting quartz or granite counters, garden tub, and separate tiled shower. The owner's closet is HUGE! Three guest rooms w/ vaulted ceilings and a shared bathroom. Mohawk Redwood flooring in much of the main level common

Key facts

  • Large owner's suite
  • Rear covered patio
  • Foam insulated attic

Tags

LARGE OWNER'S SUITEMOHAWK REDWOOD FLOORINGFOAM INSULATED ATTICREAR COVERED PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $369,914 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $394,054.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $370k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-219 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $355k (3.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $301k (18.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $301k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.8% in Opelika — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#188 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
  • Opelika City (urban): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #45 of 129 in AL (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 532 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,858 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (113 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,006/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1025% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($326k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $300,578 (18.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.38%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$394,054
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1029 Finn Ct 0.12mi 4/3.0 2,697 (-0%) 6mo $399,900 $148 88
1109 Catherine Dr 0.16mi 4/2.5 2,655 (-2%) 10mo $372,900 $140 81
1006 Catherine Dr 0.03mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,600 (-4%) 13mo $379,900 $146 75
1178 Palmer Lee Dr 0.16mi 4/3.5 2,805 (+4%) 13mo $384,900 $137 71
1005 Catherine Dr 0.03mi 4/2.0 2,330 (-14%) 4mo $382,914 $164 70
1025 Sawyer Dr 0.08mi 4/2.0 2,321 (-14%) 1mo $374,900 $162 70
676 High Field Ct 0.47mi 4/3.0 2,730 (+1%) 7mo $399,900 $146 68
1209 Covington Ave 0.23mi 4/2.5 2,498 (-7%) 12mo $320,000 $128 67
1314 Lizlin St 0.42mi 4/2.5 2,509 (-7%) 4mo $325,000 $130 65
682 High Field Ct 0.46mi 4/2.5 2,632 (-2%) 13mo $409,000 $155 64
533 Towne Lake Pkwy 0.71mi 4/3.0 2,705 (+0%) 3mo $418,000 $155 62
672 Towne Lake Pkwy 0.56mi 4/3.0 2,761 (+2%) 13mo $388,500 $141 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.9%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-67,697
Equity at exit
$58,755
10-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-32,536
Equity at exit
$34,071

Cash invested: $110,335 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36801

Home prices YoY
-30.9%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
532
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,006 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,066
Tax from tax record
$363 /mo · $4,357/yr
Insurance
$164
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$631
Net cashflow
$-219

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,283
Max offer price $355,341
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$98,514
Closing costs
$11,822
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1729 Hanson St Opelika, AL 3.0 2.5 2012 $2,750 $1.37 44d 1 1.03mi
1743 Hanson St Opelika, AL 3.0 2.5 2235 $3,050 $1.36 44d 1 1.04mi
1771 Hanson St Opelika, AL 4.0 3.5 2637 $3,500 $1.33 44d 1 1.06mi
1785 Hanson St Opelika, AL 4.0 3.5 2561 $3,500 $1.37 13d 1 1.06mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2024-10-11
    status Pending
  2. 2024-06-03
    listed $369,914 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,357 · $363/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,357 · $363/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,069
− Mortgage interest
−$22,073
− Property taxes
−$4,357
− Insurance
−$1,970
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,886
− Management
−$2,886
− Depreciation
−$11,463
Taxable loss
−$9,565
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,296
After-tax cash flow
$-334/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Opelika City
NCES district ID
0102580
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$40,081
Composite
29.34/100
National rank
#6541
State rank
#45 of 129 in AL

Livability — Opelika

Score
63/100
State rank
#188
US rank
#15556

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Opelika, AL
County
Lee County · 144,175 people
City population
45,973
Metro
Auburn-Opelika, AL
Population (ZIP)
25,438
Household income
$62,414
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1025.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
196,440 people
By 2030
217,417 · +10.7%
By 2040
259,467 · +32.1%
By 2050
301,557 · +53.5%
By 2075
402,186 · +104.7%
By 2100
474,503 · +141.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 37% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -27.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+19.9 2008: R+19.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.80%
Current HPI
261.6632
Rent YoY
▲ 6.25%
Metro
Auburn-Opelika, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2024-10-11 Pending LCMLS
  • 2024-06-03 Listed $369,914 LCMLS

Property tax history

+128.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,357 · +1093.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…