8565 Smith-calhoun Rd #38 · Plain City, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
NEW PRICE! Easy mornings, low-maintenance living, and a layout that simply works. This is the kind of home that makes everyday life feel comfortable from the moment you walk in. Fresh paint throughout gives the home a bright, clean feel, while the open-concept design creates a natural flow between the kitchen, dining, and living spaces. Whether you are hosting friends, relaxing after work, or enjoying a quiet night at home, the space feels functional, connected, and larger than expected. With 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths across approximately 1,190 square feet, there is flexibility for guests, a home office, hobbies, or whatever fits your lifestyle best. The private primary suite offers its o
Key facts
- Built 2021
- Listed 41 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Suburban Clearview Mobile Home subdivision
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $681; Association fee includes sewer, trash, water, and snow removal
Exterior
- Utilities: Private water; Private sewer
- Home design: One-story home; Built in 2021; Other residential without deeded land; No common walls (no one above or below)
- Construction: Built in 2021
- Exterior features: Other foundation details
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Garden/soak tub
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.2% in Plain City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#146 in OH, #2,254 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Jonathan Alder Local (rural): math 68% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #121 of 656 in OH (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 414 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 530 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (120 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.29%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $55,297
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 80.66%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8565 Smith Calhoun Rd Unit 53-0 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,190 (0%) | 3mo | $105,800 | $89 | 96 |
| 8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #5 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,190 (0%) | 11mo | $80,000 | $67 | 90 |
| 8565 Smith-calhoun Rd #190 | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+8%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $39 | 80 |
| 9030 Amity Pike | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (-5%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $301 | 72 |
| 8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #63 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+2%) | 23mo | $73,000 | $60 | 69 |
| 8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #128 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (+8%) | 18mo | $65,000 | $51 | 65 |
| 8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #50 | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-6%) | 18mo | $50,000 | $45 | 63 |
| 8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #137 | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-6%) | 19mo | $22,500 | $20 | 62 |
| 9000 Amity Pike | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+4%) | 22mo | $375,000 | $304 | 62 |
| 8565 Smith-calhoun Rd #114 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-9%) | 24mo | $62,000 | $57 | 57 |
| 8565 Smith Calhoun Rd Unit 71-0 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-12%) | 22mo | $84,900 | $81 | 54 |
| 8565 Smith Calhoun Rd #127 | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,050 (-12%) | 23mo | $52,500 | $50 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $12,898
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $49,941
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43064
- Active inventory
- 414
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,305 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$681
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$484
- Net cashflow
- $450
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $681 · $8,172/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $99,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $104,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-19status Active 940-char remark
-
2026-05-10historical Contingent 940-char remark
-
2026-05-08$105,000 Active 940-char remark
-
2026-05-06historical $105,000 940-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,660
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,213
- − Management
- −$2,213
- − HOA
- −$8,172
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $4,562
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,095
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,300/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 23 photos
This move-in ready home offers a modern, open layout with fresh paint and well-maintained features. It's a great opportunity for buyers looking for a turnkey property.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both painting — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Resale minor kitchen updates — modern kitchen can be updated to match current trends
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both painting — fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Resale minor kitchen updates — modern kitchen can be updated to match current trends ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jonathan Alder Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904826
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,345
- Composite
- 61.84/100
- National rank
- #729
- State rank
- #121 of 656 in OH
Livability — Plain City
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #146
- US rank
- #2254
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Union County · 57,133 people
- City population
- 18,143
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,143
- Household income
- $139,591
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 103.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,050 people
- By 2030
- 46,826 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 47,941 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 47,919 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 46,160 · +0.2%
- By 2100
- 38,584 · -16.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Asian 10% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Polish 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.7) · D 27.6% · R 71.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -43.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.7 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.74%
- Current HPI
- 235.171
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-4.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Price Changed $99,900 CBRMLS
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $104,500 CBRMLS
- 2026-05-19 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2026-05-10 Contingent — CBRMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $105,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-05-06 Coming Soon $105,000 CBRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…