4700 S 5th Ave #9 · Pocatello, ID
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $435 – $905
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $584 – $1,086
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Cash flow +4.2/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly remodeled, renovated trailer, tired of the expensive lifestyle come and enjoy all the enemies of this 1973 champion trailer with its innovative design, vaulted ceiling, larger kitchen, new appliances, new roof, All new plumbing, New gas furnace, all new light fixtures, new paint. This is two bedroom one bath home will be exactly what you need!
Key facts
- Gas furnace
- Gas water heater
- White cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a monthly fee of $530
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story / one level; Residential property
- Construction: Metal siding; Rubber roof
- Exterior features: Garden; Shed(s); Chain link and wood fencing (fenced)
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Pantry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $39k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-105 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $24k (39.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($879 rent vs $39k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (39.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in ID, #758 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D.
- Pocatello District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #26 of 92 in ID (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Indian Hills Elementary School (math 44% / reading 60%, grade C-, #130 of 357 statewide, top 38%, 539 students, 42% FRL); Irving Middle School (math 33% / reading 54%, grade D, #60 of 109 statewide, top 56%, 712 students, 39% FRL); Century High School (math 41% / reading 71%, grade C, #24 of 169 statewide, top 14%, 1,092 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 325 units permitted in Bannock County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 3800% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 60% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.56%
- DSCR
- 0.49
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.08×
- Total profit
- $-11,778
- Equity at exit
- $5,815
- IRR
- -20.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.26×
- Total profit
- $-13,727
- Equity at exit
- $3,372
Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83204
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $879 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$205
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$49 /mo · $585/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$530
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$185
- Net cashflow
- $-105
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-78 | -5% $-92 | +0% $-105 | +5% $-119 | +10% $-132 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-175 | -5% $-140 | +0% $-105 | +5% $-70 | +10% $-36 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-86 | -0.5pp $-95 | base $-105 | +0.5pp $-115 | +1.0pp $-126 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,750
- Closing costs
- $1,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $530 · $6,360/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $39,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $39,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $39,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $39,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $39,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $39,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $39,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $39,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $39,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-04-14$1,000
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2026-04-13$39,000 Active
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2025-02-27price $49,000
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2025-02-18soldstatus Closed 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Newly remodeled, renovated trailer, tired of the expensive lifestyle come and enjoy all the enemies of this 1973 champion trailer with its innovative design, vaulted ceiling, larger kitchen, new appliances, new roof, All new plumbing, New gas furnace, all new light fixtures, new paint. This is two bedroom one bath home will be exactly what you need!
-
2025-01-18$60,000 Active 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Newly remodeled, renovated trailer, tired of the expensive lifestyle come and enjoy all the enemies of this 1973 champion trailer with its innovative design, vaulted ceiling, larger kitchen, new appliances, new roof, All new plumbing, New gas furnace, all new light fixtures, new paint. This is two bedroom one bath home will be exactly what you need!
-
2025-01-16$59,000 Active
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2024-11-28price $59,000
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2024-10-28price $60,000
-
2024-10-26$59,000 Active
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2024-03-28price $34,000
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2023-04-25price $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,547
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,185
- − Property taxes
- −$585
- − Insurance
- −$195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$844
- − Management
- −$844
- − HOA
- −$6,360
- − Depreciation
- −$1,135
- Taxable loss
- −$1,600
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$384
- After-tax cash flow
- $-878/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocatello District
- NCES district ID
- 1602640
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,478
- Composite
- 43.46/100
- National rank
- #3003
- State rank
- #26 of 92 in ID
Livability — Pocatello
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #758
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pocatello, ID
- County
- Bannock County · 82,995 people
- City population
- 58,482
- Metro
- Pocatello, ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,580
- Household income
- $57,146
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 435.0
Population outlook (Bannock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 86,173 people
- By 2030
- 86,575 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 86,235 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 86,090 · -0.1%
- By 2075
- 85,032 · -1.3%
- By 2100
- 85,103 · -1.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bannock
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.1) · D 35.8% · R 60.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -25.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.1 2020: R+21.9 2016: R+20.5 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.01%
- Current HPI
- 232.7208
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.01%
- Metro
- Pocatello, ID
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
-97.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Listed for Rent $1,000 SRMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $39,000 SRMLS
- 2025-02-27 Price Changed $49,000 PCTMLS
- 2025-02-18 Sold (MLS) — SRMLS
- 2025-01-18 Listed $60,000 SRMLS
- 2025-01-16 Listed $59,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-11-28 Price Changed $59,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-10-28 Price Changed $60,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-10-26 Listed $59,000 PCTMLS
- 2024-03-28 Price Changed $34,000 SRMLS
- 2023-04-25 Price Changed $35,000 SRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…