1215 Woodland Avenue Ave · Flatwoods, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home tucked away on a quiet dead-end street in the heart of Flatwoods. Perfectly situated for those who enjoy the community, this property is just a short stroll from the city pool and the local dog park. The interior features a surprisingly spacious primary suite, complete with its own full private bath and a large walk-in closet. The living room and second bedroom showcase classic hardwood floors, and a fireplace serves as a central feature for the home. You can enjoy the outdoors from the welcoming covered front porch or the screened-in back deck, which offers a great space for relaxing. The home features a metal roof and an unfinished basement accessed from the exterior. This lower level houses the furnace and water heater while providing ample room for seasonal items or a workshop area. While this home does need some TLC and cosmetic updates, it serves as a fantastic canvas for an investor or a homeowner looking to build instant equity in a prime, low-traffic location.
Key facts
- Large walk-in closet
- Listed 85 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (5.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.7% in Flatwoods — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#125 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Russell Independent (suburban): math 40% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 165 in KY (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Greenup County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greenup County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $110k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.58%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,549
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -11.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 823 Cumberland Ave Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,162 (-6%) | 7mo | $64,500 | $56 | 75 |
| 1310 Argillite Rd | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,312 (+6%) | 2mo | $140,499 | $107 | 68 |
| 201 Ridge Street St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 1,331 (+8%) | 7mo | $131,250 | $99 | 60 |
| 1000 Powell Lane Ln | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,242 (+1%) | 2mo | $144,500 | $116 | 55 |
| 1600 Beth Ann Drive Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,270 (+3%) | 5mo | $168,000 | $132 | 54 |
| 1707 Jones St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+2%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $131 | 54 |
| 917 Diedrich Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-7%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $152 | 52 |
| 712 N 1st St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,080 (-12%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $116 | 50 |
| 801 Powell Lane Ln | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,185 (-4%) | 8mo | $63,000 | $53 | 46 |
| 2106 Washington St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,340 (+9%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $112 | 43 |
| 1907 Diedrich Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,352 (+10%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $129 | 43 |
| 1907 Washington St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,065 (-14%) | 6mo | $162,400 | $152 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-8,725
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $4,003
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41139
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,039 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $669/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $143
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $205 | -5% $174 | +0% $143 | +5% $112 | +10% $81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $61 | -5% $102 | +0% $143 | +5% $184 | +10% $225 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $199 | -0.5pp $171 | base $143 | +0.5pp $115 | +1.0pp $86 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-03-28$109,900 Active 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home tucked away on a quiet dead-end street in the heart of Flatwoods. Perfectly situated for those who enjoy the community, this property is just a short stroll from the city pool and the local dog park. The interior features a surprisingly spacious primary suite, complete with its own full private bath and a large walk-in closet. The living room and second bedroom showcase classic hardwood floors, and a fireplace serves as a central feature for the home. You can enjoy the outdoors from the welcoming covered front porch or the screened-in back deck, which offers a great space for relaxing. The home features a metal roof and an unfinished basement accessed from the exterior. This lower level houses the furnace and water heater while providing ample room for seasonal items or a workshop area. While this home does need some TLC and cosmetic updates, it serves as a fantastic canvas for an investor or a homeowner looking to build instant equity in a prime, low-traffic location.
-
2020-08-28soldstatus $41,500 238-char remark
Show marketing remark (238 chars)
Nice starter home or if you are downsizing. Huge master bedroom with bath and walk-in closet. Also has a laundry, office area and a screened in back porch where you can relax and overlook the mature trees. Call today for more information!
-
2019-09-20$49,900 238-char remark
Show marketing remark (238 chars)
Nice starter home or if you are downsizing. Huge master bedroom with bath and walk-in closet. Also has a laundry, office area and a screened in back porch where you can relax and overlook the mature trees. Call today for more information!
-
2018-10-12soldstatus $45,000
-
2018-10-09soldstatus $45,000
-
2016-05-09$53,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $669 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $945 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$276/yr (+$23/mo · 41.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,472
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$669
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$998
- − Management
- −$998
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable loss
- −$96
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$23
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,741/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Russell Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2105130
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,382
- Composite
- 38.14/100
- National rank
- #4268
- State rank
- #22 of 165 in KY
Livability — Flatwoods
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #125
- US rank
- #5872
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flatwoods, KY
- County
- Greenup · 24,497 people
- City population
- 5,527
- Metro
- Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,258
- Household income
- $59,550
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4.4
Population outlook (Greenup County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,374 people
- By 2030
- 33,145 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 30,407 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 27,702 · -19.4%
- By 2075
- 21,970 · -36.1%
- By 2100
- 16,670 · -51.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greenup
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.5) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.4pp toward R · 2008: -14.1pp · 2024: -50.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.5 2020: R+45.1 2016: R+45.5 2012: R+18.6 2008: R+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.89%
- Current HPI
- 189.3977
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+107.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-28 Listed $109,900 AABOR
- 2020-08-28 Sold (MLS) $41,500 AABOR
- 2019-09-20 Listed $49,900 AABOR
- 2018-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2018-10-09 Sold (MLS) $45,000 AABOR
- 2016-05-09 Listed $53,000 AABOR
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $669 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…