105 Eagle Ledge Loop · Conway, NH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.3/15.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WELCOME TO MOUNTAINVALE, A 55 AND OLDER COMMUNITY. LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION. .. Beautifully maintained two bedroom, two bath home on a lovely, private corner lot with nice landscaping. An additon creates a great space for a den or office. Wood and propane stoves add to the warmth of the home in those cold winter months. Updates and replacements include flooring, painting, counter, stovetop, Old Hickory shed and venting. Located close to the heart of North Conway, for tax free shopping, dining, and entertainment. Four seasons of fun-river floats in the summer, leaf peeping in the fall, skiing and snowmobiling/snow shoeing trails in the winter and beautiful hiking year-round. A bonus, you
Key facts
- Tax free shopping
- Old hickory shed
- Private corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly park/HOA fee of $650
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway
- Utilities: Community water; Community sewer; 100 Amp electric; Cable available; Propane (LP/Bottle) available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Manufactured/Mobile home; Existing construction; Facing information not provided; Entry level information not provided
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built in 1989; Mobile model: 7014 Hampshire 5195; Mobile serial number: 2216-0286Z; Located in Mountainvale mobile park (park approval: yes)
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Landscaped; Level lot; Near shopping; Near skiing; Near snowmobile trails; Private road frontage (40' frontage)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with gas cooktop; Double oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level, including one bedroom with a private bath
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Wood stove
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Den; Living room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-32/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (0.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.0% in Conway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#33 in NH, #4,690 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Conway School District (rural): math 28% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #73 of 98 in NH (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 357 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Carroll County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $135k implies a 207% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.08%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $118,548
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 Eagle Ledge Loop | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,064 (-0%) | 1mo | $89,000 | $84 | 97 |
| 78 Fox Hill Ln | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (+1%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $162 | 82 |
| 14 Goldfinch Ln | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (-6%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $119 | 78 |
| 123 Fox Hill Ln | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,118 (+5%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $103 | 78 |
| 53 Fox Hill Ln | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,035 (-3%) | 15mo | $115,000 | $111 | 74 |
| 19 Eagle Ledge Loop | 0.12mi | 2/1.5 | 924 (-14%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $81 | 70 |
| 50 Eagle Ledge Loop | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (-14%) | 2mo | $35,900 | $39 | 67 |
| 74 Eagle Ledge Loop | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 920 (-14%) | 12mo | $113,900 | $124 | 60 |
| 92 Fox Hill Ln | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-14%) | 14mo | $76,000 | $82 | 59 |
| 38 Loon Mountain Ln | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (-14%) | 14mo | $70,000 | $76 | 58 |
| 29 Eagle Ledge Loop | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 946 (-11%) | 23mo | $132,500 | $140 | 57 |
| 27 Wildwood Way | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-14%) | 18mo | $110,000 | $119 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $73,733
- Equity at exit
- $121,619
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.77×
- Total profit
- $218,021
- Equity at exit
- $262,275
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03813
- Home prices YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,071/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$650
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $-3
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $74 | -5% $36 | +0% $-3 | +5% $-41 | +10% $-79 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-153 | -5% $-78 | +0% $-3 | +5% $72 | +10% $147 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $65 | -0.5pp $32 | base $-3 | +0.5pp $-38 | +1.0pp $-73 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $650 · $7,800/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$135,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,071 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,007 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- +$936/yr (+$78/mo · 87.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,797
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,071
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,824
- − Management
- −$1,824
- − HOA
- −$7,800
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$1,886
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$453
- After-tax cash flow
- $421/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Conway School District
- NCES district ID
- 3302490
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,590
- Composite
- 31.9/100
- National rank
- #5859
- State rank
- #73 of 98 in NH
Livability — Conway
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #33
- US rank
- #4690
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,897
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,072 people
- By 2030
- 43,158 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 38,044 · -15.6%
- By 2050
- 33,087 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 25,661 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 18,684 · -58.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 2% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Slovak 10% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.8% · R 50.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: D+1.5 2016: R+5.7 2012: R+0.8 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.27%
- Current HPI
- 417.7399
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+206.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $135,000 PrimeMLS
- 2006-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,071 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…