Fourplex
416 N 15th St · Las Vegas, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$609,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment oppurtunity! DO NOT MISS OUT!
Key facts
- Fourplex
- One on second floor
- Close to downtown
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Month-to-month lease options; Annual tax reported
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story building
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Composition and shingle roof
- Exterior features: Average condition (resale)
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave
- Bedrooms: Four 1-bedroom units (fourplex)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric wall furnace heating
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Laundry room; Ceramic tile flooring
- Laundry & utility: Shared laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $610k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-417 ($-5k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-104/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $536k (12.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $397k (34.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $397k (34.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#2 in NV, #1,723 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,973/mo this rent would consume 121% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 3814% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($601k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $499k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.93%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 12.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-127,715
- Equity at exit
- $90,953
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-154,753
- Equity at exit
- $52,742
Cash invested: $170,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89101
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 51.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,973 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,199
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,234/yr
- Insurance
- −$254
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$834
- Net cashflow
- $-417
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-72 | -5% $-245 | +0% $-417 | +5% $-1,288 | +10% $-1,498 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-731 | -5% $-574 | +0% $-417 | +5% $-260 | +10% $-103 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-110 | -0.5pp $-262 | base $-417 | +0.5pp $-575 | +1.0pp $-736 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 1 | 1 | $3,972 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $993 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $993 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $993 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $993 |
| Total (4 units) | $3,973 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $152,500
- Closing costs
- $18,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1610 E Ogden Ave Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1787 | $2,250 | $1.26 | 8d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 150 Las Vegas Blvd N Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1347 | $3,500 | $2.60 | 44d | 7 | 0.71mi |
| 150 Las Vegas Blvd N Las Vegas, NV | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1405 | $3,400 | $2.42 | 8d | 6 | 0.71mi |
| 2213 Sunrise Ave Unit 1 Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,249 | $0.83 | 8d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1621 Franklin Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2267 | $3,300 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1013 Francis Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1904 | $2,888 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2017 Bracken Ave Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $1,880 | $1.33 | 11d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 255 Promenade Pl Las Vegas, NV | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1850 | $3,295 | $1.78 | 3d | 266 | 1.42mi |
| 2004 Howard Ave Las Vegas, NV | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1975 | $2,200 | $1.11 | 5d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 31 events
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2026-06-18days on market $609,999 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $609,999 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $609,999 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $609,999 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $609,999 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $609,999 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $609,999 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $609,999 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $609,999 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $609,999 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $609,999 Active 13 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $609,999 Active 12 DOM
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2026-05-18$609,999 Active
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2026-05-01historical
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2025-07-18$600,000 Active
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2022-07-01soldstatus $499,000 Closed 46-char remark
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2022-07-01soldstatus $499,000
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2022-05-25status Pending 46-char remark
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2022-05-12status Active 46-char remark
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2022-05-12price $499,000 46-char remark
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2022-02-04status Pending 46-char remark
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2022-01-20status Active 46-char remark
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2022-01-12historical Active Under Contract 46-char remark
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2022-01-12status Pending 46-char remark
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2021-12-22$429,999 Active 46-char remark
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2011-02-15historical
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2011-02-10soldstatus $42,000 Sold
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2011-01-05historical Contingent Offer
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2010-12-30$42,500 Exclusive Right
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2005-09-20soldstatus $292,000
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1979-09-28soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,234 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,599 · $300/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,365/yr (+$197/mo · 191.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,676
- − Mortgage interest
- −$34,169
- − Property taxes
- −$1,234
- − Insurance
- −$3,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,814
- − Management
- −$3,814
- − Depreciation
- −$17,745
- Taxable loss
- −$16,151
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,876
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,131/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clark County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200060
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,611
- Composite
- 26.48/100
- National rank
- #7211
- State rank
- #11 of 17 in NV
Livability — Las Vegas
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #2
- US rank
- #1723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Las Vegas, NV
- County
- Clark County · 2,306,105 people
- City population
- 1,643,591
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,739
- Household income
- $39,459
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3814.0
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,504,101 people
- By 2030
- 2,693,770 · +7.6%
- By 2040
- 3,061,208 · +22.2%
- By 2050
- 3,400,072 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 4,139,522 · +65.3%
- By 2100
- 4,596,916 · +83.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 57% Two or more races 19% White 19% Black 14% Asian 5% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 45% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Spanish 48% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 47.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+10.7 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.49%
- Current HPI
- 305.6227
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.51%
- Metro
- Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+6677.8% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $609,999 GLVAR
- 2026-05-01 Listing Removed — GLVAR
- 2025-07-18 Listed $600,000 GLVAR
- 2022-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $499,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-01 Sold (MLS) $499,000 GLVAR
- 2022-05-25 Pending — GLVAR
- 2022-05-12 Relisted — GLVAR
- 2022-05-12 Price Changed $499,000 GLVAR
- 2022-02-04 Pending — GLVAR
- 2022-01-20 Relisted — GLVAR
- 2022-01-12 Contingent — GLVAR
- 2022-01-12 Pending — GLVAR
- 2021-12-22 Listed $429,999 GLVAR
- 2011-02-15 Listing Removed — GLVAR
- 2011-02-10 Sold (MLS) $42,000 GLVAR
- 2011-01-05 Contingent — GLVAR
- 2010-12-30 Listed $42,500 GLVAR
- 2005-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $292,000 Public Records
- 1979-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,234 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…