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208 W Utica St
A- Composite 83.94
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,900

208 W Utica St · Oswego, NY 13126
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1880 0.57 ac lot Est $187k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 4-bed colonial is located close to Oswego HS on W. Utica St. Being sold "AS IS", this 1-bath home has a new roof ('12) to go along with its vinyl siding and concrete driveway. Sitting on a huge city lot, this home also boasts very generous square footage inside.

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • Formal dining room
  • Oversized lot

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTNEW KITCHENFORMAL DINING ROOMWELCOMING FRONT PORCHNEW WINDOWSWALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $785 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 8.8% in Oswego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#265 in NY, #4,189 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, commute F.
  • Oswego City School District (town): math 39% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #465 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+19.2%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
13.02%
Cash-on-cash
24.03%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$186,528
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
208 W Utica St 0.00mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,392 (0%) 1mo $129,000 $93 94
152 W Cayuga St 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,360 (-2%) 8mo $132,000 $97 69
221 W 7th St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,398 (+0%) 6mo $70,000 $50 66
119 W Cayuga St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,289 (-7%) 1mo $172,380 $134 60
27 Hart St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (+3%) 3mo $230,000 $161 58
70 W 7th St 0.64mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,420 (+2%) 6mo $116,000 $82 55
81 Niagara St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,305 (-6%) 3mo $120,000 $92 54
25 Franklin Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,356 (-3%) 6mo $259,900 $192 53
8 Sunrise Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,576 (+13%) 8mo $245,000 $155 51
114 W Schuyler St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,482 (+6%) 3mo $50,000 $34 50
20 Governor St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,187 (-15%) 8mo $165,000 $139 45
77 W 7th St 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,596 (+15%) 0mo $225,000 $141 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.25% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$43,210
Equity at exit
$25,560
10-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
5.04×
Total profit
$158,168
Equity at exit
$20,326

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13126

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Rents YoY
19.2%
Active inventory
168
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,173 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$140 /mo · $1,681/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$456
Net cashflow
$785

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,180
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $864 -5% $824 +0% $785 +5% $745 +10% $705
Rent -10% $613 -5% $699 +0% $785 +5% $870 +10% $956
Rate -1.0pp $855 -0.5pp $820 base $785 +0.5pp $748 +1.0pp $711

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
143 Liberty St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,480 $1.46 14d 1 0.25mi
135 W Mohawk St Oswego, NY 3.0 1.0 1103 $1,700 $1.54 14d 1 0.30mi
188 W Bridge St Oswego, NY 4.0 1.0 1008 $1,800 $1.79 14d 1 0.33mi
161 W Bridge St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1400 $2,240 $1.60 14d 1 0.37mi
6 Lathrop St Oswego, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,725 $1.57 14d 1 0.37mi
153 W Bridge St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 1.5 1800 $2,340 $1.30 14d 1 0.38mi
130 W Bridge St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,500 $1.47 14d 1 0.40mi
136 W Cayuga St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $2,300 $1.44 14d 1 0.43mi
141 W Cayuga St Oswego, NY 4.0 1.0 1311 $2,100 $1.60 14d 1 0.44mi
105 W Oneida St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,540 $1.41 14d 1 0.44mi
85 Liberty St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,500 $1.39 14d 1 0.45mi
175 W 8th St Unit 1 A Oswego, NY 5.0 2.0 1800 $2,625 $1.46 44d 1 0.46mi
148 W Seneca St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,400 $1.33 14d 1 0.47mi
23 NW 9th St Oswego, NY 4.0 1.5 1700 $2,300 $1.35 14d 1 0.49mi
164 W Schuyler St Unit A Oswego, NY 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,755 $1.25 14d 1 0.53mi
103 W 8th St Unit A Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,400 $1.33 14d 1 0.57mi
39 W 6th St Unit 2-A Oswego, NY 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,725 $1.15 14d 1 0.75mi
7040 State Route 104 Oswego, NY 5.0 2.0 1800 $2,625 $1.46 14d 1 0.76mi
25 W Mohawk St Unit TH Oswego, NY 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,745 $1.52 44d 1 0.76mi
4 Murray St Oswego, NY 4.0 2.0 1589 $1,800 $1.13 14d 1 1.02mi
7093 State Route 104 Oswego, NY 5.0 2.0 1800 $2,750 $1.53 14d 1 1.02mi
14 Pond Path Oswego, NY 3.0 1.5 1408 $2,300 $1.63 14d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-03-03
    soldstatus $129,000
  2. 2026-03-03
    soldstatus $129,000
  3. 2025-11-29
    status Pending
  4. 2025-10-20
    price $139,900
  5. 2025-10-01
    listed $149,000 Active
  6. 2019-10-24
    soldstatus $62,000
  7. 2019-10-23
    soldstatus $62,000 Closed Sale or Rented 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    This 4-bed colonial is located close to Oswego HS on W. Utica St. Being sold "AS IS", this 1-bath home has a new roof ('12) to go along with its vinyl siding and concrete driveway. Sitting on a huge city lot, this home also boasts very generous square footage inside.

  8. 2019-09-23
    status Pending Sale 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    This 4-bed colonial is located close to Oswego HS on W. Utica St. Being sold "AS IS", this 1-bath home has a new roof ('12) to go along with its vinyl siding and concrete driveway. Sitting on a huge city lot, this home also boasts very generous square footage inside.

  9. 2019-08-14
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    This 4-bed colonial is located close to Oswego HS on W. Utica St. Being sold "AS IS", this 1-bath home has a new roof ('12) to go along with its vinyl siding and concrete driveway. Sitting on a huge city lot, this home also boasts very generous square footage inside.

  10. 2019-05-28
    price $69,900 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    This 4-bed colonial is located close to Oswego HS on W. Utica St. Being sold "AS IS", this 1-bath home has a new roof ('12) to go along with its vinyl siding and concrete driveway. Sitting on a huge city lot, this home also boasts very generous square footage inside.

  11. 2019-04-23
    listed $74,900 Active 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    This 4-bed colonial is located close to Oswego HS on W. Utica St. Being sold "AS IS", this 1-bath home has a new roof ('12) to go along with its vinyl siding and concrete driveway. Sitting on a huge city lot, this home also boasts very generous square footage inside.

  12. 2003-10-21
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,681 · $140/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,023 · $169/mo
Expected delta
+$341/yr (+$28/mo · 20.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,075
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,681
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,086
− Management
−$2,086
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$7,615
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,828
After-tax cash flow
$7,587/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oswego City School District
NCES district ID
3622050
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$45,835
Composite
38.2/100
National rank
#4257
State rank
#465 of 590 in NY

Livability — Oswego

Score
75/100
State rank
#265
US rank
#4189

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oswego, NY
County
Oswego County · 36,495 people
City population
36,495
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
36,495
Household income
$65,346
Rent vs Own
34.5% rent · 65.5% own
Severe rent burden
1341.0

Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,465 people
By 2030
109,968 · -3.9%
By 2040
99,205 · -13.3%
By 2050
87,979 · -23.1%
By 2075
65,100 · -43.1%
By 2100
47,117 · -58.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oswego

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.25%
Current HPI
295.5134
Rent YoY
▲ 19.18%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+98.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
  • 2026-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
  • 2025-11-29 Pending CNYIS
  • 2025-10-20 Price Changed $139,900 CNYIS
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $149,000 CNYIS
  • 2019-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2019-10-23 Sold (MLS) $62,000 CNYIS
  • 2019-09-23 Pending CNYIS
  • 2019-08-14 Pending CNYIS
  • 2019-05-28 Price Changed $69,900 CNYIS
  • 2019-04-23 Listed $74,900 CNYIS
  • 2003-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,681 · +24.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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