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901 College St
B- Composite 69.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

901 College St · Kinston, NC 28501
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,018 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1947 0.32 ac lot Est $178k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 Bedroom 2 Bath Home in Kinston. This 2,000 SF +/- home could be a great investment property or home for a buyer. Spacious rooms and new AC installed within the last 24 months. Good size yard at roughly 1/3 of an acre with a screened in porch.

Key facts

  • Hvac replaced
  • Corner lot
  • Roof replaced

Tags

CORNER LOTROOF REPLACEDHVAC REPLACEDLAUNDRY ROOM ENCLOSED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete on-site parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level / 1 story; Entry on level 1; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch; Corner lot; Has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master downstairs
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Master suite on the main level; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.8% in Kinston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#640 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lenoir County Public Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #147 of 178 in NC (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Northwest Elementary (math 23% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,153 of 1,410 statewide, top 82%, 478 students, 99% FRL); Rochelle Middle (math 9% / reading 20%, grade F, #462 of 475 statewide, top 98%, 466 students, 98% FRL); Kinston High (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #459 of 535 statewide, top 87%, 713 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 65% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 148 units permitted in Lenoir County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lenoir County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $53k; list at $139k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,915 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.78%
Cash-on-cash
12.46%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$177,584
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
607 Harding Ave 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,030 (+1%) 2mo $185,000 $91 83
605 W Lenoir Ave 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,884 (-7%) 2mo $165,000 $88 71
605 W Lenoir Ave #605 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,884 (-7%) 2mo $165,000 $88 71
806 West Rd 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,977 (-2%) 3mo $218,900 $111 67
900 Nelson St 0.38mi 4/2.5 2,161 (+7%) 2mo $130,000 $60 66
312 Frances Pl 0.67mi 4/2.0 1,990 (-1%) 2mo $41,000 $21 65
201 Park Ave 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,768 (-12%) 3mo $85,000 $48 55
1404 Carey Rd 0.67mi 4/2.0 2,210 (+10%) 2mo $220,000 $100 52
113 E Capitola Ave 0.35mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,757 (-13%) 6mo $129,900 $74 50
1500 Pollock St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,287 (+13%) 2mo $190,000 $83 48
1006 Clifton Ter 0.64mi 4/2.5 1,742 (-14%) 2mo $224,000 $129 44
1303 W Washington Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,768 (-12%) 7mo $70,000 $40 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$3,211
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$35,925
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28501

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,669 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,532/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$404

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,158
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $483 -5% $443 +0% $404 +5% $365 +10% $325
Rent -10% $272 -5% $338 +0% $404 +5% $470 +10% $536
Rate -1.0pp $474 -0.5pp $439 base $404 +0.5pp $368 +1.0pp $331

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $139,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $146,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $146,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $146,000 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $146,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $146,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $146,000 Active 9 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $146,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $146,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $146,000 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $146,000 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    remarks 347-char remark
  14. 2026-06-04
    listed $146,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,532 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,532 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,029
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$1,532
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,602
− Management
−$1,602
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$2,768
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$664
After-tax cash flow
$4,185/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lenoir County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3702610
Math proficiency
29% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$34,958
Composite
25.17/100
National rank
#7515
State rank
#147 of 178 in NC

Livability — Kinston

Score
55/100
State rank
#640
US rank
#23267

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kinston, NC
City population
20,407
Population (ZIP)
18,112

Population outlook (Lenoir County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,002 people
By 2030
53,048 · -3.6%
By 2040
49,041 · -10.8%
By 2050
45,136 · -17.9%
By 2075
36,547 · -33.6%
By 2100
27,731 · -49.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 26% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Lenoir

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.8) · D 46.2% · R 53.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -6.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.8 2020: R+3.5 2016: R+6.3 2012: R+1.5 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.17%
Current HPI
193.3213
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+317.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $146,000 Hive MLS
  • 2022-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 2022-12-02 Sold (MLS) $53,000 Hive MLS
  • 2022-11-23 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2022-11-11 Price Changed $68,000 Hive MLS
  • 2022-10-20 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2022-09-21 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2022-09-14 Listed $78,500 Hive MLS
  • 2021-01-18 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Hive MLS
  • 2020-06-22 Listed $35,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,532 · +154.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…