901 College St · Kinston, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Bedroom 2 Bath Home in Kinston. This 2,000 SF +/- home could be a great investment property or home for a buyer. Spacious rooms and new AC installed within the last 24 months. Good size yard at roughly 1/3 of an acre with a screened in porch.
Key facts
- Hvac replaced
- Corner lot
- Roof replaced
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete on-site parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level / 1 story; Entry on level 1; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch; Corner lot; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master downstairs
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Master suite on the main level; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $137k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.8% in Kinston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#640 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Lenoir County Public Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #147 of 178 in NC (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Northwest Elementary (math 23% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,153 of 1,410 statewide, top 82%, 478 students, 99% FRL); Rochelle Middle (math 9% / reading 20%, grade F, #462 of 475 statewide, top 98%, 466 students, 98% FRL); Kinston High (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #459 of 535 statewide, top 87%, 713 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 65% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 148 units permitted in Lenoir County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lenoir County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $53k; list at $139k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.46%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $177,584
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607 Harding Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,030 (+1%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $91 | 83 |
| 605 W Lenoir Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,884 (-7%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $88 | 71 |
| 605 W Lenoir Ave #605 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,884 (-7%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $88 | 71 |
| 806 West Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,977 (-2%) | 3mo | $218,900 | $111 | 67 |
| 900 Nelson St | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 | 2,161 (+7%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $60 | 66 |
| 312 Frances Pl | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,990 (-1%) | 2mo | $41,000 | $21 | 65 |
| 201 Park Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,768 (-12%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $48 | 55 |
| 1404 Carey Rd | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 2,210 (+10%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $100 | 52 |
| 113 E Capitola Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,757 (-13%) | 6mo | $129,900 | $74 | 50 |
| 1500 Pollock St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,287 (+13%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $83 | 48 |
| 1006 Clifton Ter | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 | 1,742 (-14%) | 2mo | $224,000 | $129 | 44 |
| 1303 W Washington Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,768 (-12%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $40 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $3,211
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $35,925
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28501
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,669 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,532/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $404
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $483 | -5% $443 | +0% $404 | +5% $365 | +10% $325 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $272 | -5% $338 | +0% $404 | +5% $470 | +10% $536 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $474 | -0.5pp $439 | base $404 | +0.5pp $368 | +1.0pp $331 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $139,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $146,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $146,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $146,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $146,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $146,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $146,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $146,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $146,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $146,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $146,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 347-char remark
-
2026-06-04$146,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,532 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,532 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,029
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$1,532
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,602
- − Management
- −$1,602
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $2,768
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$664
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,185/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lenoir County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702610
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,958
- Composite
- 25.17/100
- National rank
- #7515
- State rank
- #147 of 178 in NC
Livability — Kinston
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #640
- US rank
- #23267
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kinston, NC
- City population
- 20,407
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,112
Population outlook (Lenoir County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,002 people
- By 2030
- 53,048 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 49,041 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 45,136 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 36,547 · -33.6%
- By 2100
- 27,731 · -49.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 26% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Lenoir
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.8) · D 46.2% · R 53.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -6.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.8 2020: R+3.5 2016: R+6.3 2012: R+1.5 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.17%
- Current HPI
- 193.3213
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+317.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $146,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 2022-12-02 Sold (MLS) $53,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-11-23 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2022-11-11 Price Changed $68,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-10-20 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2022-09-21 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2022-09-14 Listed $78,500 Hive MLS
- 2021-01-18 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Hive MLS
- 2020-06-22 Listed $35,000 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,532 · +154.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…