1045 Azusa #191 · Covina, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
RARE opportunity in COVINA!! UNMATCHED VALUE for SPACE, PRIVACY, and LOCATION. Homes like this are incredibly hard to find in Covina. This 3-bedroom, 1 beautifully remodeled bathroom home offers a bright, open concept layout with a seamless flow from the kitchen to the living room, enhanced by abundant windows that fill the home with natural light. Designed for both comfort and function, the home includes generous storage space throughout, making everyday living organized and effortless. Whether you’re a growing family or someone looking to enjoy a peaceful, low-maintenance retirement, this home fits both lifestyles beautifully. Enjoy a private front porch surrounded by mature trees, offering shade and a calm, secluded feel. The private carport with direct home access adds everyday convenience, while the community provides added security for peace of mind. Located in a family-friendly, well-kept community with pools, walking paths, and park areas, and pet-friendly for your furry companions. Perfectly positioned between the 210 and 10 freeways, you’re just minutes from top-rated schools, shopping centers, dining, and everyday essentials, an unbeatable central location. The spacious backyard offers endless potential to host, relax, or create your own private outdoor retreat something you simply won’t find often. Move-in ready with the opportunity to add your personal touch over time , this home delivers a rare combination of comfort, space, and value. Truly one of a kind—there is nothing else like this in this community or nearby. Schedule your private showing today before it’s gone!
Key facts
- Community with pools
- Private front porch
- Park areas
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $126k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $126k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 2.4% in Covina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#181 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, health & safety C-.
- Covina-Valley Unified (suburban): math 39% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #462 of 1,400 in CA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.9%/yr); 66 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $871 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.78%
- DSCR
- 3.08
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $106,408
- List price
- $125,999
- Delta
- 18.41%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1045 N Azusa #251 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 864 (+8%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $93 | 78 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $82,248
- Equity at exit
- $18,787
- IRR
- 57.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.17×
- Total profit
- $252,975
- Equity at exit
- $10,894
Cash invested: $35,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91722
- Rents YoY
- 12.9%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,843 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$661
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$157 /mo · $1,890/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$597
- Net cashflow
- $1,375
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,462 | -5% $1,419 | +0% $1,375 | +5% $1,332 | +10% $1,288 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,151 | -5% $1,263 | +0% $1,375 | +5% $1,488 | +10% $1,600 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,439 | -0.5pp $1,407 | base $1,375 | +0.5pp $1,343 | +1.0pp $1,309 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,500
- Closing costs
- $3,780
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 777 W Covina Blvd Covina, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1030 | $2,924 | $2.84 | 2d | 3 | 0.35mi |
| 1160 N Conwell Ave Covina, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1048 | $3,133 | $2.99 | 2d | 11 | 0.37mi |
| 4459 N Roxburgh Ave Covina, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $3,600 | $3.52 | 16d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 273 W Arrow Hwy Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $2,495 | $3.44 | 5d | 4 | 0.63mi |
| 535 N Lark Ellen Ave Unit 01 Covina, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,795 | $2.77 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 800 S Azusa Ave Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,049 | $2.05 | 8d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1163 W Badillo St Unit 12 Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,695 | $2.45 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1163 W Badillo St Unit 3 Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,695 | $2.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5246 N Gareloch Ave Unit B Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,200 | $2.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 745 S Lark Ellen Ave Unit ABCD Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1831 E Grovecenter St West Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 945 | $2,575 | $2.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4930 N Vincent Ave Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,200 | $3.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 808 N Azusa Ave West Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,350 | $2.18 | 44d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 731 N Azusa Ave West Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $2,050 | $2.66 | 2d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 731 N Azusa Ave West Covina, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,950 | $2.44 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1151 W Arrow Hwy Azusa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $2,195 | $2.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 850 S Vincent Ave Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $2,145 | $2.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 707 N Park Ave Covina, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,900 | $3.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 328 S Azusa Ave Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 978 | $2,900 | $2.97 | 19d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 777 S Citrus Ave #107 Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $2,650 | $2.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 18537 E Arrow Hwy Covina, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 937 | $2,650 | $2.83 | 5d | 7 | 1.39mi |
| 230 S Azusa Ave Unit 2 Azusa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 18645 E Arrow Hwy Covina, CA | 2.0 | — | 919 | $2,129 | $2.32 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,999 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,999 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,999 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $125,999 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,999 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,999 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,999 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,999 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,999 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,999 Active 45 DOM
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2026-04-16$125,999 Active 1638-char remark
Show marketing remark (1638 chars)
RARE opportunity in COVINA!! UNMATCHED VALUE for SPACE, PRIVACY, and LOCATION. Homes like this are incredibly hard to find in Covina. This 3-bedroom, 1 beautifully remodeled bathroom home offers a bright, open concept layout with a seamless flow from the kitchen to the living room, enhanced by abundant windows that fill the home with natural light. Designed for both comfort and function, the home includes generous storage space throughout, making everyday living organized and effortless. Whether you’re a growing family or someone looking to enjoy a peaceful, low-maintenance retirement, this home fits both lifestyles beautifully. Enjoy a private front porch surrounded by mature trees, offering shade and a calm, secluded feel. The private carport with direct home access adds everyday convenience, while the community provides added security for peace of mind. Located in a family-friendly, well-kept community with pools, walking paths, and park areas, and pet-friendly for your furry companions. Perfectly positioned between the 210 and 10 freeways, you’re just minutes from top-rated schools, shopping centers, dining, and everyday essentials, an unbeatable central location. The spacious backyard offers endless potential to host, relax, or create your own private outdoor retreat something you simply won’t find often. Move-in ready with the opportunity to add your personal touch over time , this home delivers a rare combination of comfort, space, and value. Truly one of a kind—there is nothing else like this in this community or nearby. Schedule your private showing today before it’s gone!
-
2026-04-09historical
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2026-02-09price $149,999
-
2025-12-11$160,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,118
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,058
- − Property taxes
- −$1,890
- − Insurance
- −$630
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,729
- − Management
- −$2,729
- − Depreciation
- −$3,665
- Taxable income
- $15,416
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,700
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,804/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained mobile home in Covina offers a good condition with a good ROI for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Covina-Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0610050
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,808
- Composite
- 43.91/100
- National rank
- #6290
- State rank
- #462 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Covina
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #181
- US rank
- #5811
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Covina, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 81,184
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,099
- Household income
- $102,062
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 553.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 23% Asian 15% White 14% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 54%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 42% Chinese 6% Tagalog/Filipino 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -889.26%
- Current HPI
- 403.5337
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.93%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-21.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $125,999 CRMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $149,999 CRMLS
- 2025-12-11 Listed $160,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…