8223 Springlake Dr #8223 · Boca Raton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.1/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
$474,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This villa offers a large, open-concept living area with two bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a versatile den, maximizing space, natural light, and comfort. The abundant living space is ideal for entertaining or relaxing w/ ease. The chef-inspired kitchen boasts modern appliances, ample counter & cabinet space, & a convenient breakfast nook perfect for casual dining. Bathrooms are luxuriously appointed w/ elegant fixtures & designer finishes. This villa is located within a gated, social 55+ community that offers an abundance of amenities: swim in the pool w/ Aqua Aerobics, stay active in the fitness center w/ Pilates or Aerobics, play tennis or pickleball, or even join the croc
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Gated community
- Fitness center
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Association: Park Shore Condo Association; Quarterly HOA fee; HOA fee includes cable TV, security, sewer, trash, water, common areas, recreation facility, and pool service; Community amenities: billiard room, clubhouse, jogging path, parking, pool, community room, kitchen facilities, library, maintained community, pickleball court(s); Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; Attached garage with 1 garage space; 1 covered space; Driveway
- Security: Entry phone/intercom
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Sewer available
- Home design: Condominium; One story; First floor entry; Faces south; Resale condition
- Construction: Built with CBS construction; Block foundation; Shingle and other roof types
- Exterior features: Zero lot line; No waterfront; No other structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: High ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Blinds on windows; First floor entry
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $474k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-685 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $353k (25.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $382k (19.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $353k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.8% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 324 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($115k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $51k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $47k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$82k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($432k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; list at $474k implies a 171% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 4→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.19%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $212,482
- Equity at exit
- $427,467
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.93×
- Total profit
- $655,467
- Equity at exit
- $921,849
Cash invested: $132,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33496
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 324
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,824 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,488
- Tax from tax record
- −$275 /mo · $3,302/yr
- Insurance
- −$198
- HOA
- −$745
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$803
- Net cashflow
- $-685
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-416 | -5% $-551 | +0% $-685 | +5% $-819 | +10% $-954 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-987 | -5% $-836 | +0% $-685 | +5% $-534 | +10% $-383 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-446 | -0.5pp $-564 | base $-685 | +0.5pp $-808 | +1.0pp $-933 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $118,625
- Closing costs
- $14,235
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8146 Windgate Dr Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $5,000 | $3.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 18475 Via Di Sorrento Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $4,095 | $2.65 | 8d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 18428 Via Di Regina #18428 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $3,900 | $2.53 | 0d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 18428 Via Di Regina #18428 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $3,900 | $2.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 18434 Via Di Sorrento Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $3,495 | $2.36 | 8d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 8550 Via Romana Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1778 | $3,500 | $1.97 | 11d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 8550 Via Romana #2 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1778 | $3,500 | $1.97 | 22d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 8550 Via Romana #2 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1778 | $3,500 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 8664 Jasmine Way Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,795 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 8705 Via Giula #4 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $3,500 | $2.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 8705 Via Giula #4 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $3,400 | $2.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 9708 Erica Ct Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $4,800 | $3.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4278 NW 65th Rd Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $16,500 | $10.27 | 11d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4007 Yarmouth a Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $2,200 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 9110 Fairbanks Ln #4 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $2,400 | $1.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 9104 Affirmed Ln Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $3,215 | $2.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 18730 Stewart Cir #5 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $2,500 | $2.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 9203 Boca Gardens Cir S Unit D Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2088 | $3,300 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 9190 Boca Gardens Pkwy Unit B Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1845 | $3,500 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 9387 Richmond Cir Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1849 | $4,100 | $2.22 | 0d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9387 Richmond Cir Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1849 | $4,100 | $2.22 | 11d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 9392 Affirmed Ln Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $3,200 | $1.96 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 9448 Saddlebrook Dr Unit 9448 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $3,500 | $2.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 9448 Saddlebrook Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $3,500 | $2.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 8410 Brussels Way Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1763 | $5,999 | $3.40 | 6d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9505 Aegean Dr Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2133 | $4,200 | $1.97 | 8d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 19809 Boca West Dr Unit 4043 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,100 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 9590 Islamorada Ter Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2064 | $5,000 | $2.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 19550 Sawgrass Dr #2102 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $5,500 | $3.77 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 7754 Lakeside Blvd #446 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $3,500 | $3.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 7754 Lakeside Blvd #483 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,700 | $2.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 17345 Sea Blossom Way Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2240 | $10,500 | $4.69 | 18d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7835 Lakeside Blvd #946 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $3,800 | $3.62 | 6d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 9585 Affirmed Ln Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1756 | $3,950 | $2.25 | 6d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 7738 Lakeside Blvd #373 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,200 | $2.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 9636 Tavernier Dr Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $4,200 | $2.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 20020 Rima Cir Unit 20020 Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $3,700 | $2.35 | 4d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 9234 Southampton Pl Boca Raton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $6,000 | $3.95 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $745 · $8,940/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $474,500 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $474,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $474,500 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $474,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $474,500 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $474,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $474,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $474,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $474,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $474,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $474,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $474,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $474,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-03-27status Active
-
2026-03-26historical
-
2025-10-27$474,500 Active
-
2014-11-17soldstatus $175,000
-
2007-05-22soldstatus $242,000
-
2001-07-05soldstatus $143,000
-
1993-03-18soldstatus $124,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,302 · $275/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,938 · $328/mo
- Expected delta
- +$636/yr (+$53/mo · 19.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 4 d/yr ≥107°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,892
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,579
- − Property taxes
- −$3,302
- − Insurance
- −$2,372
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,671
- − Management
- −$3,671
- − HOA
- −$8,940
- − Depreciation
- −$13,804
- Taxable loss
- −$16,448
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,948
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,272/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Boca Raton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #3070
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 250,102
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,579
- Household income
- $114,885
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 464.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 13% Romanian 9% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.48%
- Current HPI
- 313.9058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.31%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+282.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-26 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $474,500 Beaches MLS
- 2014-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $242,000 Public Records
- 2001-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $143,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $124,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,302 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…