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3117 Memphis Ln
D- Composite 38.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.3/15.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0

$309,000

3117 Memphis Ln · Port LaBelle, FL 33935
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,544 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 2024 10,019 sqft lot Est $301k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Welcome to this beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bathroom , 2 car garage home. Built in 2024 this like new home offers modern construction, contemporary finishes, and thoughtfully designed floor plan. Enjoy abundant natural light, situated on a generous lot with plenty of room to enjoy outdoor living. No HOA restrictions. Schedule your private showing today!

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2024

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential (Single Family Residence); Zoning: RG3; Total living area about 1,544 sq ft (public records); Total building area about 2,060 sq ft (builder); Lot size approximately 0.23 acre (about 931 sq meters); No community development district; Unfurnished

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces east; Completed condition
  • Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Built on slab foundation; Builder model: Emelia
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot about 0.23 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate; Slab foundation
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Thermostat
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $309k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-402 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (23.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (24.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $232k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#750 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hendry (town): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #65 of 73 in FL (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 942 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 557 units permitted in Hendry County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,322/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 498% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hendry County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $309k implies a 1960% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $232,206 (24.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
4.73%
Cash-on-cash
-5.58%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$301,080
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3036 Harvard Cir 0.04mi 3/2.5 1,464 (-5%) 1mo $225,000 $154 86
3121 Memphis Ln 0.03mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,593 (+3%) 4mo $289,900 $182 85
3019 Lancer Rd 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,530 (-1%) 7mo $299,000 $195 73
3003 NW Beechwood Cir 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,585 (+3%) 1mo $505,000 $319 72
3012 Lady Ln 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,498 (-3%) 6mo $340,000 $227 71
3023 Cherry Ln 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,499 (-3%) 5mo $269,999 $180 68
3013 Honeywood Rd 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,409 (-9%) 4mo $254,000 $180 67
3011 Harvard Cir 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,364 (-12%) 8mo $266,000 $195 66
3014 Cherry Ln 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,499 (-3%) 7mo $299,999 $200 66
3043 S Beechwood Cir 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,389 (-10%) 6mo $279,999 $202 65
3060 NE Beechwood Cir 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,592 (+3%) 4mo $245,000 $154 62
5027 Gunn Cir 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,590 (+3%) 2mo $365,000 $230 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$142,766
Equity at exit
$278,372
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
6.09×
Total profit
$440,764
Equity at exit
$600,319

Cash invested: $86,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33935

Home prices YoY
16.3%
Active inventory
942
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,322 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,620
Tax from tax record
$488 /mo · $5,850/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$488
Net cashflow
$-402

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,831
Max offer price $237,937
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,250
Closing costs
$9,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3051 NW Beechwood Cir Labelle, FL 4.0 2.0 1499 $2,200 $1.47 23d 1 0.38mi
5012 Gunn Pl Labelle, FL 3.0 2.5 1783 $2,500 $1.40 2d 1 0.80mi
3020 N Lakewood Rd Labelle, FL 4.0 2.0 1499 $1,950 $1.30 23d 1 0.85mi
5029 W Hummingbird Dr Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1212 $2,450 $2.02 3d 1 0.90mi
5029 S Rosebud Cir Labelle, FL 3.0 2.0 1389 $1,780 $1.28 23d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $309,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $309,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $309,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $309,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $309,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $309,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $309,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $309,000 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 397-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $309,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,850 · $488/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,850 · $488/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,865
− Mortgage interest
−$17,309
− Property taxes
−$5,850
− Insurance
−$1,545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,229
− Management
−$2,229
− Depreciation
−$8,989
Taxable loss
−$10,287
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,469
After-tax cash flow
$-2,358/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hendry
NCES district ID
1200780
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$37,043
Composite
31.16/100
National rank
#6054
State rank
#65 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port LaBelle

Score
62/100
State rank
#750
US rank
#16264

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port LaBelle, FL
County
Hendry County · 23,186 people
Metro
Clewiston, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,186
Household income
$57,009
Rent vs Own
22.0% rent · 78.0% own
Severe rent burden
498.0

Population outlook (Hendry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,866 people
By 2030
38,558 · -0.8%
By 2040
37,743 · -2.9%
By 2050
36,117 · -7.1%
By 2075
30,070 · -22.6%
By 2100
21,966 · -43.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (56%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 39% Two or more races 21% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 50%

Political lean MEDSL · Hendry

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.3) · D 30.4% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -38.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.3 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+14.2 2012: R+5.9 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 75.20%
Current HPI
537.4928
Rent YoY
Metro
Clewiston, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1960.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $309,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+40.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,850 · +1145.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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