301 W Meek St · Wayne, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home needs some updates but has protentional with a large, fenced backyard and beautiful shade trees. Located 2 blocks from school and 3 blocks from a convenient store, it would make an excellent starter home.
Key facts
- 2 blocks from school
- 0.32 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Occupied; Directions: North corner of Meek and Seifried; Located in Brakefield addition; Homestead not claimed
- Financial info: Not assumable; Financing qualification likely (loan qualify: yes); Current price listed
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Living area per assessor
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; Residential property; Existing property
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as an existing structure
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Corner lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: Living area with one living area; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#309 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Wayne (rural): math 11% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #219 of 270 in OK (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Wayne Es (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 204 students, 0% FRL); Wayne Hs (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #332 of 447 statewide, top 78%, 146 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 59% district-wide (59 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 334 units permitted in McClain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
- McClain County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $53k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $85k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.31%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $63,568
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 S Fox St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,028 (-6%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $58 | 84 |
| 200 W Barger St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,061 (-3%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $38 | 77 |
| 315 W Meek St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (+5%) | 16mo | $94,900 | $83 | 74 |
| 506 S Scott St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,184 (+8%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $139 | 68 |
| 202 W Barger St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 957 (-13%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $52 | 61 |
| 313 W Meek St | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,230 (+12%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $49 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $36,616
- Equity at exit
- $45,729
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.00×
- Total profit
- $95,089
- Equity at exit
- $76,975
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73095
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,049 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $531/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-20status Active
-
2026-05-20price $85,000
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-04-23price $110,000
-
2026-02-18$138,000 Active
-
2020-09-22soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $531 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $765 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- +$234/yr (+$19/mo · 44.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,594
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$531
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,007
- − Management
- −$1,007
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $2,389
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$573
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,071/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne
- NCES district ID
- 4032010
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,370
- Composite
- 13.2/100
- National rank
- #9554
- State rank
- #219 of 270 in OK
Livability — Wayne
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #309
- US rank
- #17891
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wayne, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,003
Population outlook (McClain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,053 people
- By 2030
- 50,081 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 58,231 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 66,276 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 86,558 · +88.0%
- By 2100
- 100,421 · +118.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Native American 15% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · McClain
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.6) · D 18.8% · R 79.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -51.8pp · 2024: -60.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.6 2020: R+60.9 2016: R+60.9 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+51.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.52%
- Current HPI
- 283.6558
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+70.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $85,000 MLSOK
- 2026-05-06 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $110,000 MLSOK
- 2026-02-18 Listed $138,000 MLSOK
- 2020-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $531 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…