1253 Main St · Berlin, NH
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.48%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $507 – $941
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$198,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Charming and Versatile 2-Family Home - Live, Work, or Invest! This well-kept 2-family property is full of potential and flexibility! Each unit features 1 bedroom, offering a great layout for various uses-live in one, rent the other, or operate your own business right from home. The first-floor unit is currently leased to a successful hair salon, providing immediate rental income. The second-floor unit is used for short-term rentals, making it a turn-key investment opportunity-or convert it to your own private residence. Recent updates include a new roof and furnace (2024), giving peace of mind for years to come. Whether you& apos; re an investor looking for a strong return, a small busi
Key facts
- 2 family home
- New furnace
- Second floor unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 1-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $198k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $85/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $198k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 7.1% in Berlin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#67 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Berlin School District (town): math 24% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #91 of 98 in NH (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 95 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Coos County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.92%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $119,054
- Equity at exit
- $178,374
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.18×
- Total profit
- $342,754
- Equity at exit
- $384,670
Cash invested: $55,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Hampshire
- 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 03570
- Home prices YoY
- 14.3%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,595 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,038
- Tax from tax record
- −$332 /mo · $3,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$545
- Net cashflow
- $171
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 2 | $2,596 |
| #1 | 1 | 2 | $1,298 |
| #2 | 1 | 2 | $1,298 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,595 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,500
- Closing costs
- $5,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1878 Riverside Dr Berlin, NH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $2,800 | $2.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-18$198,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,985 · $332/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,151 · $346/mo
- Expected delta
- +$166/yr (+$14/mo · 4.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 48% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,091
- − Property taxes
- −$3,985
- − Insurance
- −$6,108
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,491
- − Management
- −$2,491
- − Depreciation
- −$5,760
- Taxable loss
- −$787
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$189
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,236/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berlin School District
- NCES district ID
- 3301860
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,494
- Composite
- 22.5/100
- National rank
- #8095
- State rank
- #91 of 98 in NH
Livability — Berlin
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #11665
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berlin, NH
- City population
- 9,473
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,473
Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,912 people
- By 2030
- 29,872 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 27,449 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 25,049 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 19,584 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 13,818 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 21% German 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Coos
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.8) · D 42.7% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.1pp toward R · 2008: 18.3pp · 2024: -13.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.8 2020: R+5.9 2016: R+9.1 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+18.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 55.16%
- Current HPI
- 440.9127
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $198,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,985 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…