409 7th St · Windber, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.9/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to add your own personal touches to this Windber property. This property boasts 3 ample bedrooms and a full bath on the second floor with first floor laundry and a large kitchen with a separate dining room. There is also a 1 car detached garage behind the property. Don't hesitate to call for a personal tour.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Separate dining room
- Updated bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Off-street and on-street parking; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available
- Home design: Single family residence; Two stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Rectangular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Double pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Full unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#606 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Windber Area SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #166 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $125k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.82%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $108,820
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- -48.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 8th St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,356 (-6%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $118 | 79 |
| 1210 Somerset Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+4%) | 2mo | $128,000 | $85 | 71 |
| 306 12th St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-3%) | 6mo | $92,000 | $66 | 69 |
| 307 Cambria Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+6%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $133 | 68 |
| 210 10th St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,536 (+6%) | 13mo | $140,000 | $91 | 67 |
| 401 8th St | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 1,644 (+14%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $100 | 63 |
| 201 7th St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,598 (+10%) | 11mo | $148,000 | $93 | 57 |
| 306 11th St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,614 (+12%) | 12mo | $55,000 | $34 | 57 |
| 808 12th St | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 1,412 (-2%) | 12mo | $187,500 | $133 | 56 |
| 404 Hugh St | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 | 1,266 (-13%) | 12mo | $205,000 | $162 | 51 |
| 310 11th St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,233 (-15%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $97 | 50 |
| 211 Railroad St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (-10%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $73 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,017
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $21,708
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15963
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,411 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,463/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $286
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 610-char remark
-
2026-06-18pricestatusdays on market $124,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-05status Pending 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Great opportunity to add your own personal touches to this Windber property. This property boasts 3 ample bedrooms and a full bath on the second floor with first floor laundry and a large kitchen with a separate dining room. There is also a 1 car detached garage behind the property. Don't hesitate to call for a personal tour.
-
2026-04-30price $56,500 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Great opportunity to add your own personal touches to this Windber property. This property boasts 3 ample bedrooms and a full bath on the second floor with first floor laundry and a large kitchen with a separate dining room. There is also a 1 car detached garage behind the property. Don't hesitate to call for a personal tour.
-
2026-04-15$59,900 Active 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Great opportunity to add your own personal touches to this Windber property. This property boasts 3 ample bedrooms and a full bath on the second floor with first floor laundry and a large kitchen with a separate dining room. There is also a 1 car detached garage behind the property. Don't hesitate to call for a personal tour.
-
1993-02-01soldstatus $34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,463 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,718 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$255/yr (+$21/mo · 17.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,937
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,463
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,355
- − Management
- −$1,355
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $1,510
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$362
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,071/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Windber Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226610
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,802
- Composite
- 43.54/100
- National rank
- #2985
- State rank
- #166 of 539 in PA
Livability — Windber
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #606
- US rank
- #5843
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Windber, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,383
Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,318 people
- By 2030
- 68,555 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 62,447 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 56,437 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 44,453 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 32,408 · -54.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Somerset
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.99%
- Current HPI
- 142.2017
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+267.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $124,900 CSMLS
- 2026-05-15 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CSMLS
- 2026-05-05 Pending — CSMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $56,500 CSMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $59,900 CSMLS
- 1993-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,463 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…