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409 7th St
C- Composite 53.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.9/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

409 7th St · Windber, PA 15963
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,448 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1900 5,663 sqft lot $86/sqft · 15% above area Est $109k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to add your own personal touches to this Windber property. This property boasts 3 ample bedrooms and a full bath on the second floor with first floor laundry and a large kitchen with a separate dining room. There is also a 1 car detached garage behind the property. Don't hesitate to call for a personal tour.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Separate dining room
  • Updated bathroom

Tags

SEPARATE DINING ROOMSPACIOUS EAT-IN KITCHENFIRST FLOOR LAUNDRY ROOMUPDATED BATHROOMCERAMIC TILE SHOWER SURROUNDCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Off-street and on-street parking; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Rectangular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Full unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#606 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Windber Area SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #166 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $125k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $124,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.04%
Cash-on-cash
9.82%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$108,820
List price
$124,900
Delta
-48.08%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
301 8th St 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,356 (-6%) 2mo $160,000 $118 79
1210 Somerset Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,500 (+4%) 2mo $128,000 $85 71
306 12th St 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-3%) 6mo $92,000 $66 69
307 Cambria Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,536 (+6%) 4mo $205,000 $133 68
210 10th St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,536 (+6%) 13mo $140,000 $91 67
401 8th St 0.07mi 3/1.5 1,644 (+14%) 11mo $165,000 $100 63
201 7th St 0.15mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,598 (+10%) 11mo $148,000 $93 57
306 11th St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,614 (+12%) 12mo $55,000 $34 57
808 12th St 0.51mi 3/2.5 1,412 (-2%) 12mo $187,500 $133 56
404 Hugh St 0.26mi 3/2.5 1,266 (-13%) 12mo $205,000 $162 51
310 11th St 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,233 (-15%) 3mo $120,000 $97 50
211 Railroad St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,305 (-10%) 3mo $95,000 $73 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-2,017
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$21,708
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15963

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,411 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,463/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$286

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,049
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 610-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $124,900 Active 1 DOM
  3. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Great opportunity to add your own personal touches to this Windber property. This property boasts 3 ample bedrooms and a full bath on the second floor with first floor laundry and a large kitchen with a separate dining room. There is also a 1 car detached garage behind the property. Don't hesitate to call for a personal tour.

  4. 2026-04-30
    price $56,500 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Great opportunity to add your own personal touches to this Windber property. This property boasts 3 ample bedrooms and a full bath on the second floor with first floor laundry and a large kitchen with a separate dining room. There is also a 1 car detached garage behind the property. Don't hesitate to call for a personal tour.

  5. 2026-04-15
    listed $59,900 Active 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    Great opportunity to add your own personal touches to this Windber property. This property boasts 3 ample bedrooms and a full bath on the second floor with first floor laundry and a large kitchen with a separate dining room. There is also a 1 car detached garage behind the property. Don't hesitate to call for a personal tour.

  6. 1993-02-01
    soldstatus $34,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,463 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,718 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$255/yr (+$21/mo · 17.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,937
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,463
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,355
− Management
−$1,355
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$1,510
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$362
After-tax cash flow
$3,071/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Windber Area SD
NCES district ID
4226610
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$36,802
Composite
43.54/100
National rank
#2985
State rank
#166 of 539 in PA

Livability — Windber

Score
72/100
State rank
#606
US rank
#5843

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Windber, PA
Population (ZIP)
10,383

Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,318 people
By 2030
68,555 · -3.9%
By 2040
62,447 · -12.4%
By 2050
56,437 · -20.9%
By 2075
44,453 · -37.7%
By 2100
32,408 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 17% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Somerset

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.99%
Current HPI
142.2017
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+267.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $124,900 CSMLS
  • 2026-05-15 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CSMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Pending CSMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $56,500 CSMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $59,900 CSMLS
  • 1993-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,463 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…