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2521 Wisconsin Ave
D Composite 40.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$244,300

2521 Wisconsin Ave · Joplin, MO 64804
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,150 sqft · Other · 24 Days on market
Built 1958 ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This unique Georgian Style has a charm of its own. Complete remodel from the studs up! Everything is new and Awesome!! Spacious home with 4 bedroom and a split floor plan. Something for everyone! Neighborhood Description Wonderful neighborhood with extra nice neighbors. Walking distance to Kelsey Norman Elementary and High School. Central location easy access to businesses.

Key facts

  • Complete remodel
  • Central location
  • Georgian style

Tags

GEORGIAN STYLECOMPLETE REMODELCENTRAL LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $244k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-31/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (0.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (23.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $187k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 5.1% in Joplin — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#318 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Joplin Schools (urban): math 30% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #231 of 324 in MO (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.7%/yr); 353 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($241k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $186,618 (23.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.05%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.6%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-29,991
Equity at exit
$36,426
10-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$18,147
Equity at exit
$21,123

Cash invested: $68,404 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64804

Rents YoY
15.7%
Active inventory
353
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,866 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,281
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,127/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$-3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,869
Max offer price $243,844
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $136 -5% $67 +0% $-3 +5% $-72 +10% $-141
Rent -10% $-150 -5% $-76 +0% $-3 +5% $71 +10% $145
Rate -1.0pp $120 -0.5pp $60 base $-3 +0.5pp $-66 +1.0pp $-130

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,075
Closing costs
$7,329
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2517 Ohio Ave Joplin, MO 3.0 2.0 1503 $1,695 $1.13 21d 1 0.21mi
2114 S Patterson Ave Joplin, MO 3.0 2.0 1715 $1,700 $0.99 21d 1 0.80mi
2201 S Pearl Ave Joplin, MO 3.0 2.0 1487 $1,475 $0.99 21d 1 0.91mi
2226 S Moffet Ave Joplin, MO 4.0 2.0 1818 $1,600 $0.88 21d 1 1.05mi
2528 E 15th St Joplin, MO 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,750 $1.53 21d 1 1.17mi
2811 E 15th St Joplin, MO 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,500 $1.00 21d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $244,300 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $244,300 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $244,300 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $244,300 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $244,300 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $244,300 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $244,300 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $244,300 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $244,300 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $244,300 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $244,300 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $244,300 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $244,300 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $244,300 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $244,300 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $244,300 Active 5 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $244,300 Active 4 DOM
  18. 2026-05-26
    listed $244,300 Active
  19. 2026-02-14
    price $250,000
  20. 2025-11-14
    price $262,500
  21. 2025-08-18
    price $279,500
  22. 2025-07-15
    price $284,900
  23. 2002-03-19
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,127 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,370 · $197/mo
Expected delta
+$1,242/yr (+$104/mo · 110.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,394
− Mortgage interest
−$13,685
− Property taxes
−$1,127
− Insurance
−$1,222
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,792
− Management
−$1,792
− Depreciation
−$7,107
Taxable loss
−$4,329
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,039
After-tax cash flow
$1,008/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Joplin Schools
NCES district ID
2916350
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$38,648
Composite
28.82/100
National rank
#6657
State rank
#231 of 324 in MO

Livability — Joplin

Score
64/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#14578

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Joplin, MO
County
Newton County · 37,016 people
City population
73,303
Metro
Joplin, MO
Population (ZIP)
37,016
Household income
$62,574
Rent vs Own
32.6% rent · 67.4% own
Severe rent burden
1082.0

Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,033 people
By 2030
120,091 · +0.0%
By 2040
119,297 · -0.6%
By 2050
117,705 · -1.9%
By 2075
110,402 · -8.0%
By 2100
99,719 · -16.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jasper

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.8) · D 25.9% · R 72.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-13.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -46.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.8 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+41.0 2008: R+33.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -204.80%
Current HPI
279.4471
Rent YoY
▲ 15.66%
Metro
Joplin, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $244,300 FSBO.com
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed $250,000 OGAR
  • 2025-11-14 Price Changed $262,500 OGAR
  • 2025-08-18 Price Changed $279,500 OGAR
  • 2025-07-15 Price Changed $284,900 OGAR
  • 2002-03-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,127 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…