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854 Derbyshire Rd
C- Composite 51.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$162,000

854 Derbyshire Rd · Daytona Beach, FL 32117
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 920 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 185 Days on market
Built 1961 6,500 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY * * * DAYTONA BEACH * * * 3 BEDROOMS 1.5 BATHROOM * * * 920SF PROPERTY with CASH FLOW POTENTIAL. NEW FAUCETRY, VYNIL WATERPROOF FLOORING, NEWER CABINETRY & COUNTERTOP. CLOSE TO BEACHES, SHOPPING, INTERNATIONAL SPEEDWAY & MINUTES FROM I-95 * * * SELLER MOTIVATED * * *

Key facts

  • Cash flow potential
  • New faucetry
  • Newer cabinetry

Tags

CASH FLOW POTENTIALNEW FAUCETRYVYNIL WATERPROOF FLOORINGNEWER CABINETRYCOUNTERTOPCLOSE TO BEACHES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $162k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (0.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#46 in FL, #867 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D-.
  • Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 332 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $162k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.69%
Cash-on-cash
4.98%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-17,419
Equity at exit
$24,155
10-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-12,201
Equity at exit
$14,007

Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32117

Home prices YoY
-8.2%
Rents YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
332
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,615 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$850
Tax from tax record
$170 /mo · $2,044/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$188

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,376
Max offer price $162,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,500
Closing costs
$4,860
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
922 Lewis Dr Daytona Beach, FL 3.0 1.0 1034 $1,750 $1.69 23d 1 0.13mi
875 Derbyshire Rd Daytona Beach, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 835 $1,299 $1.56 11d 11 0.21mi
736 White St Daytona Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1092 $1,799 $1.65 23d 1 0.49mi
1216 Kennedy Rd Unit 10 Daytona Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $975 $1.08 23d 1 0.53mi
1216 Kennedy Rd Unit 4 Daytona Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $975 $1.08 14d 1 0.53mi
1217 Kennedy Rd Unit 56 Daytona Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 23d 1 0.55mi
1225 Kennedy Rd Daytona Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $825 $1.03 11d 1 0.56mi
1229 Kennedy Rd Daytona Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 14d 1 0.58mi
736 Kentucky St Unit 3 Daytona Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 14d 1 0.86mi
625 Holmes Ave Daytona Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $995 $1.30 21d 1 0.94mi
100 Windflower LN Daytona Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1021 $2,516 $2.46 11d 63 1.04mi
101 Claysburg LN Holly Hill, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1163 $2,800 $2.41 14d 25 1.04mi
550 Ruth St Daytona Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,995 $1.79 11d 1 1.13mi
660 8th St Daytona Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,375 $1.53 23d 1 1.19mi
512 Fulton St Daytona Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 963 $1,600 $1.66 23d 1 1.21mi
601 Vera St Unit 601 Daytona Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1113 $1,700 $1.53 23d 1 1.22mi
840 Center Ave Apt 75 Holly Hill, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 23d 1 1.25mi
430 Dorothy Ave Daytona Beach, FL 3.0 1.0 1103 $1,700 $1.54 14d 1 1.29mi
1600 Lpga Blvd Daytona Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1045 $2,622 $2.51 11d 21 1.33mi
464 Brentwood Dr Daytona Beach, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $1,365 $1.61 11d 8 1.36mi
1851 Lpga Blvd Daytona Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 966 $2,516 $2.60 11d 49 1.36mi
417 Jefferson St #1 Daytona Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,890 $2.70 23d 1 1.41mi
900 LPGA Blvd Daytona Beach, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 885 $1,495 $1.69 14d 14 1.43mi
119 Thomasson Ave Daytona Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 851 $1,199 $1.41 11d 2 1.49mi
1381 N Clyde Morris Blvd Daytona Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 919 $1,964 $2.14 11d 10 1.50mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $162,000 Active 185 DOM
  2. 2026-02-04
    price $162,000 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    * * * INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY * * * DAYTONA BEACH * * * 3 BEDROOMS 1.5 BATHROOM * * * 920SF PROPERTY with CASH FLOW POTENTIAL. NEW FAUCETRY, VYNIL WATERPROOF FLOORING, NEWER CABINETRY & COUNTERTOP. CLOSE TO BEACHES, SHOPPING, INTERNATIONAL SPEEDWAY & MINUTES FROM I-95 * * * SELLER MOTIVATED * * *

  3. 2025-11-26
    listed $179,000 Active 341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (341 chars)

    * * * INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY * * * DAYTONA BEACH * * * 3 BEDROOMS 1.5 BATHROOM * * * 920SF PROPERTY with CASH FLOW POTENTIAL. NEW FAUCETRY, VYNIL WATERPROOF FLOORING, NEWER CABINETRY & COUNTERTOP. CLOSE TO BEACHES, SHOPPING, INTERNATIONAL SPEEDWAY & MINUTES FROM I-95 * * * SELLER MOTIVATED * * *

  4. 2025-05-31
    historical
  5. 2025-01-07
    price $210,000
  6. 2024-11-12
    status Active
  7. 2024-10-31
    historical
  8. 2024-09-05
    price $220,000
  9. 2024-08-06
    price $239,900
  10. 2024-05-21
    price $249,900
  11. 2024-05-08
    price $269,900
  12. 2024-04-01
    listed $285,000 Active
  13. 2018-09-30
    historical
  14. 2018-08-28
    price $95,000
  15. 2018-05-09
    status Active
  16. 2018-04-30
    historical
  17. 2018-04-25
    price $87,500
  18. 2018-04-09
    price $90,500
  19. 2018-02-16
    listed $92,500 Active
  20. 2017-10-06
    soldstatus $59,900
  21. 2016-12-07
    historical
  22. 2016-11-02
    historical Contingent
  23. 2016-11-02
    status Pending
  24. 2016-11-02
    historical
  25. 2016-09-28
    listed $75,000 Active
  26. 2016-09-22
    listed $75,000 Active
  27. 1969-02-01
    soldstatus $12,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,044 · $170/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,044 · $170/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,378
− Mortgage interest
−$9,075
− Property taxes
−$2,044
− Insurance
−$810
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,550
− Management
−$1,550
− Depreciation
−$4,713
Taxable loss
−$363
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$87
After-tax cash flow
$2,348/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Volusia
NCES district ID
1201920
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,946
Composite
39.2/100
National rank
#4019
State rank
#47 of 73 in FL

Livability — Daytona Beach

Score
83/100
State rank
#46
US rank
#867

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Daytona Beach, FL
County
Volusia County · 556,871 people
City population
67,539
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
30,955
Household income
$56,419
Rent vs Own
52.3% rent · 47.7% own
Severe rent burden
1781.0

Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
572,749 people
By 2030
598,695 · +4.5%
By 2040
644,880 · +12.6%
By 2050
681,451 · +19.0%
By 2075
759,957 · +32.7%
By 2100
778,902 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Volusia

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.62%
Current HPI
1084.54
Rent YoY
▲ 1.01%
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1206.5% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $162,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-26 Listed $179,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-07 Price Changed $210,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-12 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-05 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-06 Price Changed $239,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-21 Price Changed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-08 Price Changed $269,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-01 Listed $285,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-09-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-08-28 Price Changed $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-09 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-25 Price Changed $87,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-09 Price Changed $90,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-02-16 Listed $92,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
  • 2016-12-07 Listing Removed Daytona MLS
  • 2016-11-02 Contingent Daytona MLS
  • 2016-11-02 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-02 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-28 Listed $75,000 Daytona MLS
  • 2016-09-22 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1969-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,044 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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