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1025 Lincoln St
B- Composite 67.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$62,500

1025 Lincoln St · Galesburg, IL 61401
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 714 sqft · Other public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1898 8,400 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bedroom with main floor laundry. New furnace and large yard.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Gas range hookups
  • Pantry

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHGAS RANGE HOOKUPSLARGE REFRIGERATORPANTRYDINING NOOKLARGE LIVING ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1898; One detached garage
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Foundation with full basement (unfinished)
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 140 x 60; Full unfinished walk-out basement

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two upper-level bedrooms with egress windows; third bedroom upper level)
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms; Luxury vinyl plank on main living areas, dining room, kitchen, and laundry
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric water heater; Central air conditioning; High-efficiency heating and high-efficiency air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $62k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 6.4% in Galesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Galesburg CUSD 205 (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #488 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Galesburg Senior High School (math 19% / reading 24%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,762 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 198 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $432 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $62k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $60,625 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.77%
Cap rate
14.15%
Cash-on-cash
28.07%
DSCR
2.25
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$15,978
Equity at exit
$9,319
10-year hold
IRR
30.3%
Equity multiple
3.72×
Total profit
$47,628
Equity at exit
$5,404

Cash invested: $17,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61401

Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,104 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$328
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,310/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$409

Break-even live

Break-even rent $586
Max offer price $62,500
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $445 -5% $427 +0% $409 +5% $392 +10% $374
Rent -10% $322 -5% $366 +0% $409 +5% $453 +10% $497
Rate -1.0pp $441 -0.5pp $425 base $409 +0.5pp $393 +1.0pp $377

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,625
Closing costs
$1,875
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $62,500 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $62,500 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $62,500 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $62,500 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $62,500 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $62,500 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $62,500 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $62,500 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $62,500 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,500 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $62,500 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $67,500 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $67,500 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $67,500 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,500 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,500 Active 10 DOM
  17. 2026-05-20
    listed $67,500 Active
  18. 2015-08-14
    soldstatus $30,000 62-char remark
    Show marketing remark (62 chars)

    3 bedroom with main floor laundry. New furnace and large yard.

  19. 2015-08-14
    soldstatus $30,000
    Show marketing remark (62 chars)

    3 bedroom with main floor laundry. New furnace and large yard.

  20. 2015-04-08
    listed $36,000 62-char remark
    Show marketing remark (62 chars)

    3 bedroom with main floor laundry. New furnace and large yard.

  21. 2014-04-30
    soldstatus $22,425 62-char remark
    Show marketing remark (62 chars)

    Currently used as a rental - $500 income so make it your own!!

  22. 2014-04-30
    soldstatus $133,000
    Show marketing remark (62 chars)

    Currently used as a rental - $500 income so make it your own!!

  23. 2014-04-30
    soldstatus $133,000
    Show marketing remark (62 chars)

    Currently used as a rental - $500 income so make it your own!!

  24. 2014-01-31
    listed $37,000 62-char remark
    Show marketing remark (62 chars)

    Currently used as a rental - $500 income so make it your own!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,310 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,364 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$54/yr (+$5/mo · 4.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,250
− Mortgage interest
−$3,501
− Property taxes
−$1,310
− Insurance
−$312
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,060
− Management
−$1,060
− Depreciation
−$1,818
Taxable income
$4,188
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,005
After-tax cash flow
$3,907/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galesburg CUSD 205
NCES district ID
1716080
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,901
Composite
14.46/100
National rank
#9427
State rank
#488 of 620 in IL

Livability — Galesburg

Score
70/100
State rank
#367
US rank
#7601

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Galesburg, IL
City population
32,318
Population (ZIP)
30,684

Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,224 people
By 2030
46,333 · -3.9%
By 2040
42,424 · -12.0%
By 2050
38,929 · -19.3%
By 2075
31,523 · -34.6%
By 2100
24,092 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Knox

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.48%
Current HPI
157.276
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+82.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $67,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2015-08-14 Sold (MLS) $30,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-08 Listed $36,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $133,000 Public Records
  • 2014-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $133,000 Public Records
  • 2014-04-30 Sold (MLS) $22,425 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-01-31 Listed $37,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,310 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…