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821 E Division 20-Plex
B- Composite 67.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,500,000

821 E Division · Forks, WA 98331
None bd · None ba · 9,164 sqft · MultiFamily public records
Built 1988 1.77 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 20 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

20 Unit apartment complex that features 3-3 bedroom units, 14- 2 bedroom units, and 3-1 bedroom units, on site coin- op laundry facility. The rents range from $655- 897 per month. This property has been well kept over the years with professional accounting, maintenance, and grounds keeping; close to Forks Aquatic Center, on City of Forks public water and sewer system. 31 paved parking spots. Financials are available upon request with non-disclosure agreement.

Key facts

  • 1.77 acre lot
  • Built 1988

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3×3bd/3.0ba + 14×2bd/2.0ba + 3×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $1.50M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($67k/yr) — positive. Per door: $280/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $1.50M).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#202 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, employment F.
  • Quillayute Valley School District (town): math 24% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #239 of 291 in WA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $420k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 212666% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Recommended offer $1,500,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.77%
Cash-on-cash
15.99%
DSCR
1.71
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$113,056
Equity at exit
$223,655
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
2.32×
Total profit
$555,860
Equity at exit
$129,693

Cash invested: $420,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98331

Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
121.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$18,771 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$7,866
Tax from tax record
$740 /mo · $8,880/yr
Insurance
$625
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,942
Net cashflow
$5,598

Break-even live

Break-even rent $11,685
Max offer price $1,500,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $6,447 -5% $6,022 +0% $5,598 +5% $5,173 +10% $4,749
Rent -10% $4,115 -5% $4,856 +0% $5,598 +5% $6,339 +10% $7,081
Rate -1.0pp $6,353 -0.5pp $5,979 base $5,598 +0.5pp $5,209 +1.0pp $4,814

20-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (20 units) $18,771

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$375,000
Closing costs
$45,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-01-21
    listed $705
  2. 2025-11-02
    historical $705
  3. 2025-07-08
    listed $705
  4. 2025-06-26
    historical $705
  5. 2024-10-13
    listed $705
  6. 2024-07-02
    historical
  7. 2023-09-02
    status Pending
  8. 2023-04-25
    historical
  9. 2023-04-05
    historical
  10. 2023-04-03
    listed $1,500,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$8,880 · $740/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$14,700 · $1,225/mo
Expected delta
+$5,820/yr (+$485/mo · 65.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥82°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$225,252
− Mortgage interest
−$84,023
− Property taxes
−$8,880
− Insurance
−$7,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$18,020
− Management
−$18,020
− Depreciation
−$43,636
Taxable income
$45,172
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$10,841
After-tax cash flow
$56,334/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Quillayute Valley School District
NCES district ID
5307020
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$40,142
Composite
33.96/100
National rank
#10332
State rank
#239 of 291 in WA

Livability — Forks

Score
73/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#5582

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Forks, WA
Population (ZIP)
5,526

Population outlook (Clallam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,817 people
By 2030
78,177 · +1.8%
By 2040
79,795 · +3.9%
By 2050
80,890 · +5.3%
By 2075
83,933 · +9.3%
By 2100
82,141 · +6.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Two or more races 19% Hispanic / Latino 18% Native American 5% Asian 4% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 4% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Clallam

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 52.6% · R 44.7% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+3.4 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+3.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -117.63%
Current HPI
150.8995
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-21 Listed for Rent $705 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-02 Rental Removed $705 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-08 Listed for Rent $705 HARMLS
  • 2025-06-26 Rental Removed $705 HARMLS
  • 2024-10-13 Listed for Rent $705 HARMLS
  • 2024-07-02 Rental Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-09-02 Pending OLS
  • 2023-04-25 Delisted OLS
  • 2023-04-05 Delisted OLS
  • 2023-04-03 Listed $1,500,000 OLS

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $8,880 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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