20-Plex
821 E Division · Forks, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 82°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,500,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 20 units. confirmed
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
20 Unit apartment complex that features 3-3 bedroom units, 14- 2 bedroom units, and 3-1 bedroom units, on site coin- op laundry facility. The rents range from $655- 897 per month. This property has been well kept over the years with professional accounting, maintenance, and grounds keeping; close to Forks Aquatic Center, on City of Forks public water and sewer system. 31 paved parking spots. Financials are available upon request with non-disclosure agreement.
Key facts
- 1.77 acre lot
- Built 1988
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3×3bd/3.0ba + 14×2bd/2.0ba + 3×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $1.50M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($67k/yr) — positive. Per door: $280/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $1.50M).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#202 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, employment F.
- Quillayute Valley School District (town): math 24% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #239 of 291 in WA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $420k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 212666% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.99%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $113,056
- Equity at exit
- $223,655
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $555,860
- Equity at exit
- $129,693
Cash invested: $420,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98331
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 121.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $18,771 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$7,866
- Tax from tax record
- −$740 /mo · $8,880/yr
- Insurance
- −$625
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,942
- Net cashflow
- $5,598
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $6,447 | -5% $6,022 | +0% $5,598 | +5% $5,173 | +10% $4,749 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $4,115 | -5% $4,856 | +0% $5,598 | +5% $6,339 | +10% $7,081 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $6,353 | -0.5pp $5,979 | base $5,598 | +0.5pp $5,209 | +1.0pp $4,814 |
20-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 3 | $3,096 |
| #1 | 3 | 3 | $1,032 |
| #2 | 3 | 3 | $1,032 |
| #3 | 3 | 3 | $1,032 |
| 14× units | 2 | 2 | $13,034 |
| #4 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| #5 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| #6 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| #7 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| #8 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| #9 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| #10 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| #11 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| #12 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| #13 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| #14 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| #15 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| #16 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| #17 | 2 | 2 | $931 |
| 3× units | 1 | 1 | $2,634 |
| #18 | 1 | 1 | $878 |
| #19 | 1 | 1 | $878 |
| #20 | 1 | 1 | $878 |
| Total (20 units) | $18,771 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $375,000
- Closing costs
- $45,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-01-21$705
-
2025-11-02historical $705
-
2025-07-08$705
-
2025-06-26historical $705
-
2024-10-13$705
-
2024-07-02historical
-
2023-09-02status Pending
-
2023-04-25historical
-
2023-04-05historical
-
2023-04-03$1,500,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,880 · $740/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,700 · $1,225/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,820/yr (+$485/mo · 65.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥82°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $225,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$84,023
- − Property taxes
- −$8,880
- − Insurance
- −$7,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$18,020
- − Management
- −$18,020
- − Depreciation
- −$43,636
- Taxable income
- $45,172
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10,841
- After-tax cash flow
- $56,334/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Quillayute Valley School District
- NCES district ID
- 5307020
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,142
- Composite
- 33.96/100
- National rank
- #10332
- State rank
- #239 of 291 in WA
Livability — Forks
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #5582
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Forks, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,526
Population outlook (Clallam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,817 people
- By 2030
- 78,177 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 79,795 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 80,890 · +5.3%
- By 2075
- 83,933 · +9.3%
- By 2100
- 82,141 · +6.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Two or more races 19% Hispanic / Latino 18% Native American 5% Asian 4% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Slovak 4% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clallam
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 52.6% · R 44.7% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+3.4 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+3.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -117.63%
- Current HPI
- 150.8995
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
10 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-21 Listed for Rent $705 HARMLS
- 2025-11-02 Rental Removed $705 HARMLS
- 2025-07-08 Listed for Rent $705 HARMLS
- 2025-06-26 Rental Removed $705 HARMLS
- 2024-10-13 Listed for Rent $705 HARMLS
- 2024-07-02 Rental Removed — HARMLS
- 2023-09-02 Pending — OLS
- 2023-04-25 Delisted — OLS
- 2023-04-05 Delisted — OLS
- 2023-04-03 Listed $1,500,000 OLS
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2026): $8,880 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…