2088 Burlington Cir · Williamstown, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.7/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Summerfields West features an active adult community. Welcome to this beautifully upgraded 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom home located in a 55+ community offering resort-style amenities including a pool, gym, and clubhouse. Step inside to discover a thoughtfully designed interior featuring waterproof oak plank vinyl flooring, elegant feature walls, and 4” baseboards throughout. The spacious living room is the perfect place to relax or entertain, complete with a custom built-in entertainment center and electric fireplace, along with stylish floating shelves. The heart of the home is the stunning kitchen, showcasing a large island with quartz countertops, ideal for cooking, gathe
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Large island
- Electric fireplace
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a federal flood zone
- Financial info: Monthly land lease: $945; Land lease years remaining: 127
- HOA & community: Senior community (55+); Community pool (in-ground); Property manager present; Pets allowed with no restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (2 spaces); Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Community water; Community septic tank; Natural gas heating and cooling; Electric service; 60+ gallon hot water tank
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story (entry-level bedrooms); Located in a 55+ senior community; Land lease ownership
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Above-grade structure
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Awnings; Street lights; Deck(s); Patio(s); Adjoins open space; Backs to open common area
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stainless steel appliances; Gas/standard stove; Oven with self-cleaning; Built-in microwave; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas); 60+ gallon hot water tank; Electric fireplace (one)
- Interior features: Built-ins; Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Kitchen island; Wood floors; Entry-level bedroom; Estimated living area
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($321/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $279k (11.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $279k (11.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.9% in Williamstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#289 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Monroe Township Public School District (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #302 of 472 in NJ (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Whitehall Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #582 of 1,303 statewide, top 49%, 357 students, 31% FRL); Williamstown Middle School (math 18% / reading 43%, grade F, #303 of 431 statewide, top 72%, 1,819 students, 30% FRL); Williamstown High School (math 21% / reading 50%, grade F, #234 of 399 statewide, top 59%, 1,782 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.36%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $278,800
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Burlington Cir | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,606 (-2%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $134 | 86 |
| 2012 Ocean Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+2%) | 9mo | $315,000 | $188 | 84 |
| 2043 Salem Ln | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,766 (+8%) | 12mo | $320,000 | $181 | 74 |
| 1079 Bergen Ave | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,512 (-8%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $146 | 67 |
| 2038 Burlington Cir | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,531 (-7%) | 18mo | $227,000 | $148 | 65 |
| 2228 Gloucester Ln | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,766 (+8%) | 22mo | $300,000 | $170 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-49,298
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-40,563
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08094
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,789 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$394 /mo · $4,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$586
- Net cashflow
- $27
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $244 | -5% $136 | +0% $27 | +5% $-82 | +10% $-191 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-194 | -5% $-83 | +0% $27 | +5% $137 | +10% $247 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $185 | -0.5pp $107 | base $27 | +0.5pp $-55 | +1.0pp $-138 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
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2026-06-21days on market $315,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $315,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $315,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $315,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $315,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $315,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $315,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $315,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $315,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $315,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $315,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $315,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $315,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-04-07$315,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,473
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$4,725
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,678
- − Management
- −$2,678
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$4,991
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,198
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,519/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minor maintenance. The highest-ROI updates would be painting the exterior and interior walls, replacing the kitchen appliances and flooring, and replacing the ceiling fan.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Resale Replace ceiling fan — Improves air circulation and aesthetics
- Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modernizes kitchen and improves functionality
- Both Replace flooring — Enhances overall aesthetic and value
- Both Paint interior walls — Freshens up the interior and improves value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale Replace ceiling fan — Improves air circulation and aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modernizes kitchen and improves functionality ↑
- Both Replace flooring — Enhances overall aesthetic and value ↑
- Both Paint interior walls — Freshens up the interior and improves value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monroe Township Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3410470
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,557
- Composite
- 30.24/100
- National rank
- #6295
- State rank
- #302 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Williamstown
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #289
- US rank
- #8603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Gloucester County · 160,422 people
- City population
- 41,595
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,595
- Household income
- $96,699
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 721.0
Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 298,895 people
- By 2030
- 299,031 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 294,020 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 284,188 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 260,720 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 229,565 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -213.12%
- Current HPI
- 278.3849
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…