CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2088 Burlington Cir
D- Composite 36.16
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$315,000

2088 Burlington Cir · Williamstown, NJ 08094
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,640 sqft · SingleFamily · 75 Days on market
Built 2016 Good condition 4,784 sqft lot Est $279k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Summerfields West features an active adult community. Welcome to this beautifully upgraded 3-bedroom, 2 full bathroom home located in a 55+ community offering resort-style amenities including a pool, gym, and clubhouse. Step inside to discover a thoughtfully designed interior featuring waterproof oak plank vinyl flooring, elegant feature walls, and 4” baseboards throughout. The spacious living room is the perfect place to relax or entertain, complete with a custom built-in entertainment center and electric fireplace, along with stylish floating shelves. The heart of the home is the stunning kitchen, showcasing a large island with quartz countertops, ideal for cooking, gathe

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Large island
  • Electric fireplace

Tags

ACTIVE ADULT COMMUNITYRESORT STYLE AMENITIESELECTRIC FIREPLACEFLOATING SHELVESLARGE ISLANDQUARTZ COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Not in a federal flood zone
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease: $945; Land lease years remaining: 127
  • HOA & community: Senior community (55+); Community pool (in-ground); Property manager present; Pets allowed with no restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (2 spaces); Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Community water; Community septic tank; Natural gas heating and cooling; Electric service; 60+ gallon hot water tank
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story (entry-level bedrooms); Located in a 55+ senior community; Land lease ownership
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Above-grade structure
  • Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Awnings; Street lights; Deck(s); Patio(s); Adjoins open space; Backs to open common area

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stainless steel appliances; Gas/standard stove; Oven with self-cleaning; Built-in microwave; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Wood floors
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas); 60+ gallon hot water tank; Electric fireplace (one)
  • Interior features: Built-ins; Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Kitchen island; Wood floors; Entry-level bedroom; Estimated living area
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($321/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $279k (11.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $279k (11.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.9% in Williamstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#289 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Monroe Township Public School District (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #302 of 472 in NJ (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Whitehall Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #582 of 1,303 statewide, top 49%, 357 students, 31% FRL); Williamstown Middle School (math 18% / reading 43%, grade F, #303 of 431 statewide, top 72%, 1,819 students, 30% FRL); Williamstown High School (math 21% / reading 50%, grade F, #234 of 399 statewide, top 59%, 1,782 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $278,942 (11.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.36%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$278,800
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2025 Burlington Cir 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,606 (-2%) 7mo $215,000 $134 86
2012 Ocean Ln 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+2%) 9mo $315,000 $188 84
2043 Salem Ln 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,766 (+8%) 12mo $320,000 $181 74
1079 Bergen Ave 0.16mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,512 (-8%) 9mo $220,000 $146 67
2038 Burlington Cir 0.08mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,531 (-7%) 18mo $227,000 $148 65
2228 Gloucester Ln 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,766 (+8%) 22mo $300,000 $170 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-49,298
Equity at exit
$46,968
10-year hold
IRR
-7.2%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-40,563
Equity at exit
$27,235

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08094

Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,789 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax est. 1.5%
$394 /mo · $4,725/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$586
Net cashflow
$27

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,756
Max offer price $315,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $244 -5% $136 +0% $27 +5% $-82 +10% $-191
Rent -10% $-194 -5% $-83 +0% $27 +5% $137 +10% $247
Rate -1.0pp $185 -0.5pp $107 base $27 +0.5pp $-55 +1.0pp $-138

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $315,000 Active 75 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $315,000 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $315,000 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $315,000 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $315,000 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $315,000 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $315,000 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $315,000 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $315,000 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $315,000 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $315,000 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $315,000 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $315,000 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-04-07
    listed $315,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,473
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$4,725
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,678
− Management
−$2,678
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable loss
−$4,991
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,198
After-tax cash flow
$1,519/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minor maintenance. The highest-ROI updates would be painting the exterior and interior walls, replacing the kitchen appliances and flooring, and replacing the ceiling fan.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Replace ceiling fan — Improves air circulation and aesthetics
  • Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modernizes kitchen and improves functionality
  • Both Replace flooring — Enhances overall aesthetic and value
  • Both Paint interior walls — Freshens up the interior and improves value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Resale Replace ceiling fan — Improves air circulation and aesthetics
  • Both Replace kitchen appliances — Modernizes kitchen and improves functionality
  • Both Replace flooring — Enhances overall aesthetic and value
  • Both Paint interior walls — Freshens up the interior and improves value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe Township Public School District
NCES district ID
3410470
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$71,557
Composite
30.24/100
National rank
#6295
State rank
#302 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Williamstown

Score
69/100
State rank
#289
US rank
#8603

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Gloucester County · 160,422 people
City population
41,595
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
41,595
Household income
$96,699
Rent vs Own
14.5% rent · 85.5% own
Severe rent burden
721.0

Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
298,895 people
By 2030
299,031 · +0.0%
By 2040
294,020 · -1.6%
By 2050
284,188 · -4.9%
By 2075
260,720 · -12.8%
By 2100
229,565 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -213.12%
Current HPI
278.3849
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…