208 N Niles St · Metamora, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.6/15.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Mostly brick 3 BR home located within walking distance to grade school and high school. This home does have a tandem 2 CAR GARAGE with a DRIVEWAY and OVERHEAD DOOR IN FRONT and BACK! Partially finished full basement. Generous room sizes including 24x11 eat-in kitchen, 23x12 living room and 15x13 MBR. Laundry hook-ups on main level and in basement (one of bedrooms was used as laundry room at one time). Furnace approx 2 yrs old, central air approx 8 yrs and roof approx 10 yrs.
Key facts
- 6,750 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-ground pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Tandem parking with alley access; Paved driveway/parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Built in 1968; Shingle roof
- Construction: Shingle roof; No new construction
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Solid surface counters
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary on main level); Egress windows in bedrooms; Bedroom 1 hardwood flooring (~14.1 x 12.1); Bedroom 2 carpet (~12.1 x 10); Bedroom 3 carpet (~11 x 9.0)
- Flooring: Hardwood (living room, some bedrooms); Tile (kitchen); Carpet (some bedrooms); Laminate (basement recreation room); Other (basement laundry area)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating; Gas water heater
- Interior features: Cable available; Solid surface countertops; Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Dedicated laundry room in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#98 in IL, #1,582 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- County Of Woodford School (town): math 47% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #75 of 620 in IL (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Metamora High School (math 47% / reading 44%, grade D-, #58 of 693 statewide, top 8%, 915 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Woodford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- Woodford County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $108k; list at $190k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.78%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $164,795
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 S Davenport St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (+3%) | 19mo | $169,000 | $115 | 67 |
| 417 W Monroe St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,561 (+9%) | 0mo | $239,900 | $154 | 65 |
| 906 N Niles St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,407 (-2%) | 14mo | $141,906 | $101 | 63 |
| 320 W Michigan Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (+11%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $154 | 62 |
| 414 S Menard St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,567 (+9%) | 7mo | $158,000 | $101 | 59 |
| 721 E Partridge St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,291 (-10%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $136 | 59 |
| 216 W Partridge St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,538 (+7%) | 16mo | $161,000 | $105 | 53 |
| 511 S Davenport St | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (+9%) | 10mo | $200,500 | $129 | 53 |
| 914 E Michigan Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,630 (+14%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $160 | 50 |
| 200 W Bertram St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,585 (+11%) | 16mo | $175,000 | $110 | 46 |
| 503 W Mount Vernon St | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,588 (+11%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $110 | 43 |
| 404 N Washington St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+12%) | 17mo | $168,000 | $105 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $53,319
- Equity at exit
- $109,343
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.89×
- Total profit
- $153,832
- Equity at exit
- $190,157
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61548
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,915 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$314 /mo · $3,771/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $123
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-09status $189,900 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07status $189,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-05$189,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,771 · $314/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,041 · $337/mo
- Expected delta
- +$270/yr (+$22/mo · 7.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,974
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$3,771
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,838
- − Management
- −$1,838
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$1,584
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$380
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,859/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- County Of Woodford School
- NCES district ID
- 1725770
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,248
- Composite
- 41.2/100
- National rank
- #3540
- State rank
- #75 of 620 in IL
Livability — Metamora
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #1582
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Metamora, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,165
Population outlook (Woodford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,897 people
- By 2030
- 40,038 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 39,745 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 38,585 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 34,769 · -12.9%
- By 2100
- 27,616 · -30.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Woodford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.0) · D 28.2% · R 70.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.0 2020: R+40.2 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+39.2 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.15%
- Current HPI
- 345.14
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+65.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $189,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
- 2013-04-12 Sold (MLS) $108,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-03 Listed $114,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2024): $3,771 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…