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208 N Niles St
D+ Composite 48.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.6/15.0

$189,900

208 N Niles St · Metamora, IL 61548
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,433 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1968 6,750 sqft lot Est $165k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Mostly brick 3 BR home located within walking distance to grade school and high school. This home does have a tandem 2 CAR GARAGE with a DRIVEWAY and OVERHEAD DOOR IN FRONT and BACK! Partially finished full basement. Generous room sizes including 24x11 eat-in kitchen, 23x12 living room and 15x13 MBR. Laundry hook-ups on main level and in basement (one of bedrooms was used as laundry room at one time). Furnace approx 2 yrs old, central air approx 8 yrs and roof approx 10 yrs.

Key facts

  • 6,750 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-ground pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Tandem parking with alley access; Paved driveway/parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Built in 1968; Shingle roof
  • Construction: Shingle roof; No new construction
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Level lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Solid surface counters
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary on main level); Egress windows in bedrooms; Bedroom 1 hardwood flooring (~14.1 x 12.1); Bedroom 2 carpet (~12.1 x 10); Bedroom 3 carpet (~11 x 9.0)
  • Flooring: Hardwood (living room, some bedrooms); Tile (kitchen); Carpet (some bedrooms); Laminate (basement recreation room); Other (basement laundry area)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: Cable available; Solid surface countertops; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Dedicated laundry room in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#98 in IL, #1,582 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • County Of Woodford School (town): math 47% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #75 of 620 in IL (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Metamora High School (math 47% / reading 44%, grade D-, #58 of 693 statewide, top 8%, 915 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Woodford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
  • Woodford County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $108k; list at $190k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $189,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.78%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$164,795
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
306 S Davenport St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,470 (+3%) 19mo $169,000 $115 67
417 W Monroe St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,561 (+9%) 0mo $239,900 $154 65
906 N Niles St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,407 (-2%) 14mo $141,906 $101 63
320 W Michigan Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,590 (+11%) 1mo $245,000 $154 62
414 S Menard St 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,567 (+9%) 7mo $158,000 $101 59
721 E Partridge St 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,291 (-10%) 2mo $175,000 $136 59
216 W Partridge St 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,538 (+7%) 16mo $161,000 $105 53
511 S Davenport St 0.42mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (+9%) 10mo $200,500 $129 53
914 E Michigan Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,630 (+14%) 6mo $260,000 $160 50
200 W Bertram St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,585 (+11%) 16mo $175,000 $110 46
503 W Mount Vernon St 0.44mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,588 (+11%) 13mo $175,000 $110 43
404 N Washington St 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+12%) 17mo $168,000 $105 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$53,319
Equity at exit
$109,343
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$153,832
Equity at exit
$190,157

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61548

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,915 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$314 /mo · $3,771/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$402
Net cashflow
$123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,759
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $189,900 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    status $189,900 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-05
    listed $189,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,771 · $314/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,041 · $337/mo
Expected delta
+$270/yr (+$22/mo · 7.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,974
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$3,771
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,838
− Management
−$1,838
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$1,584
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$380
After-tax cash flow
$1,859/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
County Of Woodford School
NCES district ID
1725770
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$72,248
Composite
41.2/100
National rank
#3540
State rank
#75 of 620 in IL

Livability — Metamora

Score
81/100
State rank
#98
US rank
#1582

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Metamora, IL
Population (ZIP)
12,165

Population outlook (Woodford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,897 people
By 2030
40,038 · +0.4%
By 2040
39,745 · -0.4%
By 2050
38,585 · -3.3%
By 2075
34,769 · -12.9%
By 2100
27,616 · -30.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Woodford

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.0) · D 28.2% · R 70.3% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.4pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -42.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.0 2020: R+40.2 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+39.2 2008: R+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.15%
Current HPI
345.14
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+65.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $189,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
  • 2013-04-12 Sold (MLS) $108,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-04-03 Listed $114,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,771 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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