🏷️ Likely Rental
2572 Bredinsburg Rd · Cranberry, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$10,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 1654 square foot single family home has 4 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms. This home is located at 2572 Bredinsburg Rd, Franklin, PA 16323.
Key facts
- Built 1939
- Listed 23 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $10k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $760 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
- Recommended offer: $10k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cranberry Area SD (rural): math 32% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #327 of 539 in PA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($69 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 10.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 97.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 325.88%
- DSCR
- 15.50
- GRM
- 0.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $105,856
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1001 Elk St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,792 (+8%) | 13mo | $180,000 | $100 | 47 |
| 1104 Chestnut St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,680 (+2%) | 16mo | $157,000 | $93 | 47 |
| 734 Liberty St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,728 (+4%) | 23mo | $111,000 | $64 | 45 |
| 640 Buffalo St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,564 (-5%) | 15mo | $26,500 | $17 | 44 |
| 421 Sixth St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,899 (+15%) | 20mo | $110,000 | $58 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.25×
- Total profit
- $53,892
- Equity at exit
- $9,009
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 44.09×
- Total profit
- $120,649
- Equity at exit
- $19,428
Cash invested: $2,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16323
- Home prices YoY
- 12.2%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 0.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$52
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$12 /mo · $150/yr
- Insurance
- −$4
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $760
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,500
- Closing costs
- $300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1341 Sassafrass St Franklin, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $10,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $10,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $10,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $10,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $10,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $10,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $10,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $10,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $10,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $10,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $10,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $10,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $10,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $10,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$10,000 Active
-
2003-10-20soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$560
- − Property taxes
- −$150
- − Insurance
- −$50
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,008
- − Management
- −$1,008
- − Depreciation
- −$291
- Taxable income
- $9,533
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,288
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cranberry Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4207050
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,410
- Composite
- 35.82/100
- National rank
- #4827
- State rank
- #327 of 539 in PA
Livability — Cranberry
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,694
Population outlook (Venango County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,827 people
- By 2030
- 46,061 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 39,989 · -18.1%
- By 2050
- 34,094 · -30.2%
- By 2075
- 22,500 · -53.9%
- By 2100
- 13,659 · -72.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Venango
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+41.4 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 26.68%
- Current HPI
- 245.9766
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
-33.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $10,000 FSBO.com
- 2003-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2026): $638 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…