535 Collin Dr · Tomah, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$137,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ARE YOU LOOKING FOR. .. .. Simplified Living? Property Located at "LAKESHORE LANDING". This Home includes Custom features, i. e 2x6 walls, R38 insulation, sheetrock, solid wood cabinets, and trim, stainless black appliances, walk-in closets. Master bath has large tiled walk-in shower, raised double vanity, laundry room w/ sink. Cov. Porch w/ ceiling fan 8X16, Deck 12x14, concrete area between home/garage, handicap accessible exterior/interior doors. This home has plenty of storage. This is a manufactured home, NO land. You own the home, LakeShore Landing provides garage, lawn care, you pay lot rent monthly, plus utilities. Buyer needs to be pre-approved by Lakeshore Landing. Greenspace, walking areas, quiet, country vibe, but in the city. * * * * SELLER WILL PAY 4 MONTHS LOT RENT FOR YOU! * * * *
Key facts
- 2x6 walls
- Walk in closets
- Hard wood cabinets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($269/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (10.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in Tomah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#83 in WI, #2,189 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F.
- Tomah Area School District (town): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #293 of 342 in WI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Lemonweir Elementary (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #823 of 1,041 statewide, top 82%, 290 students, 71% FRL); Tomah Middle (math 28% / reading 29%, grade F, #282 of 383 statewide, top 76%, 676 students, 46% FRL); Tomah High (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #397 of 483 statewide, top 82%, 868 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 36% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 93 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $951 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.70%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-20,832
- Equity at exit
- $20,502
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-16,223
- Equity at exit
- $11,888
Cash invested: $38,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54660
- Home prices YoY
- -23.5%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,231 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$721
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$172 /mo · $2,062/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $22
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $117 | -5% $70 | +0% $22 | +5% $-25 | +10% $-73 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-75 | -5% $-26 | +0% $22 | +5% $71 | +10% $120 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $92 | -0.5pp $57 | base $22 | +0.5pp $-13 | +1.0pp $-49 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,375
- Closing costs
- $4,125
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 E Veterans St Tomah, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 209 E Veterans St Tomah, WI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,300 | $1.58 | 16d | 2 | 1.38mi |
| 220 Murdock St Tomah, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1096 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 260 Murdock St Tomah, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,450 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 202 Murdock St Tomah, WI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1131 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 16d | 3 | 1.45mi |
| 1028 Berry Ave Tomah, WI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1044 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 16d | 2 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-01historical Offer Show
-
2025-11-21$137,500 Active
-
2025-11-18historical 823-char remark
Show marketing remark (823 chars)
ARE YOU LOOKING FOR. .. .. Simplified Living? Property Located at "LAKESHORE LANDING". This Home includes Custom features, i. e 2x6 walls, R38 insulation, sheetrock, solid wood cabinets, and trim, stainless black appliances, walk-in closets. Master bath has large tiled walk-in shower, raised double vanity, laundry room w/ sink. Cov. Porch w/ ceiling fan 8X16, Deck 12x14, concrete area between home/garage, handicap accessible exterior/interior doors. This home has plenty of storage. This is a manufactured home, NO land. You own the home, LakeShore Landing provides garage, lawn care, you pay lot rent monthly, plus utilities. Buyer needs to be pre-approved by Lakeshore Landing. Greenspace, walking areas, quiet, country vibe, but in the city. * * * * SELLER WILL PAY 4 MONTHS LOT RENT FOR YOU! * * * *
-
2025-10-06price $137,500 823-char remark
Show marketing remark (823 chars)
ARE YOU LOOKING FOR. .. .. Simplified Living? Property Located at "LAKESHORE LANDING". This Home includes Custom features, i. e 2x6 walls, R38 insulation, sheetrock, solid wood cabinets, and trim, stainless black appliances, walk-in closets. Master bath has large tiled walk-in shower, raised double vanity, laundry room w/ sink. Cov. Porch w/ ceiling fan 8X16, Deck 12x14, concrete area between home/garage, handicap accessible exterior/interior doors. This home has plenty of storage. This is a manufactured home, NO land. You own the home, LakeShore Landing provides garage, lawn care, you pay lot rent monthly, plus utilities. Buyer needs to be pre-approved by Lakeshore Landing. Greenspace, walking areas, quiet, country vibe, but in the city. * * * * SELLER WILL PAY 4 MONTHS LOT RENT FOR YOU! * * * *
-
2025-06-30$144,900 Active 823-char remark
Show marketing remark (823 chars)
ARE YOU LOOKING FOR. .. .. Simplified Living? Property Located at "LAKESHORE LANDING". This Home includes Custom features, i. e 2x6 walls, R38 insulation, sheetrock, solid wood cabinets, and trim, stainless black appliances, walk-in closets. Master bath has large tiled walk-in shower, raised double vanity, laundry room w/ sink. Cov. Porch w/ ceiling fan 8X16, Deck 12x14, concrete area between home/garage, handicap accessible exterior/interior doors. This home has plenty of storage. This is a manufactured home, NO land. You own the home, LakeShore Landing provides garage, lawn care, you pay lot rent monthly, plus utilities. Buyer needs to be pre-approved by Lakeshore Landing. Greenspace, walking areas, quiet, country vibe, but in the city. * * * * SELLER WILL PAY 4 MONTHS LOT RENT FOR YOU! * * * *
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,775
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,702
- − Property taxes
- −$2,062
- − Insurance
- −$688
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,182
- − Management
- −$1,182
- − Depreciation
- −$4,000
- Taxable loss
- −$2,041
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$490
- After-tax cash flow
- $759/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tomah Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 5514910
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,063
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7747
- State rank
- #293 of 342 in WI
Livability — Tomah
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #2189
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tomah, WI
- County
- Monroe County · 16,124 people
- City population
- 16,124
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,124
- Household income
- $61,186
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 427.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,682 people
- By 2030
- 45,187 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 43,768 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 41,596 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 35,555 · -22.2%
- By 2100
- 28,278 · -38.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.1) · D 36.3% · R 62.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.1pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: -26.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.1 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+22.5 2012: R+0.7 2008: D+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.36%
- Current HPI
- 209.1207
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
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Price history
-5.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — SCWMLS
- 2026-04-01 Contingent — SCWMLS
- 2025-11-21 Listed $137,500 SCWMLS
- 2025-11-18 Listing Removed — SCWMLS
- 2025-10-06 Price Changed $137,500 SCWMLS
- 2025-06-30 Listed $144,900 SCWMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…