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535 Collin Dr
D Composite 41.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$137,500

535 Collin Dr · Tomah, WI 54660
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · SingleFamily · 158 Days on market
Built 2020 ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ARE YOU LOOKING FOR. .. .. Simplified Living? Property Located at "LAKESHORE LANDING". This Home includes Custom features, i. e 2x6 walls, R38 insulation, sheetrock, solid wood cabinets, and trim, stainless black appliances, walk-in closets. Master bath has large tiled walk-in shower, raised double vanity, laundry room w/ sink. Cov. Porch w/ ceiling fan 8X16, Deck 12x14, concrete area between home/garage, handicap accessible exterior/interior doors. This home has plenty of storage. This is a manufactured home, NO land. You own the home, LakeShore Landing provides garage, lawn care, you pay lot rent monthly, plus utilities. Buyer needs to be pre-approved by Lakeshore Landing. Greenspace, walking areas, quiet, country vibe, but in the city. * * * * SELLER WILL PAY 4 MONTHS LOT RENT FOR YOU! * * * *

Key facts

  • 2x6 walls
  • Walk in closets
  • Hard wood cabinets

Tags

2X6 WALLSR38 INSULATIONHARD WOOD CABINETSSTAINLESS BLACK APPLIANCESWALK IN CLOSETSLARGE WALK IN TILES SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($269/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (10.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.6% in Tomah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#83 in WI, #2,189 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F.
  • Tomah Area School District (town): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #293 of 342 in WI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Lemonweir Elementary (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #823 of 1,041 statewide, top 82%, 290 students, 71% FRL); Tomah Middle (math 28% / reading 29%, grade F, #282 of 383 statewide, top 76%, 676 students, 46% FRL); Tomah High (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #397 of 483 statewide, top 82%, 868 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 36% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 93 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $951 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $121,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.70%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-20,832
Equity at exit
$20,502
10-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-16,223
Equity at exit
$11,888

Cash invested: $38,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54660

Home prices YoY
-23.5%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,231 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$721
Tax est. 1.5%
$172 /mo · $2,062/yr
Insurance
$57
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,203
Max offer price $137,500
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $117 -5% $70 +0% $22 +5% $-25 +10% $-73
Rent -10% $-75 -5% $-26 +0% $22 +5% $71 +10% $120
Rate -1.0pp $92 -0.5pp $57 base $22 +0.5pp $-13 +1.0pp $-49

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,375
Closing costs
$4,125
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
205 E Veterans St Tomah, WI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,300 $1.37 25d 1 1.38mi
209 E Veterans St Tomah, WI 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,300 $1.58 16d 2 1.38mi
220 Murdock St Tomah, WI 2.0 1.0 1096 $1,200 $1.09 45d 1 1.43mi
260 Murdock St Tomah, WI 3.0 1.0 1114 $1,450 $1.30 25d 1 1.43mi
202 Murdock St Tomah, WI 2.0–3.0 1.0 1131 $1,200 $1.06 16d 3 1.45mi
1028 Berry Ave Tomah, WI 2.0 1.5 1044 $1,400 $1.34 16d 2 1.49mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-01
    historical Offer Show
  3. 2025-11-21
    listed $137,500 Active
  4. 2025-11-18
    historical 823-char remark
    Show marketing remark (823 chars)

    ARE YOU LOOKING FOR. .. .. Simplified Living? Property Located at "LAKESHORE LANDING". This Home includes Custom features, i. e 2x6 walls, R38 insulation, sheetrock, solid wood cabinets, and trim, stainless black appliances, walk-in closets. Master bath has large tiled walk-in shower, raised double vanity, laundry room w/ sink. Cov. Porch w/ ceiling fan 8X16, Deck 12x14, concrete area between home/garage, handicap accessible exterior/interior doors. This home has plenty of storage. This is a manufactured home, NO land. You own the home, LakeShore Landing provides garage, lawn care, you pay lot rent monthly, plus utilities. Buyer needs to be pre-approved by Lakeshore Landing. Greenspace, walking areas, quiet, country vibe, but in the city. * * * * SELLER WILL PAY 4 MONTHS LOT RENT FOR YOU! * * * *

  5. 2025-10-06
    price $137,500 823-char remark
    Show marketing remark (823 chars)

    ARE YOU LOOKING FOR. .. .. Simplified Living? Property Located at "LAKESHORE LANDING". This Home includes Custom features, i. e 2x6 walls, R38 insulation, sheetrock, solid wood cabinets, and trim, stainless black appliances, walk-in closets. Master bath has large tiled walk-in shower, raised double vanity, laundry room w/ sink. Cov. Porch w/ ceiling fan 8X16, Deck 12x14, concrete area between home/garage, handicap accessible exterior/interior doors. This home has plenty of storage. This is a manufactured home, NO land. You own the home, LakeShore Landing provides garage, lawn care, you pay lot rent monthly, plus utilities. Buyer needs to be pre-approved by Lakeshore Landing. Greenspace, walking areas, quiet, country vibe, but in the city. * * * * SELLER WILL PAY 4 MONTHS LOT RENT FOR YOU! * * * *

  6. 2025-06-30
    listed $144,900 Active 823-char remark
    Show marketing remark (823 chars)

    ARE YOU LOOKING FOR. .. .. Simplified Living? Property Located at "LAKESHORE LANDING". This Home includes Custom features, i. e 2x6 walls, R38 insulation, sheetrock, solid wood cabinets, and trim, stainless black appliances, walk-in closets. Master bath has large tiled walk-in shower, raised double vanity, laundry room w/ sink. Cov. Porch w/ ceiling fan 8X16, Deck 12x14, concrete area between home/garage, handicap accessible exterior/interior doors. This home has plenty of storage. This is a manufactured home, NO land. You own the home, LakeShore Landing provides garage, lawn care, you pay lot rent monthly, plus utilities. Buyer needs to be pre-approved by Lakeshore Landing. Greenspace, walking areas, quiet, country vibe, but in the city. * * * * SELLER WILL PAY 4 MONTHS LOT RENT FOR YOU! * * * *

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,775
− Mortgage interest
−$7,702
− Property taxes
−$2,062
− Insurance
−$688
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,182
− Management
−$1,182
− Depreciation
−$4,000
Taxable loss
−$2,041
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$490
After-tax cash flow
$759/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tomah Area School District
NCES district ID
5514910
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$50,063
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7747
State rank
#293 of 342 in WI

Livability — Tomah

Score
79/100
State rank
#83
US rank
#2189

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tomah, WI
County
Monroe County · 16,124 people
City population
16,124
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
16,124
Household income
$61,186
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
427.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,682 people
By 2030
45,187 · -1.1%
By 2040
43,768 · -4.2%
By 2050
41,596 · -8.9%
By 2075
35,555 · -22.2%
By 2100
28,278 · -38.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 12% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Strong R (+26.1) · D 36.3% · R 62.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-34.1pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: -26.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+26.1 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+22.5 2012: R+0.7 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.36%
Current HPI
209.1207
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending SCWMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Contingent SCWMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $137,500 SCWMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Listing Removed SCWMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Price Changed $137,500 SCWMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Listed $144,900 SCWMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…