8434 SE Heritage Ct · Oatfield, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 18 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- ARV discount +3.3/15.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well maintained 4 bedroom, 2 bath home tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac in the heart of Clackamas. Offering 1,782 square feet of comfortable living space, this home provides a functional layout ideal for everyday living, entertaining, or working from home. Generously sized bedrooms, inviting living areas, and thoughtful flow throughout create a warm and welcoming atmosphere. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and commuter routes, this property combines neighborhood charm with everyday accessibility. A wonderful opportunity to make this home your own in a desirable SE Clackamas location. This home has been thoughtfully updated with major improvements, including a new roof and new windows installed in 2023. Plumbing upgrades were completed in 2023 along with new toilets and an updated bathroom shower. Electrical improvements include upgraded breakers and a new whole-home surge protector installed in 2025, along with a new water heater added in 2025. These updates provide peace of mind and enhanced comfort for years to come. Could be a great layout for multi-generational living! Check it out today.
Key facts
- New toilets
- Plumbing upgrades
- Cul-de-sac
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 2.6% in Oatfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#49 in OR, #1,363 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
- North Clackamas SD 12 (suburban): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #22 of 58 in OR (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.72%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,969
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- 9.44%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8434 SE Heritage Ct | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,782 (0%) | 0mo | $137,500 | $77 | 100 |
| 8385 SE Poppy St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,809 (+2%) | 11mo | $144,000 | $80 | 74 |
| 8431 SE Heritage Ct | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,624 (-9%) | 22mo | $187,000 | $115 | 61 |
| 7980 SE Posey St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (-12%) | 11mo | $144,100 | $92 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $64,849
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 43.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.98×
- Total profit
- $166,885
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97015
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,114 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$654
- Net cashflow
- $1,424
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6420 SE Mabel Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2044 | $3,250 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6593 SE Thiessen Rd Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1791 | $3,100 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 17112 SE Jade Ct Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1514 | $3,400 | $2.25 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-21price $149,900 1147-char remark
Show marketing remark (1147 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained 4 bedroom, 2 bath home tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac in the heart of Clackamas. Offering 1,782 square feet of comfortable living space, this home provides a functional layout ideal for everyday living, entertaining, or working from home. Generously sized bedrooms, inviting living areas, and thoughtful flow throughout create a warm and welcoming atmosphere. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and commuter routes, this property combines neighborhood charm with everyday accessibility. A wonderful opportunity to make this home your own in a desirable SE Clackamas location. This home has been thoughtfully updated with major improvements, including a new roof and new windows installed in 2023. Plumbing upgrades were completed in 2023 along with new toilets and an updated bathroom shower. Electrical improvements include upgraded breakers and a new whole-home surge protector installed in 2025, along with a new water heater added in 2025. These updates provide peace of mind and enhanced comfort for years to come. Could be a great layout for multi-generational living! Check it out today.
-
2026-03-02price $155,000 1147-char remark
Show marketing remark (1147 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained 4 bedroom, 2 bath home tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac in the heart of Clackamas. Offering 1,782 square feet of comfortable living space, this home provides a functional layout ideal for everyday living, entertaining, or working from home. Generously sized bedrooms, inviting living areas, and thoughtful flow throughout create a warm and welcoming atmosphere. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and commuter routes, this property combines neighborhood charm with everyday accessibility. A wonderful opportunity to make this home your own in a desirable SE Clackamas location. This home has been thoughtfully updated with major improvements, including a new roof and new windows installed in 2023. Plumbing upgrades were completed in 2023 along with new toilets and an updated bathroom shower. Electrical improvements include upgraded breakers and a new whole-home surge protector installed in 2025, along with a new water heater added in 2025. These updates provide peace of mind and enhanced comfort for years to come. Could be a great layout for multi-generational living! Check it out today.
-
2026-01-22$162,000 Active 1147-char remark
Show marketing remark (1147 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained 4 bedroom, 2 bath home tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac in the heart of Clackamas. Offering 1,782 square feet of comfortable living space, this home provides a functional layout ideal for everyday living, entertaining, or working from home. Generously sized bedrooms, inviting living areas, and thoughtful flow throughout create a warm and welcoming atmosphere. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and commuter routes, this property combines neighborhood charm with everyday accessibility. A wonderful opportunity to make this home your own in a desirable SE Clackamas location. This home has been thoughtfully updated with major improvements, including a new roof and new windows installed in 2023. Plumbing upgrades were completed in 2023 along with new toilets and an updated bathroom shower. Electrical improvements include upgraded breakers and a new whole-home surge protector installed in 2025, along with a new water heater added in 2025. These updates provide peace of mind and enhanced comfort for years to come. Could be a great layout for multi-generational living! Check it out today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,370
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,990
- − Management
- −$2,990
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $15,635
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,753
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,339/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a functional layout and is located in a desirable neighborhood. While some minor repairs and updates are needed, the home is in good condition and presents a solid investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Slight wear visible on cabinet fronts.
- Minor Kitchen countertops — Light scratches and scuffs present on countertops.
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Some minor discoloration on bathroom fixtures.
- Minor Exterior siding — Some discoloration visible on exterior siding.
- Minor Landscaping — Some areas of landscaping could benefit from trimming and mulching for better appearance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating kitchen cabinets — Fresh paint and updated cabinets can significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Upgrading bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can improve functionality and add value to the home.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can boost both resale and rental value.
- Both HVAC system maintenance — A clean and efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, benefiting both resale and rental value.
- Both Floor refinishing — Refinished hardwood floors can enhance the home's overall appearance and add value to the property.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Slight wear visible on cabinet fronts. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Kitchen countertops · Light scratches and scuffs present on countertops. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Some minor discoloration on bathroom fixtures. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Exterior siding · Some discoloration visible on exterior siding. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Some areas of landscaping could benefit from trimming and mulching for better appearance. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $2,500–15,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and updating kitchen cabinets — Fresh paint and updated cabinets can significantly enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Upgrading bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can improve functionality and add value to the home. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained and aesthetically pleasing landscape can boost both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both HVAC system maintenance — A clean and efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, benefiting both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Floor refinishing — Refinished hardwood floors can enhance the home's overall appearance and add value to the property. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Clackamas SD 12
- NCES district ID
- 4108830
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,217
- Composite
- 32.1/100
- National rank
- #5807
- State rank
- #22 of 58 in OR
Livability — Oatfield
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1363
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oatfield, OR
- County
- Clackamas County · 361,406 people
- City population
- 31,160
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,433
- Household income
- $87,333
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1166.0
Population outlook (Clackamas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 458,456 people
- By 2030
- 485,185 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 532,932 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 574,445 · +25.3%
- By 2075
- 665,497 · +45.2%
- By 2100
- 697,488 · +52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 12% Asian 11% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Scotch-Irish 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 11% Chinese 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Clackamas
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 53.4% · R 43.6% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.6pp no change · 2008: 10.4pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+11.1 2016: D+6.1 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -170.50%
- Current HPI
- 295.7295
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-7.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $149,900 RMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $155,000 RMLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $162,000 RMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…