256 Round Hill Rd · Florida, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$314,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring your imagination and craftmanship to this classic 5 bedroom farmhouse set on 1 acre of peaceful countryside. Offering 1925, square feet of space, this home is the ideal for a full renovation or inspired restoration project. Full of character and original charm, the property also includes 3 barns , perfect for workshops ,storage, creative studios or future repurposing. Mature trees and open yard areas provide privacy and the setting for a truly transformation. The home will be completely cleaned out . Which give the buyers a better view of house. Please note; the white car on the property is not included in the sale. Being sold as-is , the property comes with well and septic in place, providing a solid foundation to build your vision. Whether you dream of creating a rustic retreat, a modern farmhouse, or a standout investment project offers exceptional potential.
Key facts
- 3 barns
- Well and septic
- Classic farmhouse
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-229 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $275k (12.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $267k (15.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $267k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.1% in Florida — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#304 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Florida Union Free School District (town): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #162 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Golden Hill Elementary (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #378 of 2,108 statewide, top 20%, 319 students, 34% FRL); S S Seward Institute (math 62% / reading 57%, grade C+, #851 of 1,100 statewide, top 80%, 390 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 16% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $315k implies a 294% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.12%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $633,652
- List price
- $314,999
- Delta
- -50.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-65,491
- Equity at exit
- $46,967
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-75,243
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10921
- Home prices YoY
- -4.9%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,671 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$556 /mo · $6,672/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$561
- Net cashflow
- $-229
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-51 | -5% $-140 | +0% $-229 | +5% $-318 | +10% $-407 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-440 | -5% $-335 | +0% $-229 | +5% $-124 | +10% $-18 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-70 | -0.5pp $-149 | base $-229 | +0.5pp $-311 | +1.0pp $-394 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $314,999 Active 204 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $314,999 Active 201 DOM
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2026-06-17price $314,999 Active 200 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $350,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $350,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $350,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $350,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $350,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $350,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $350,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $350,000 Active 191 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $350,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $350,000 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $350,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $350,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $350,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $350,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-04-27price $350,000 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Bring your imagination and craftmanship to this classic 5 bedroom farmhouse set on 1 acre of peaceful countryside. Offering 1925, square feet of space, this home is the ideal for a full renovation or inspired restoration project. Full of character and original charm, the property also includes 3 barns , perfect for workshops ,storage, creative studios or future repurposing. Mature trees and open yard areas provide privacy and the setting for a truly transformation. The home will be completely cleaned out . Which give the buyers a better view of house. Please note; the white car on the property is not included in the sale. Being sold as-is , the property comes with well and septic in place, providing a solid foundation to build your vision. Whether you dream of creating a rustic retreat, a modern farmhouse, or a standout investment project offers exceptional potential.
-
2026-04-12price $390,000 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Bring your imagination and craftmanship to this classic 5 bedroom farmhouse set on 1 acre of peaceful countryside. Offering 1925, square feet of space, this home is the ideal for a full renovation or inspired restoration project. Full of character and original charm, the property also includes 3 barns , perfect for workshops ,storage, creative studios or future repurposing. Mature trees and open yard areas provide privacy and the setting for a truly transformation. The home will be completely cleaned out . Which give the buyers a better view of house. Please note; the white car on the property is not included in the sale. Being sold as-is , the property comes with well and septic in place, providing a solid foundation to build your vision. Whether you dream of creating a rustic retreat, a modern farmhouse, or a standout investment project offers exceptional potential.
-
2026-03-30price $414,999 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Bring your imagination and craftmanship to this classic 5 bedroom farmhouse set on 1 acre of peaceful countryside. Offering 1925, square feet of space, this home is the ideal for a full renovation or inspired restoration project. Full of character and original charm, the property also includes 3 barns , perfect for workshops ,storage, creative studios or future repurposing. Mature trees and open yard areas provide privacy and the setting for a truly transformation. The home will be completely cleaned out . Which give the buyers a better view of house. Please note; the white car on the property is not included in the sale. Being sold as-is , the property comes with well and septic in place, providing a solid foundation to build your vision. Whether you dream of creating a rustic retreat, a modern farmhouse, or a standout investment project offers exceptional potential.
-
2026-03-10price $435,000 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Bring your imagination and craftmanship to this classic 5 bedroom farmhouse set on 1 acre of peaceful countryside. Offering 1925, square feet of space, this home is the ideal for a full renovation or inspired restoration project. Full of character and original charm, the property also includes 3 barns , perfect for workshops ,storage, creative studios or future repurposing. Mature trees and open yard areas provide privacy and the setting for a truly transformation. The home will be completely cleaned out . Which give the buyers a better view of house. Please note; the white car on the property is not included in the sale. Being sold as-is , the property comes with well and septic in place, providing a solid foundation to build your vision. Whether you dream of creating a rustic retreat, a modern farmhouse, or a standout investment project offers exceptional potential.
-
2026-01-23price $475,000 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Bring your imagination and craftmanship to this classic 5 bedroom farmhouse set on 1 acre of peaceful countryside. Offering 1925, square feet of space, this home is the ideal for a full renovation or inspired restoration project. Full of character and original charm, the property also includes 3 barns , perfect for workshops ,storage, creative studios or future repurposing. Mature trees and open yard areas provide privacy and the setting for a truly transformation. The home will be completely cleaned out . Which give the buyers a better view of house. Please note; the white car on the property is not included in the sale. Being sold as-is , the property comes with well and septic in place, providing a solid foundation to build your vision. Whether you dream of creating a rustic retreat, a modern farmhouse, or a standout investment project offers exceptional potential.
-
2025-11-29$550,000 Active 881-char remark
Show marketing remark (881 chars)
Bring your imagination and craftmanship to this classic 5 bedroom farmhouse set on 1 acre of peaceful countryside. Offering 1925, square feet of space, this home is the ideal for a full renovation or inspired restoration project. Full of character and original charm, the property also includes 3 barns , perfect for workshops ,storage, creative studios or future repurposing. Mature trees and open yard areas provide privacy and the setting for a truly transformation. The home will be completely cleaned out . Which give the buyers a better view of house. Please note; the white car on the property is not included in the sale. Being sold as-is , the property comes with well and septic in place, providing a solid foundation to build your vision. Whether you dream of creating a rustic retreat, a modern farmhouse, or a standout investment project offers exceptional potential.
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1995-12-29soldstatus $80,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,672 · $556/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,672 · $556/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,052
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$6,672
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,564
- − Management
- −$2,564
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$8,132
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,952
- After-tax cash flow
- $-797/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florida Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3625320
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,934
- Composite
- 57.57/100
- National rank
- #1066
- State rank
- #162 of 590 in NY
Livability — Florida
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #304
- US rank
- #5003
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 4,358
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,358
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 379,830 people
- By 2030
- 378,955 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 375,444 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 369,311 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 354,233 · -6.7%
- By 2100
- 318,150 · -16.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 9% Native American 5% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 5% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.4) · D 45.8% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+6.5 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+4.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.22%
- Current HPI
- 297.5238
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+337.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $350,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $390,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $414,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $435,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-23 Price Changed $475,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-29 Listed $550,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,672 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…