19 La Costa Ln · Port St. Lucie, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom Home is situated on a quiet street with plenty of privacy. Located in Spanish Lakes Golf Village, . An active over 55+ community in the heart of Port St. Lucie. This home has many upgrades including new flooring, new paint and much more. This split bedrooms offers privacy to both owner and guests. Amenities include free golf for owners. Beautiful heated pool, shuffle board , bocce, tennis, pickleball and much more. This is priced right and won't last long.
Key facts
- New flooring
- New paint
- Split bedrooms
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community
- Financial info: Pets allowed (possible restrictions and number limits)
- HOA & community: Has association; Association amenities include billiard room, dog park, fitness center, golf course, sauna, shuffleboard court, tennis courts, on-site manager, bocce ball, library, and pickleball courts; Association fees include grounds maintenance and trash
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with 2 covered spaces
- Security: Security patrol
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Sewer and water available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Faces west; Resale condition; Located east of U.S. 1
- Construction: Modular construction; Composition/shingle roof; Skirted foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Split bedroom layout; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet inside the home
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.3% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Savanna Ridge Elementary School (math 40% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,383 of 2,144 statewide, top 65%, 452 students, 75% FRL); Port St. Lucie High School (math 21% / reading 43%, grade F, #415 of 667 statewide, top 63%, 1,748 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 646 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 82.14%
- DSCR
- 4.65
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $70,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 W Caribbean | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,416 (+1%) | 5mo | $77,500 | $55 | 75 |
| 192 W Caribbean | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,416 (+1%) | 6mo | $49,000 | $35 | 66 |
| 8526 Lidflower Ct | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,404 (+0%) | 6mo | $70,900 | $50 | 59 |
| 188 W West Caribbean W | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,400 (0%) | 17mo | $106,000 | $76 | 59 |
| 166 W West Caribbean | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,450 (+4%) | 14mo | $38,000 | $26 | 58 |
| 7 Oliva Rd | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,350 (-4%) | 18mo | $90,000 | $67 | 54 |
| 10 Padre | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,280 (-9%) | 4mo | $38,000 | $30 | 54 |
| 7 Giralda | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-14%) | 4mo | $21,000 | $18 | 53 |
| 29 San Marino Way | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 1,468 (+5%) | 20mo | $22,000 | $15 | 50 |
| 16 Nuevo Leon Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+7%) | 19mo | $69,000 | $46 | 48 |
| 8164 Buckthorn Cir | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,338 (-4%) | 18mo | $83,000 | $62 | 47 |
| 8522 Leadtree Ct | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,550 (+11%) | 15mo | $245,000 | $158 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 81.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.66×
- Total profit
- $61,423
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 84.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.30×
- Total profit
- $139,372
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34952
- Home prices YoY
- -29.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 646
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,981 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $1,150
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,191 | -5% $1,171 | +0% $1,150 | +5% $1,129 | +10% $1,109 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $994 | -5% $1,072 | +0% $1,150 | +5% $1,228 | +10% $1,306 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,180 | -0.5pp $1,165 | base $1,150 | +0.5pp $1,134 | +1.0pp $1,119 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1811 SE Walton Lakes Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $1,926 | $1.72 | 15d | 6 | 0.09mi |
| 71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $1,700 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $2,055 | $2.03 | 15d | 7 | 0.34mi |
| 2082 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1524 | $1,850 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2058 SE Wild Meadow Cir #101 Port St Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1425 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2130 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2183 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1131 SE Parrish Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1516 SE Royal Green Cir #202 Port St Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $2,100 | $2.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1520 SE Royal Green Cir Unit K-203 Port St. Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 886 | $1,800 | $2.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1455 SE Colchester Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $1,795 | $1.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1500 SE Tiffany Club Pl Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,922 | $2.15 | 15d | 7 | 0.74mi |
| 1537 SE Royal Green Cir Unit E204 Port St. Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 886 | $1,750 | $1.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2209 SE East Dunbrooke Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $2,950 | $2.43 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1548 SE Royal Green Cir Unit M-103 Port St. Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 886 | $1,800 | $2.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3784 Sapodilla Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $2,300 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,764 | $1.77 | 15d | 15 | 0.92mi |
| 1618 SE Elkhart Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $2,200 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2051 SE Hillmoor Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1014 | $2,539 | $2.50 | 24d | 15 | 1.22mi |
| 9905 S US Highway 1 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $2,239 | $2.32 | 15d | 15 | 1.22mi |
| 1900 SE Hillmoor Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1182 | $1,799 | $1.52 | 15d | 14 | 1.23mi |
| 1456 SE Rivergreen Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $1,825 | $1.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1350 SE La Haven Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1041 | $2,100 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2061 SE Glen Ridge Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $1,925 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 301 SE Castle Ct Port St. Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1688 | $2,900 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2131 SE Destin Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $2,000 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $60,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-03-26price $60,000
-
2026-02-24$70,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,767
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,901
- − Management
- −$1,901
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $13,658
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,278
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port St. Lucie
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 221,051
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,655
- Household income
- $61,628
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1759.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.80%
- Current HPI
- 371.0573
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-14.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $60,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-24 Listed $70,000 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…