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8490 Mackall Rd
C+ Composite 61.61
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

8490 Mackall Rd · Broomes Island, MD 20685
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 952 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 75 Days on market
Built 1940 1.48 ac lot $158/sqft · 60% below area ↓ 46% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Almost 1.5 acres surrounded by farmland in mid Calvert location. Bring your vision and bring this old farmhouse back to life. Home is being sold as is. Call for more details.

Key facts

  • Farmland
  • 1.5 acres
  • Old farmhouse

Tags

1.5 ACRESFARMLANDOLD FARMHOUSE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.4% in Broomes Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#390 in MD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Calvert County Public Schools (rural): math 23% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #5 of 24 in MD (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 101 units permitted in Calvert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.62%
Cash-on-cash
11.90%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$377,259
List price
$150,000
Delta
-60.24%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,196
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$35,992
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20685

Home prices YoY
-8.1%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,750 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,403/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$367
Net cashflow
$416

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,223
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $501 -5% $459 +0% $416 +5% $374 +10% $331
Rent -10% $278 -5% $347 +0% $416 +5% $486 +10% $555
Rate -1.0pp $492 -0.5pp $455 base $416 +0.5pp $378 +1.0pp $338

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 75 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 74 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 72 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 71 DOM
  6. 2026-04-20
    status Active 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Almost 1.5 acres surrounded by farmland in mid Calvert location. Bring your vision and bring this old farmhouse back to life. Home is being sold as is. Call for more details.

  7. 2026-01-22
    historical Active Under Contract 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Almost 1.5 acres surrounded by farmland in mid Calvert location. Bring your vision and bring this old farmhouse back to life. Home is being sold as is. Call for more details.

  8. 2025-12-23
    listed $150,000 Active 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Almost 1.5 acres surrounded by farmland in mid Calvert location. Bring your vision and bring this old farmhouse back to life. Home is being sold as is. Call for more details.

  9. 2025-09-10
    soldstatus $280,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,403 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,519 · $127/mo
Expected delta
+$116/yr (+$10/mo · 8.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,999
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,403
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,680
− Management
−$1,680
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$2,720
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$653
After-tax cash flow
$4,344/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calvert County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400150
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$94,392
Composite
33.27/100
National rank
#5511
State rank
#5 of 24 in MD

Livability — Broomes Island

Score
58/100
State rank
#390
US rank
#21229

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
422
Population (ZIP)
6,481

Population outlook (Calvert County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,825 people
By 2030
96,197 · +1.4%
By 2040
96,954 · +2.2%
By 2050
94,628 · -0.2%
By 2075
91,576 · -3.4%
By 2100
83,431 · -12.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Dominican Republic, South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Calvert

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.5% · R 54.5% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.3pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+18.4 2012: R+8.2 2008: R+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.36%
Current HPI
277.3103
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-46.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-22 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-23 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $280,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,403 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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