7 River St · Plymouth, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring convenient first floor and second floor bathrooms. Enjoy off street parking, a detached one-car garage, and additional shed for extra storage. A great opportunity offering comfort, functionality, and space both inside and out Schedule today don't delay!
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Additional shed
- 3,325 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,068 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Wyoming Valley West SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #445 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: State El Ctr (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,248 of 1,518 statewide, top 83%, 1,353 students, 100% FRL); Wyoming Valley West Ms (math 13% / reading 41%, grade F, #404 of 512 statewide, top 80%, 1,191 students, 100% FRL); Wyoming Valley West Shs (math 57% / reading 24%, grade F, #255 of 437 statewide, top 60%, 1,357 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.40%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,864
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- 30.39%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 Gaylord Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,478 (+2%) | 9mo | $154,500 | $105 | 75 |
| 342 Phillips St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,462 (+0%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $106 | 60 |
| 421 First St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,484 (+2%) | 8mo | $204,900 | $138 | 58 |
| 103 Washington Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,352 (-7%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $133 | 58 |
| 232 Nesbitt St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-8%) | 11mo | $124,900 | $93 | 55 |
| 123 Academy St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,589 (+9%) | 9mo | $148,000 | $93 | 54 |
| 366 Salsbury St | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,612 (+11%) | 6mo | $88,000 | $55 | 50 |
| 1 Morgan Ter | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,323 (-9%) | 2mo | $187,000 | $141 | 47 |
| 358 Shawnee Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,305 (-10%) | 7mo | $137,000 | $105 | 46 |
| 40 Kniffen St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,265 (-13%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $178 | 46 |
| 330 Palmer St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-11%) | 10mo | $34,000 | $26 | 44 |
| 134 Reynolds St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,302 (-11%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $115 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-10,671
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,264
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18651
- Home prices YoY
- -11.5%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,398 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,171/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $149
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $220 | -5% $185 | +0% $149 | +5% $114 | +10% $79 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $39 | -5% $94 | +0% $149 | +5% $204 | +10% $260 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $212 | -0.5pp $181 | base $149 | +0.5pp $117 | +1.0pp $84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 E Shawnee Ave Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 15d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 210-212 Center Ave Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 338 W Shawnee Ave Plymouth, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 945 | $1,550 | $1.64 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 241 Gould St Plymouth, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,150 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 617 Fellows Ave Wilkes-Barre, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 134 Blair St Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 463 2nd St Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 29 Franklin St Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1426 | $1,800 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 657 W Main St Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,700 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 535 W State St Plymouth, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 18 North St Plymouth, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 202 S Nesbitt St Unit 206 B Larksville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 100 Nesbitt St Unit 2 Larksville, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 206 Nesbitt St Larksville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,325 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 229 Nesbitt St Larksville, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1259 Sively St Wilkes-Barre, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,550 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 27 Oak St Wilkes Barre, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $125,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-10status Active 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring convenient first floor and second floor bathrooms. Enjoy off street parking, a detached one-car garage, and additional shed for extra storage. A great opportunity offering comfort, functionality, and space both inside and out Schedule today don't delay!
-
2026-05-07status Pending 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring convenient first floor and second floor bathrooms. Enjoy off street parking, a detached one-car garage, and additional shed for extra storage. A great opportunity offering comfort, functionality, and space both inside and out Schedule today don't delay!
-
2026-05-04price $129,000 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring convenient first floor and second floor bathrooms. Enjoy off street parking, a detached one-car garage, and additional shed for extra storage. A great opportunity offering comfort, functionality, and space both inside and out Schedule today don't delay!
-
2026-05-01status Active 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring convenient first floor and second floor bathrooms. Enjoy off street parking, a detached one-car garage, and additional shed for extra storage. A great opportunity offering comfort, functionality, and space both inside and out Schedule today don't delay!
-
2026-04-26status Pending 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring convenient first floor and second floor bathrooms. Enjoy off street parking, a detached one-car garage, and additional shed for extra storage. A great opportunity offering comfort, functionality, and space both inside and out Schedule today don't delay!
-
2026-04-07price $149,000 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring convenient first floor and second floor bathrooms. Enjoy off street parking, a detached one-car garage, and additional shed for extra storage. A great opportunity offering comfort, functionality, and space both inside and out Schedule today don't delay!
-
2026-02-28$159,000 Active 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring convenient first floor and second floor bathrooms. Enjoy off street parking, a detached one-car garage, and additional shed for extra storage. A great opportunity offering comfort, functionality, and space both inside and out Schedule today don't delay!
-
2025-09-26price $171,000
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2025-08-27price $174,000
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2025-08-12price $179,000
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2023-03-10soldstatus $153,000 Closed
-
2023-03-09soldstatus $153,000
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2023-01-28status Pending
-
2022-12-01price $150,000
-
2022-10-03price $155,000
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2022-08-05$165,000 Active
-
2021-09-21soldstatus $48,000
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2021-09-14soldstatus $48,000
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2021-08-11$40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,171 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,171 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,774
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$2,171
- − Insurance
- −$1,422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,342
- − Management
- −$1,342
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$142
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$34
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,825/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wyoming Valley West SD
- NCES district ID
- 4225950
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,437
- Composite
- 25.38/100
- National rank
- #7470
- State rank
- #445 of 539 in PA
Livability — Plymouth
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1068
- US rank
- #12056
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plymouth, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,672
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 19% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.78%
- Current HPI
- 229.6791
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+222.5% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Relisted — LCAR
- 2026-05-07 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $129,000 LCAR
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — LCAR
- 2026-04-26 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $149,000 LCAR
- 2026-02-28 Listed $159,000 LCAR
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $171,000 LCAR
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $174,000 LCAR
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $179,000 LCAR
- 2023-03-10 Sold (MLS) $153,000 LCAR
- 2023-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $153,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-28 Pending — LCAR
- 2022-12-01 Price Changed $150,000 LCAR
- 2022-10-03 Price Changed $155,000 LCAR
- 2022-08-05 Listed $165,000 LCAR
- 2021-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2021-09-14 Sold (MLS) $48,000 LCAR
- 2021-08-11 Listed $40,000 LCAR
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2026): $2,171 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…