1313 5th Corso · Nebraska City, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
JUST REDUCED! 2 bedroom or possible 3 bedroom or possible 2 bedroom and step-down den or office (1 non-conforming), 1 bath in great area! Needs some TLC and some updating-but great bones & great potential!! Newer roof is appx 2-3 years old, central air, lots of closet space and storage. Big fenced backyard. Sold "AS IS". Easy to show! Approx. total sq. ft.1792. (1/B/MK)
Key facts
- Storage
- Newer roof
- Lots of closet space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.0% in Nebraska City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#36 in NE, #1,882 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, commute F.
- Nebraska City Public Schools (town): math 26% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #107 of 111 in NE (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29 units permitted in Otoe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Otoe County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.42%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,023
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -28.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1515 2nd Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 860 (-4%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $163 | 70 |
| 511 N 17th St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 898 (+0%) | 2mo | $167,500 | $187 | 66 |
| 2007 2nd Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 859 (-4%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $192 | 59 |
| 2110 2nd Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.5 | 912 (+2%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $186 | 58 |
| 421 1st Corso | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+7%) | 6mo | $143,000 | $149 | 53 |
| 409 N 14th St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 979 (+9%) | 9mo | $129,000 | $132 | 51 |
| 1716 4 Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 952 (+6%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $179 | 50 |
| 1708 2nd Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (+6%) | 21mo | $162,360 | $171 | 47 |
| 1502 2nd Ave | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 1,029 (+15%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $155 | 46 |
| 1104 S 4th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 860 (-4%) | 18mo | $117,000 | $136 | 44 |
| 2115 Central Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 774 (-14%) | 14mo | $100,000 | $129 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-3,669
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $12,715
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68410
- Home prices YoY
- -31.5%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,063 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,017/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $250 | -5% $222 | +0% $194 | +5% $166 | +10% $138 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $110 | -5% $152 | +0% $194 | +5% $236 | +10% $278 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $244 | -0.5pp $220 | base $194 | +0.5pp $169 | +1.0pp $143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1306 1st Ave Unit 2 Nebraska City, NE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1413 2nd Ave Unit 2 Nebraska City, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 20d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1116 S 2nd St Unit 207 Nebraska City, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $895 | $1.22 | 11d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1216 S 2nd St Unit 201 Nebraska City, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $995 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-03status $99,000 Pending 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $99,000 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
JUST REDUCED! 2 bedroom or possible 3 bedroom or possible 2 bedroom and step-down den or office (1 non-conforming), 1 bath in great area! Needs some TLC and some updating-but great bones & great potential!! Newer roof is appx 2-3 years old, central air, lots of closet space and storage. Big fenced backyard. Sold "AS IS". Easy to show! Approx. total sq. ft.1792. (1/B/MK)
-
2026-04-21$109,950 New 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
JUST REDUCED! 2 bedroom or possible 3 bedroom or possible 2 bedroom and step-down den or office (1 non-conforming), 1 bath in great area! Needs some TLC and some updating-but great bones & great potential!! Newer roof is appx 2-3 years old, central air, lots of closet space and storage. Big fenced backyard. Sold "AS IS". Easy to show! Approx. total sq. ft.1792. (1/B/MK)
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,017 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,713 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$696/yr (+$58/mo · 68.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,753
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,017
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,020
- − Management
- −$1,020
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $775
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$186
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,147/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nebraska City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3174160
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,153
- Composite
- 24.99/100
- National rank
- #7559
- State rank
- #107 of 111 in NE
Livability — Nebraska City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #1882
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nebraska City, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,946
Population outlook (Otoe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,475 people
- By 2030
- 16,627 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 16,911 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 17,186 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 18,549 · +12.6%
- By 2100
- 19,590 · +18.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Otoe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.9) · D 30.0% · R 68.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.1pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -38.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.9 2020: R+37.8 2016: R+38.7 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.60%
- Current HPI
- 190.5812
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
-10.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $99,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $109,950 GPRMLS
Property tax history
-4.2%/yrLatest (2014): $1,017 · -4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…