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415 Myrtle St
D+ Composite 48.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

415 Myrtle St · Camden, AR 71701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 228 Days on market
Built 1946 0.34 ac lot $27/sqft · 48% below area Est $48k · 48% under ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special - double lot in Sunny Park Subdivision! This as-is, where-is property presents a great opportunity to Whether you're looking to restore the existing home or start fresh with new construction, this property has great potential! Located less than half a mile from shopping and dining--including Walmart, Domino's, and McDonald's--this location offers convenience and accessibility that's hard to beat. With plenty of room to build and grow, this property could be the site of your next successful flip, rental, or custom build. Don't miss this chance to invest in an area with strong rental demand and redevelopment potential.

Key facts

  • Strong rental demand
  • Double lot
  • Detached

Tags

DOUBLE LOTSUNNY PARK SUBDIVISIONSTRONG RENTAL DEMANDREDEVELOPMENT POTENTIALDETACHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $933 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 51.1% vs local median 5.2% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#364 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Camden Fairview School District (town): math 9% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #229 of 238 in AR (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fairview Elementary School (591 students, 100% FRL); Camden Fairview Middle School (math 7% / reading 19%, grade F, #188 of 201 statewide, top 94%, 519 students, 99% FRL); Camden Fairview High School (math 4% / reading 17%, grade F, #271 of 292 statewide, top 93%, 704 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 18 units permitted in Ouachita County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ouachita County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 228 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $22,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 228 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.60%
Cap rate
51.09%
Cash-on-cash
159.98%
DSCR
8.12
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$47,822
List price
$25,000
Delta
-47.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.92×
Total profit
$55,408
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
18.84×
Total profit
$124,870
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71701

Home prices YoY
-20.5%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $375/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$933

Break-even live

Break-even rent $219
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 28%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $951 -5% $942 +0% $933 +5% $925 +10% $916
Rent -10% $823 -5% $878 +0% $933 +5% $989 +10% $1,044
Rate -1.0pp $946 -0.5pp $940 base $933 +0.5pp $927 +1.0pp $920

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
106 Madison Ave NE Camden, AR 1.0 1.0 650 $1,400 $2.15 45d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $25,000 Active 228 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $25,000 Active 226 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $25,000 Active 225 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $25,000 Active 224 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $25,000 Active 223 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $25,000 Active 222 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $25,000 Active 220 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $25,000 Active 219 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 216 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 215 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 214 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $25,000 Active 212 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $25,000 Active 210 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 209 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 208 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 207 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 206 DOM
  18. 2026-02-06
    price $25,000 641-char remark
    Show marketing remark (641 chars)

    Investor Special - double lot in Sunny Park Subdivision! This as-is, where-is property presents a great opportunity to Whether you're looking to restore the existing home or start fresh with new construction, this property has great potential! Located less than half a mile from shopping and dining--including Walmart, Domino's, and McDonald's--this location offers convenience and accessibility that's hard to beat. With plenty of room to build and grow, this property could be the site of your next successful flip, rental, or custom build. Don't miss this chance to invest in an area with strong rental demand and redevelopment potential.

  19. 2025-11-06
    listed $30,000 New Listing 641-char remark
    Show marketing remark (641 chars)

    Investor Special - double lot in Sunny Park Subdivision! This as-is, where-is property presents a great opportunity to Whether you're looking to restore the existing home or start fresh with new construction, this property has great potential! Located less than half a mile from shopping and dining--including Walmart, Domino's, and McDonald's--this location offers convenience and accessibility that's hard to beat. With plenty of room to build and grow, this property could be the site of your next successful flip, rental, or custom build. Don't miss this chance to invest in an area with strong rental demand and redevelopment potential.

  20. 2025-08-01
    historical
  21. 2025-06-14
    price $25,000
  22. 2025-04-30
    listed $30,000 New Listing

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,800
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$375
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,344
− Management
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$11,484
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,756
After-tax cash flow
$8,443/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Camden Fairview School District
NCES district ID
0506060
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$30,854
Composite
9.43/100
National rank
#9853
State rank
#229 of 238 in AR

Livability — Camden

Score
57/100
State rank
#364
US rank
#22245

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Camden, AR
City population
17,883
Population (ZIP)
17,883

Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,485 people
By 2030
19,947 · -7.2%
By 2040
16,990 · -20.9%
By 2050
14,431 · -32.8%
By 2075
10,003 · -53.4%
By 2100
7,418 · -65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita

2024 margin
R (+19.1) · D 39.5% · R 58.6% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.9pp · 2024: -19.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.1 2020: R+13.5 2016: R+10.4 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+10.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.10%
Current HPI
171.0106
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $25,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $30,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-08-01 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2025-06-14 Price Changed $25,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-04-30 Listed $30,000 CARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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