50 Alpine Pl · Cheektowaga, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is your chance to own a beautifully updated home with a DOUBLE lot. Front door leads to a spacious living room and updated kitchen and formal dining room. Master bedroom includes walk in closet. New flooring throughout along with some restored hardwood. Roof 1.5 years old. Furnace 2019. Showings begin 3/27. Offers due 4/2 at 7pm.
Key facts
- Updated bath
- Fenced yard
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $583 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
- Cheektowaga Central School District (urban): math 30% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #564 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.41%
- DSCR
- 2.31
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $187,250
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Peach Tree Rd | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,502 (+0%) | 7mo | $162,000 | $108 | 70 |
| 27 Adlon Pl | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,584 (+6%) | 5mo | $265,958 | $168 | 69 |
| 4 Villa Moraine Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,680 (+12%) | 4mo | $289,000 | $172 | 66 |
| 102 Freund St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,596 (+6%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $97 | 63 |
| 105 Hoerner Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,367 (-9%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $66 | 61 |
| 67 Carol Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,384 (-8%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $163 | 58 |
| 17 Fisher St | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,286 (-14%) | 7mo | $138,500 | $108 | 54 |
| 62 Haller Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,397 (-7%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $89 | 54 |
| 17 Eller Ave | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,274 (-15%) | 4mo | $167,500 | $131 | 53 |
| 54 Roma Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,320 (-12%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $125 | 52 |
| 70 Eggert Rd | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,342 (-10%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $160 | 52 |
| 46 Wilkes Ave | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,359 (-9%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $118 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $23,378
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $68,236
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14225
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 208
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,480 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $583
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $641 | -5% $612 | +0% $583 | +5% $553 | +10% $524 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $466 | -5% $524 | +0% $583 | +5% $641 | +10% $700 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $625 | -0.5pp $604 | base $583 | +0.5pp $561 | +1.0pp $538 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Pine Ridge Ter Unit 3 Cheektowaga, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 18d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,500 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 61 Courtland Ave Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 11 Kaufman Dr Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 216 Newburgh Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1690 | $1,150 | $0.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 249 Newburgh Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 103 Preston Rd Unit Lower Cheektowaga, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,300 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 85 Blake St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,000 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1793 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 18d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 67 Moeller St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 67 Moeller St Unit LOWER Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 71 Gerald Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1773 | $1,100 | $0.62 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 17 Proctor Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2935 Genesee St Unit Up Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 47 Awood Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1840 | $1,500 | $0.82 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1559 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 20d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1777 Broadway Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-03-05price $84,900
-
2026-02-03price $94,900
-
2025-12-18$109,900 Active
-
2021-06-24soldstatus $143,000
-
2021-06-23soldstatus $143,000 Closed Sale or Rented 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
This is your chance to own a beautifully updated home with a DOUBLE lot. Front door leads to a spacious living room and updated kitchen and formal dining room. Master bedroom includes walk in closet. New flooring throughout along with some restored hardwood. Roof 1.5 years old. Furnace 2019. Showings begin 3/27. Offers due 4/2 at 7pm.
-
2021-04-04status Under Contract- Do Not Show 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
This is your chance to own a beautifully updated home with a DOUBLE lot. Front door leads to a spacious living room and updated kitchen and formal dining room. Master bedroom includes walk in closet. New flooring throughout along with some restored hardwood. Roof 1.5 years old. Furnace 2019. Showings begin 3/27. Offers due 4/2 at 7pm.
-
2021-03-24$109,000 Active 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
This is your chance to own a beautifully updated home with a DOUBLE lot. Front door leads to a spacious living room and updated kitchen and formal dining room. Master bedroom includes walk in closet. New flooring throughout along with some restored hardwood. Roof 1.5 years old. Furnace 2019. Showings begin 3/27. Offers due 4/2 at 7pm.
-
2019-02-19soldstatus $47,000 Closed Sale or Rented 586-char remark
Show marketing remark (586 chars)
This is a very nice well kept property with a DOUBLE LOT!!! Cosmetics will be in order , Paint etc Garage needs roof replaced inc some beams this is a flat roof , older roof on front part of home . .. .this is a structurally sound property in a quiet neighborhood . Large walk in closets off bedrooms Laundry Room, Vinyl fenced yard , Seller negotiable as to furniture and contents . .. .nice large kitchen area , front foyer entrance area. Deck in rear could use a few boards & stained but otherwise is solid! This property is priced for quick sale and WONT LAST LONG !!!!
-
2019-01-30status Under Contract- Do Not Show 586-char remark
Show marketing remark (586 chars)
This is a very nice well kept property with a DOUBLE LOT!!! Cosmetics will be in order , Paint etc Garage needs roof replaced inc some beams this is a flat roof , older roof on front part of home . .. .this is a structurally sound property in a quiet neighborhood . Large walk in closets off bedrooms Laundry Room, Vinyl fenced yard , Seller negotiable as to furniture and contents . .. .nice large kitchen area , front foyer entrance area. Deck in rear could use a few boards & stained but otherwise is solid! This property is priced for quick sale and WONT LAST LONG !!!!
-
2019-01-04status Active 586-char remark
Show marketing remark (586 chars)
This is a very nice well kept property with a DOUBLE LOT!!! Cosmetics will be in order , Paint etc Garage needs roof replaced inc some beams this is a flat roof , older roof on front part of home . .. .this is a structurally sound property in a quiet neighborhood . Large walk in closets off bedrooms Laundry Room, Vinyl fenced yard , Seller negotiable as to furniture and contents . .. .nice large kitchen area , front foyer entrance area. Deck in rear could use a few boards & stained but otherwise is solid! This property is priced for quick sale and WONT LAST LONG !!!!
-
2018-11-27historical 586-char remark
Show marketing remark (586 chars)
This is a very nice well kept property with a DOUBLE LOT!!! Cosmetics will be in order , Paint etc Garage needs roof replaced inc some beams this is a flat roof , older roof on front part of home . .. .this is a structurally sound property in a quiet neighborhood . Large walk in closets off bedrooms Laundry Room, Vinyl fenced yard , Seller negotiable as to furniture and contents . .. .nice large kitchen area , front foyer entrance area. Deck in rear could use a few boards & stained but otherwise is solid! This property is priced for quick sale and WONT LAST LONG !!!!
-
2018-11-12status Active 586-char remark
Show marketing remark (586 chars)
This is a very nice well kept property with a DOUBLE LOT!!! Cosmetics will be in order , Paint etc Garage needs roof replaced inc some beams this is a flat roof , older roof on front part of home . .. .this is a structurally sound property in a quiet neighborhood . Large walk in closets off bedrooms Laundry Room, Vinyl fenced yard , Seller negotiable as to furniture and contents . .. .nice large kitchen area , front foyer entrance area. Deck in rear could use a few boards & stained but otherwise is solid! This property is priced for quick sale and WONT LAST LONG !!!!
-
2018-10-31status Pending Sale 586-char remark
Show marketing remark (586 chars)
This is a very nice well kept property with a DOUBLE LOT!!! Cosmetics will be in order , Paint etc Garage needs roof replaced inc some beams this is a flat roof , older roof on front part of home . .. .this is a structurally sound property in a quiet neighborhood . Large walk in closets off bedrooms Laundry Room, Vinyl fenced yard , Seller negotiable as to furniture and contents . .. .nice large kitchen area , front foyer entrance area. Deck in rear could use a few boards & stained but otherwise is solid! This property is priced for quick sale and WONT LAST LONG !!!!
-
2018-09-18$63,900 Active 586-char remark
Show marketing remark (586 chars)
This is a very nice well kept property with a DOUBLE LOT!!! Cosmetics will be in order , Paint etc Garage needs roof replaced inc some beams this is a flat roof , older roof on front part of home . .. .this is a structurally sound property in a quiet neighborhood . Large walk in closets off bedrooms Laundry Room, Vinyl fenced yard , Seller negotiable as to furniture and contents . .. .nice large kitchen area , front foyer entrance area. Deck in rear could use a few boards & stained but otherwise is solid! This property is priced for quick sale and WONT LAST LONG !!!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,763
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,274
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,421
- − Management
- −$1,421
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $5,998
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,439
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,553/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cheektowaga Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607230
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,401
- Composite
- 28.45/100
- National rank
- #6753
- State rank
- #564 of 590 in NY
Livability — Cheektowaga
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #54
- US rank
- #811
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cheektowaga, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 55,470
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,620
- Household income
- $67,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 991.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.26%
- Current HPI
- 320.6248
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+32.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $84,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $94,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-12-18 Listed $109,900 WNYREIS
- 2021-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $143,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-23 Sold (MLS) $143,000 WNYREIS
- 2021-04-04 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2021-03-24 Listed $109,000 WNYREIS
- 2019-02-19 Sold (MLS) $47,000 WNYREIS
- 2019-01-30 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2019-01-04 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2018-11-27 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2018-11-12 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2018-10-31 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2018-09-18 Listed $63,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+13.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,919 · +15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…