610 E Gypsy St · Hobbs, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AO
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $848 – $2,087
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3 bedroom, 2 bath property offers great potential for a remodel or investment opportunity. Situated on a spacious 140x50 lot with a metal fence surrounding the property, there is plenty of room for parking, storage, or future improvements. The home needs work and renovations, but could be transformed into a rental, flip, or new construction project.
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- Metal fence
- Remodel opportunity
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Exterior features: Lot measures approximately 50 x 140 feet (about 7,000 sq ft / 0.1607 acres)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating
- Interior features: No central heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $633 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#37 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Hobbs Municipal Schools (town): math 17% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #45 of 95 in NM (top 47%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 172 units permitted in Lea County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lea County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.18%
- DSCR
- 2.92
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,344
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -35.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $28,232
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 39.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.65×
- Total profit
- $76,729
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88240
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,516 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $215/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$318
- Net cashflow
- $633
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1122 3 E Broadway St Unit B-302 Hobbs, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 976 | $1,200 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-14$75,000 Active 356-char remark
-
2007-05-29soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $215 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $600 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- +$385/yr (+$32/mo · 179.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AO · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,198
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$215
- − Insurance
- −$1,843
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,456
- − Management
- −$1,456
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $6,846
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,643
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,956/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hobbs Municipal Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3501260
- Math proficiency
- 17% —
- Reading proficiency
- 31% —
- Median HH income
- $52,575
- Composite
- 24.53/100
- National rank
- #13068
- State rank
- #45 of 95 in NM
Livability — Hobbs
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #11817
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hobbs, NM
- County
- Lea County · 41,557 people
- City population
- 41,557
- Metro
- Hobbs, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,557
- Household income
- $63,270
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 968.0
Population outlook (Lea County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,268 people
- By 2030
- 91,695 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 108,366 · +28.6%
- By 2050
- 126,264 · +49.8%
- By 2075
- 170,606 · +102.5%
- By 2100
- 199,235 · +136.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 32% White 29% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 55%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 41% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lea
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.5% · R 80.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.4pp toward R · 2008: -44.2pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.6 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+49.7 2008: R+44.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -246.71%
- Current HPI
- 100.9905
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hobbs, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) — NMMLS
- 2026-05-21 Pending — NMMLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $75,000 NMMLS
- 2007-05-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $215 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…